Premium Investor Report #486
Why It Matters
A Fed rate cut—or lack thereof—will dictate short‑term volatility across equities, metals, and crypto, shaping risk‑on versus risk‑off positioning for investors. The report’s actionable technical signals help market participants allocate capital amid uncertain monetary policy.
Premium Investor Report #486
Written by Tyler · First December 10, 2025 · Last Updated: December 10, 2025
Welcome back to another Premium Investor Report.
Let’s jump in!
Here’s what’s in today’s issue:
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Technical analysis on the current market.
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A mid‑week snapshot of market trends.
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A DeFi tutorial on how to get yield from HELOC RWAs with PRIME on Kamino.
Market Analysis
It’s the Fed rate decision today in the US, so prepare for volatility. The interest‑rate decision will be released at 2:00 pm EST, with Powell’s press conference starting at 2:30.
Right now, the market believes there’s an 89.9 % chance of a 25 bps cut. So if we get this, most of the cut has already been priced in. But in the low‑chance scenario that the Fed holds rates steady, things will get very ugly, very fast.
On the crypto side, we’re seeing some recovery and a bit less doom‑and‑gloom, thanks to bullish tailwinds forming behind Bitcoin (e.g., Vanguard, BoA, Schwab, strategy buys, BTC as CME collateral, etc.). Overall, the market remains cautious and still bruised from the latest draw‑down.
Ok, let’s get to the charts. We’ve got some good setups for you today.
S&P 500 (Stock Index)
We’ve been watching this falling wedge on the S&P 500 for two weeks now, and prices are continuing to hold firmly above the wedge’s resistance line, although we haven’t gotten a strong break into new all‑time highs (ATH) yet.
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However, we are seeing a bearish crossover on the MACD right now. So we might see prices fall once more to retest this wedge’s resistance line. If that happens, and prices use the line as support, that will make for a good ATH setup.
SIGNAL: No trade signal this week. The S&P 500 is well positioned to let other risk assets run hot. Monitor whether the index can hold the aforementioned resistance as support, or break into new ATHs.
Gold (Metals)
This is one of those awkward situations where an asset displays a clear consolidation pattern, breaks out of it, but then the breakout basically loses its power right from the beginning. It appears to have happened with gold and this symmetrical triangle.
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Now both the RSI and MACD have flat‑lined. Thus, gold is finding a more neutral footing now, so we might be in for a lot more sideways price action. However, the CMF is crossing below the zero line, which should put some downward pressure on prices.
SIGNAL: No trading signal this week. Expect sideways to slightly descending price action.
Silver (Metals)
Silver is stealing the show right now. We had about a week of consolidation just under $60, and then yesterday the asset punched through that resistance, hitting an ATH of $61.60 earlier today.
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What we’re seeing technically:
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A possible shooting‑star candle for today (not yet confirmed).
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Bearish RSI divergence.
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Bearish CMF divergence.
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Falling volumes.
SIGNAL: We think it’s time to put a short on silver here, for the reasons stated above. This is a bit of a gamble, so use a stop‑loss at $62 in case silver keeps running higher.
Bitcoin (BTC, Crypto)
Again, there’s a ton to discuss for Bitcoin this week. It’s a mixed, complex picture, with some dynamic setups. So let’s go through it.
- We’re in a rising wedge. These are bearish continuation patterns that have a high probability of breaking to…
(The article continues beyond this point.)
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