AGI will redefine geopolitical influence, making early European preparedness vital for maintaining strategic autonomy and economic leadership.
Artificial general intelligence—machines capable of reasoning across any domain—remains a theoretical milestone, yet its eventual arrival promises to upend existing geopolitical hierarchies. Nations that secure early leadership in AGI could command unprecedented economic and military advantages, from autonomous decision‑making systems to advanced data analytics. Europe, while home to world‑class research institutions, currently lags behind the United States and China in coordinated funding and talent pipelines. This gap raises concerns that the continent may become a technology importer rather than a creator, eroding its strategic influence on the global stage.
Policymakers can close this gap by establishing a pan‑European AGI framework that blends agile regulation with robust public‑private investment. Targeted grants for foundational AI research, coupled with incentives for industry‑academia collaborations, would accelerate talent retention and technology transfer. At the same time, a clear set of safety standards—covering data privacy, algorithmic transparency, and dual‑use controls—can mitigate security risks without stifling innovation. By aligning national strategies under a unified EU charter, member states can pool resources, avoid duplication, and present a coherent front to global competitors.
Beyond funding and rules, Europe must cultivate a culture that values responsible AI entrepreneurship and cross‑border data sharing. Initiatives such as a European AGI testbed, open‑source repositories, and joint ethical review boards can foster trust among stakeholders while accelerating prototype development. As AGI capabilities mature, early adopters will shape standards that reverberate through defense, finance, and healthcare sectors. A coordinated European response therefore not only safeguards sovereignty but also positions the EU as a normative leader, influencing how the technology is deployed worldwide.
How could artificial general intelligence (AGI) reshape global power dynamics? What can be done to build Europe's preparedness for AGI? And how should the European Union, its member states, and wider Europe balance innovation, competitiveness, and security in this emerging domain? In this webinar, RAND Europe experts and partners unpack their research findings on AGI and discuss potential responses from European policymakers.
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