Charai for The Jerusalem Strategic Tribune: Yemen Is Not a Gulf Rivalry—It Is a Test of Whether Extremism Can Be Contained

Why It Matters

If extremism in Yemen spreads unchecked, it could destabilize the Red Sea corridor and undermine global counter‑terrorism efforts, reshaping Middle‑East security dynamics.

Key Takeaways

• Yemen conflict centers on extremist containment, not Gulf rivalry
• Al‑Qaeda and ISIS affiliates exploit power vacuums
• Proxy narratives mask core security threats
• Regional trade routes vulnerable to extremist spillover
• Coordinated counter‑extremism needed over geopolitical posturing

Pulse Analysis

The protracted war in Yemen has often been painted as a proxy clash between Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Iran, a narrative that simplifies a far more complex security environment. While Gulf rivalries certainly influence diplomatic postures, the decisive factor driving the conflict is the resurgence of extremist groups such as al‑Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula and ISIS‑Khorasan. These factions exploit fragmented governance, porous borders, and humanitarian crises to embed themselves, turning Yemen into a fertile breeding ground for radicalization that extends beyond its borders.

From a strategic standpoint, the failure to contain extremism in Yemen threatens the stability of the Red Sea shipping lanes, a critical artery for global energy and trade. A spillover of terrorist activities could disrupt maritime commerce, elevate insurance premiums, and invite foreign military interventions that further complicate the regional balance of power. Moreover, the United States and its allies risk losing credibility in their broader counter‑terrorism agenda if Yemen becomes a permanent safe haven for jihadist networks. This underscores the urgency of re‑orienting policy from a purely geopolitical lens to a focused counter‑extremism framework.

Policymakers should prioritize a multi‑layered approach that blends targeted military actions against extremist strongholds with robust diplomatic engagement and development assistance. Strengthening Yemen’s legitimate institutions, supporting local security forces, and fostering inclusive political dialogue can erode the appeal of radical groups. Simultaneously, regional powers must agree on a common security agenda that separates anti‑extremism objectives from rivalries, ensuring that future interventions are coordinated, proportionate, and sustainable. Such a strategy not only curbs the spread of terrorism but also paves the way for a more stable, prosperous Middle East.