Don't Let War Blow up AI Plans, Experts Warn

Why It Matters

Investing in AI now positions African economies to safeguard growth against geopolitical disruptions and reduces reliance on external technology providers. Successful AI integration could transform the continent’s development trajectory and enhance sovereign capacity.

Key Takeaways

• US‑Iran conflict threatens IMF/World Bank support for Africa
• AI seen as essential digital infrastructure for African development
• Current AI readiness in sub‑Saharan Africa remains below peers
• Local adaptation, skilling, and governance are critical for AI impact
• Experts warn retreating from AI would deepen geopolitical vulnerability

Pulse Analysis

The backdrop of the US‑Iran war has injected uncertainty into global financing streams, especially at the IMF‑World Bank spring gatherings where African growth prospects were under review. While donors weigh the risk of allocating resources amid conflict, the continent’s 4.5% regional growth in 2025 underscores a fragile but promising recovery that could be derailed without continued support. Analysts note that war‑induced supply chain shocks and heightened risk premiums may tighten fiscal space, making strategic investments in high‑impact sectors more critical than ever.

Artificial intelligence is emerging as a linchpin for that strategic push. The IMF’s latest outlook points to a stark readiness gap: sub‑Saharan Africa lags behind other developing regions in data infrastructure, skilled talent, and regulatory frameworks. Yet the same report stresses that “not ready is not the same as not capable,” suggesting that targeted reforms—such as public‑private AI labs, broadband expansion, and curriculum upgrades—can unlock rapid productivity gains. Experts stress that AI must be tailored to local realities, from low‑cost health diagnostics to climate‑smart agriculture, to avoid the pitfalls of imported, one‑size‑fits‑all solutions.

Policymakers are therefore urged to treat AI as core infrastructure rather than a peripheral innovation. By embedding AI into national development plans, African states can reduce dependence on foreign tech, safeguard critical services during external shocks, and build a sovereign digital ecosystem. Concrete steps include establishing AI ethics boards, incentivizing homegrown startups, and aligning AI projects with the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals. If pursued decisively, AI could become the catalyst that turns today’s geopolitical turbulence into a springboard for long‑term, inclusive growth across the continent.