Iran Conflict: Expert Says US, Israel Seek Regime ChangeーNHK WORLD-JAPAN NEWS

Why It Matters

Escalating U.S.–Israel actions toward regime change could reshape Middle‑East power balances, drive global energy prices higher, and undermine the rules‑based international system.

Key Takeaways

• Trump pushes four‑week campaign aiming at Iranian regime change.
• Interim Iranian leadership council formed amid Supreme Leader vacancy.
• Iranian forces likely retaliate, targeting US bases and Israel.
• Disruption could spike oil prices and choke LNG supplies.
• Conflict threatens post‑World war II international stability and rule of law.

Summary

The video centers on an expert’s assessment that the United States, under President Trump, and Israel are pursuing a four‑week military campaign designed to topple Iran’s Islamic Republic. Trump’s shift from a brief strike to an extended operation signals a clear objective of regime change, while Tehran scrambles to install an interim leadership council amid the Supreme Leader’s vacancy. Key points include the anticipated dismantling of Iran’s nuclear and missile infrastructure, the formation of an interim council that has yet to receive a new Supreme Leader, and the expectation that Iranian forces will retaliate against U.S. bases and Israeli targets. The professor warns that such escalation could exhaust U.S. missile defenses in the region and open a pathway for direct attacks on Israel. Notable remarks from the expert highlight the erosion of the rule of law, describing the situation as a “law of the jungle” scenario that threatens the stability cultivated since 1945. He also cites recent strikes by Iran’s Revolutionary Guard on Gulf bases and predicts a surge in oil prices and a choke‑point for LNG shipments affecting Japan, India, and Europe. The broader implications are profound: higher energy costs worldwide, disrupted LNG trade, and a potential collapse of the post‑World War II international order. Policymakers must weigh the short‑term military objectives against long‑term geopolitical and economic fallout.

Original Description

Keio University Professor Tanaka Koichiro is an expert on the Middle East. Here, he tells Newsroom Tokyo that the US and Israel want nothing less than regime change in Iran.

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