How AI’s Impact on Software Is Pushing VCs From Bits to Atoms

How AI’s Impact on Software Is Pushing VCs From Bits to Atoms

VC Cafe
VC CafeApr 29, 2026

Key Takeaways

  • AI coding tools erode traditional software moats, making code abundant
  • VC funding for deep‑tech hardware rose ~40% in three years
  • Physical products create switching costs that AI‑only solutions cannot match
  • Companies like Mind Robotics secured $500M, signaling hardware resurgence
  • Hardware‑plus‑software models enable recurring revenue from permanent devices

Pulse Analysis

The rapid maturation of large‑language models has turned software development into a commodity. Tools that can generate production‑grade code in hours have forced investors to question the longevity of code‑centric moats that once protected SaaS giants. Even industry leaders such as Google report that the majority of new code is now AI‑generated, compressing development cycles and slashing the valuation premiums traditionally granted to engineering talent.

Against this backdrop, venture capital is gravitating toward "atoms over bits," seeking scarcity in the physical layers that AI cannot replicate. Over the last three years, deep‑tech and hardware investments have captured an additional 40% of global VC dollars, with sectors like robotics, defense, and space witnessing mega‑rounds. Companies such as Mind Robotics, which raised $500 million, and Beijing‑based Robot Era, with a $145 million unicorn round, exemplify the market’s appetite for tangible platforms that embed AI in the real world.

For investors and founders, the new playbook demands different metrics. Traditional SaaS levers—CAC, MRR growth, and rapid churn—give way to supply‑chain resilience, unit economics of hardware, and the ability to layer recurring software services on permanent devices. As contract manufacturing and rapid prototyping lower entry barriers, hardware startups can now achieve scalable, recurring revenue streams. The era of building another app is waning; the next wave of tech giants will be forged in silicon, steel, and infrastructure, delivering AI a physical body and investors a defensible moat.

How AI’s impact on software is pushing VCs from Bits to Atoms

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