
The price lift signals renewed institutional interest and a macro‑friendly liquidity environment, positioning ETH for a potential breakout that could reshape the broader altcoin market.
Ethereum’s recent price surge is underpinned by a sharp rise in apparent demand, a metric that compares daily issuance to long‑term inactive supply. The jump from roughly 38,000 ETH to 91,000 ETH in four days marks the strongest demand since September 2023, a period that preceded a 165% rally to $4,100. Simultaneously, spot Ethereum ETFs have flipped to net inflows of $230.9 million, suggesting that institutional capital is re‑entering the market after a brief exodus.
On the macro side, the Federal Reserve’s scheduled end to quantitative tightening on Dec. 1 is expected to release a wave of liquidity into risk‑on assets. Historical cycles show that altcoins, especially ETH, tend to outperform Bitcoin when liquidity rotates away from the flagship coin. Analysts point to the previous QT unwind, where Bitcoin dominance fell and altcoins surged, as a template for the coming months. This backdrop could amplify the current demand dynamics and provide a tailwind for further price appreciation.
Technically, ETH is defending a critical cost‑basis cluster around $2,800‑$2,830, where nearly five million coins were acquired. Holding this level is seen as a prerequisite for a bullish breakout. A V‑shaped pattern forming on the four‑hour chart projects a neckline near $3,650, implying a 26% upside if the supply zone between $3,000 and $3,500 is breached. While the 50‑day SMA offers near‑term support at $2,891, traders will watch for a decisive move above the 100‑ and 200‑day SMAs to confirm the rally’s momentum.
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