Poland Commissions First Offshore Wind Farm – Study Highlights Major Potential and Structural Bottlenecks

Why It Matters

The rollout of offshore wind and the resolution of on‑shore grid constraints will determine whether Poland can meet its ambitious renewable targets, secure energy security, and capture billions of euros in domestic economic value, while delays could push electricity prices higher and slow the EU’s broader decarbonisation agenda.

Summary

Poland’s wind sector is at a crossroads as on‑shore capacity topped 11 GW in 2025 but faces grid‑connection bottlenecks, with nearly 5,000 applications rejected and 107 GW pending. The country will commission its first offshore wind farm, Baltic Power (1.2 GW), in 2026, part of an approved 18 GW offshore pipeline and a target of 10 GW operational by 2032. Offshore projects are attracting significant subsidies – the latest CfD auction awarded 3.435 GW at roughly €112‑€116/MWh – but development timelines remain long, with a 14‑year gap from site approval to commissioning. The government’s “Local First” push aims to boost domestic manufacturing, projecting up to €82 billion in gross value added and €13 billion in fiscal revenue if a 33 GW offshore scenario materialises, though political disputes over turbine setback rules could curb growth.