Weekly Roundup 01/02/26 (2026 Predictions, Wealth Taxes, Secret Insolvencies) (EP.694)

Crypto

On The Brink with Castle Island

Weekly Roundup 01/02/26 (2026 Predictions, Wealth Taxes, Secret Insolvencies) (EP.694)

On The Brink with Castle Island

•January 2, 2026•37 min

On The Brink with Castle Island•Jan 2, 2026

AI Summary

Matt and Nic kick off 2026 with a rapid-fire roundup covering the House's draft PARITY Act, the challenges of implementing wealth taxes, and ongoing declines in decentralized autonomous tokens (DATs). They share personal anecdotes, discuss Nic's fiction piece, and speculate on 2026 trends, including a possible secret exchange insolvency, the definition of insider trading in prediction markets, and the viability of social finance. The episode also touches on the end of the four‑year crypto cycle, Kickstarter mishaps, and whether it's time to revisit social‑fi initiatives.

Episode Description

Matt and Nic are back for the first OTB show of 2026. In this episode:

Matt's ice rink adventures

The House issues a draft of the PARITY Act

The trouble with wealth taxes

DATs continue to bleed out

We talk about Nic's fiction story

Predictions for 2026

Is there a secret exchange insolvency?

What constitutes insider trading for prediction markets?

Is the four year cycle finally over?

Is it time to try socialfi again?

Kickstarter snafus

Content mentioned in this episode:

Nic Carter, Trillion Dollar Salvage

Show Notes

On The Brink with Castle Island: Weekly Roundup 01/02/26 (2026 predictions, wealth taxes, secret insolvencies) (EP.694)

Preview ModeLinks will not work in preview mode

On The Brink with Castle Island