
The refinery would move Botswana up the copper value chain, increasing domestic revenue and strengthening industrial diversification.
Botswana’s push toward mineral beneficiation reflects a broader African trend of adding value locally rather than exporting raw commodities. By targeting a copper refinery, the government aims to capture a larger share of the global copper price premium, which has surged amid renewable‑energy demand. The Khoemacau mine, already a major contributor to the nation’s export basket, provides a logical anchor for downstream processing, aligning with the country’s policy of industrial diversification and reduced reliance on diamond revenues.
The feasibility study, slated to begin this year, will scrutinize technical viability, capital intensity, and market dynamics. Industry benchmarks suggest a refinery becomes financially sustainable only when national concentrate output reaches 300,000‑500,000 tonnes annually. While Khoemacau’s projected 146,000‑tonne concentrate flow falls short, the study will explore scaling options, shared infrastructure, and potential partnerships with regional miners. Energy supply, a critical cost driver, will also be examined, given Botswana’s growing renewable‑energy capacity and its impact on smelting economics.
If the business case proves robust, the refinery could generate thousands of skilled jobs, from engineering to logistics, and stimulate ancillary sectors such as construction, utilities, and services. Moreover, a domestic refining hub would position Botswana as a regional copper processing centre, attracting investment from neighboring mining projects. This move could enhance trade balances, increase fiscal revenues, and cement Botswana’s reputation as a forward‑looking mining economy.
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