Student Housing Unlocked: What Defines the Sector in 2026? | Beau Garot & Olivia Bunescu
Why It Matters
Understanding these dynamics helps investors allocate capital to the most resilient student‑housing assets, preserving returns as the market transitions from rapid rent growth to margin‑driven performance.
Key Takeaways
- •Flagship universities drive enrollment growth, outpacing regional affiliates
- •Owner-operator alignment crucial amid rising competition and new supply
- •Affordability focus requires diverse price points without sacrificing amenities
- •Debt markets remain attractive; spreads tightening, prompting faster capital deployment
- •Data-driven underwriting, targeting Power‑Four‑Plus markets, yields performance edge
Summary
The podcast episode “Student Housing Unlocked” features Bill Garot, co‑head of education transactions at Harrison Street Asset Management, discussing the sector’s outlook for 2026. With a $24 billion portfolio of 427 properties and over 240,000 beds, Harrison Street provides a benchmark view of how the student‑housing market is evolving.
Garot identifies three dominant trends: flagship universities are pulling enrollment away from regional affiliates, alignment between owners and seasoned operators is becoming a competitive moat, and affordability is being balanced with location and amenity quality. He notes that rent growth has normalized after several years of double‑digit increases, while national occupancy remains in the mid‑90s, shifting the focus to expense control and NOI preservation.
Specific examples illustrate the points—Illinois’ University of Illinois is seeing year‑over‑year enrollment gains at the expense of nearby campuses, and pre‑leasing activity at power‑four institutions continues to outpace supply. Garot also highlights the emerging “Power‑Four‑Plus” market set, a dozen schools that mimic power‑four selectivity but attract less competition, and stresses the use of selectivity, graduation rates, and freshman demographics in proprietary underwriting models.
For investors, the takeaway is clear: prioritize disciplined acquisition pricing, partner with experienced operators, and leverage granular data to target high‑quality, under‑served markets. Those who can maintain margins in a slower rent‑growth environment while offering a tiered pricing strategy will capture the sector’s upside as new supply catches up to robust enrollment trends.
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