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Adam May

Adam May

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Biotech investor; shares deep dives on biotech companies and investment strategies (often covering stocks he holds).

Recent Posts

NKTR’s Alopecia Areata Play: Market Misprices Massive Upside
Social•Feb 20, 2026

NKTR’s Alopecia Areata Play: Market Misprices Massive Upside

Ok, so I have finally gotten around to writing out my updated thoughts/thesis on $NKTR. Link in this post. I'm about as bullish on the stock now as I've ever been. The document is very long (sorry, but it's free...give me a break). I understand that most people won't read it all. So, if you're only going to read portions of it, don't miss the alopecia areata section. The market has marked this opportunity to zero and I am telling you...the market is wrong to do that. IMO this is a BIG opportunity for $NKTR, no matter how badly the market reacted to the recent data. Yes, IMO the market is getting the atopic dermatitis opportunity and valuation very wrong too, but some people are catching onto that by now...the AA opportunity is just totally (and wrongfully) abandoned. I also think the portion discussing "remittive" data after the AA section is also informative, and it speaks to a potentially massive upside catalyst that nobody is appropriately considering the magnitude of if it hits. Potentially paradigm shifting for one of the largest (if not the largest) indications in all of I&I...very big deal. I often write out long threads with slides and data accompanying my write up. I don't have the time to do that now, but please engage here with thoughts, questions, screenshots from the document, etc. Show me what parts of the thesis interest/excite you, what you don't understand, or even what you think is BS or stupid. It would be great to get some good discourse going on this opportunity, which I have to say I remain very excited about. (Obvious disclaimer here as in the document, yes, I am long and thus biased.) The link below is to the google doc. Totally free. No subscription, no email address, nothing...just a click on a link. https://t.co/DwZTAiyPyp

By Adam May
NKTR's <1% ISR Discontinuation: Legal FUD Overblown
Social•Feb 14, 2026

NKTR's <1% ISR Discontinuation: Legal FUD Overblown

$NKTR bears will still look at you with a straight face and tell you that an adverse event (ISRs) that led to a ***LESS THAN 1%*** discontinuation rate is the bear thesis… The ISR brain damage done to y’all by those...

By Adam May
Validate Drugs Against Human LOF Genetics for True Efficacy
Social•Feb 14, 2026

Validate Drugs Against Human LOF Genetics for True Efficacy

This principle hit OX40 hard - $SNY $AMGN $APGE What about $CRVS and ITK…? 🤔 https://t.co/gvLcqVgrpk

By Adam May
Rezpeg Shows Higher 1‑Year EASI75 Rates Than Dupixent
Social•Feb 10, 2026

Rezpeg Shows Higher 1‑Year EASI75 Rates Than Dupixent

Lot's caveats to this as it's a rough calculation, but given higher maintenance of EASI75 responses on $NKTR Q12W regimen and a very similar absolute rate of EASI75 on induction when compare to Dupixent... ...A higher proportion of patients achieve EASI75...

By Adam May
AZN Drops Relaxin mAb, Boosting TENX over TECX
Social•Feb 10, 2026

AZN Drops Relaxin mAb, Boosting TENX over TECX

It’s going to be a bad day for $TECX as $AZN has removed their relaxin mAb from their pipeline in their earnings slides this morning. It doesn’t really affect $TENX POS, but I’d definitely call it a positive for them overall....

By Adam May
HIMS' Safety Scandal Ignored by Bullish Retail Investors
Social•Feb 10, 2026

HIMS' Safety Scandal Ignored by Bullish Retail Investors

$HIMS is absolutely ON A ROLL …bugs in their manufacturing facility and failing to report major adverse events (3 nights of hospitalization) from their glp1 to the FDA as required by law. Of course, the company’s legendary retail investor base will...

By Adam May
DOJ Targets Entire GLP‑1 Market, HIMS in Trouble
Social•Feb 9, 2026

DOJ Targets Entire GLP‑1 Market, HIMS in Trouble

Fresh CNBC interview with head of DOJ on $HIMS. Please watch this if you still think that they’re only coming for the oral. This makes it very clear they’re going after the whole GLP-1 operation. Catastrophic for $HIMS. https://t.co/57dc3L1O3A

By Adam May
NVO Vows Aggressive Patent Enforcement; Danes Cheer Newfound Spine
Social•Feb 9, 2026

NVO Vows Aggressive Patent Enforcement; Danes Cheer Newfound Spine

$NVO exec: "Anybody who is infringing our patents should be very, very much on notice that we take that seriously, and that we will enforce our patents.…If anybody out there thinks we will not, this should be a wake-up...

By Adam May

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