Bitcoin Vector Lite

Bitcoin Vector Lite

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Views into BTC's underlying structure through the lens of investor flows. We identified the high risk top region. Next stop will be identifying the cycle bottom with our models. Delivered WEEKLY.

#BVL046: Another Brick Off the Wall
BlogMay 7, 2026

#BVL046: Another Brick Off the Wall

Bitcoin finally breached the $80,000 resistance level that has defined the current bear market, marking the first sustained move above that threshold in months. The price held steady for several sessions, avoiding the rapid snap‑back that typically follows such breakouts....

By Bitcoin Vector Lite
#BVL045: Knockin’ on $80k’s Wall
BlogApr 29, 2026

#BVL045: Knockin’ on $80k’s Wall

Bitcoin recently tested the $80,000 resistance level and was rejected, yet it remains above the mid‑$70,000 range. The price’s ability to hold this ground without a sharp decline suggests a tentative resilience in a broader bear market. Analysts warn that...

By Bitcoin Vector Lite
#BVL044: Is This a Cycle Bottom?
BlogApr 22, 2026

#BVL044: Is This a Cycle Bottom?

In the latest BVL044 note, the author confirms that Bitcoin‑related liquidity finally turned positive, ending a stretch of net outflows and briefly lowering market risk. The cryptocurrency has resumed its price recovery, yet the rally is falling short of the...

By Bitcoin Vector Lite
#BVL043: And Then, the Tide Turns...
BlogApr 15, 2026

#BVL043: And Then, the Tide Turns...

Bitcoin has resumed its upward trajectory, reclaiming recent losses and shifting key on‑chain metrics toward the upside. The rally arrives after a week of fragile gains, prompting debate over whether it marks the early stages of a longer‑term base or...

By Bitcoin Vector Lite
#BVL042: Rage Against the Range
BlogApr 8, 2026

#BVL042: Rage Against the Range

Bitcoin recently stabilized above the $60,000 threshold after a volatile dip, avoiding a breakdown that could have triggered a broader sell‑off. While the price appears to be nudging higher, the rally remains fragile, driven more by short‑term squeezes and headline‑fueled...

By Bitcoin Vector Lite
#BVL041: A Farmers Market Full of Window Shoppers
BlogApr 1, 2026

#BVL041: A Farmers Market Full of Window Shoppers

Bitcoin experienced a noticeable pullback this week as geopolitical tensions rose and equity markets slipped further into stress. The cryptocurrency’s price movement lacked clear buying momentum, echoing typical bear‑market behavior where headlines drive volatility more than fundamentals. Analysts are now...

By Bitcoin Vector Lite
#BVL040: Sisyphus 2.0
BlogMar 25, 2026

#BVL040: Sisyphus 2.0

Bitcoin hovered around the mid‑$70,000 level last week, marking its first real stress test since the recovery began. After a brief chop and fade, the price snapped back, only to fall $4,000 this week. The blog asks whether this dip...

By Bitcoin Vector Lite
Top in Indices in Europe? How Will that Affect Price of BTC?
BlogMar 24, 2026

Top in Indices in Europe? How Will that Affect Price of BTC?

European equities appear to be approaching a structural top, prompting Swissblock to host a Global Macro & Bitcoin Market Briefing on March 25 at 10:00 PM CET. The session features macro experts Yann Allemann, Henrik Zeberg, and crypto analyst Willy Woo. Attendees...

By Bitcoin Vector Lite
#BVL039: A Hazy Shade of Winter
BlogMar 18, 2026

#BVL039: A Hazy Shade of Winter

Last week, BVL038 predicted Bitcoin would retest the $75k breakout zone after briefly peaking at $70k, and the price rose into the mid‑$70k range before hitting strong resistance. The post highlights that in bear markets, rallies can appear robust on...

By Bitcoin Vector Lite
#BVL037: Where the Deer and the Antelope Play
BlogMar 4, 2026

#BVL037: Where the Deer and the Antelope Play

Last week’s Bitcoin outlook predicted a range‑bound market with a mild bullish bias, and the price action confirmed the forecast as Bitcoin hovered around $70,000, rejecting higher tests. Geopolitical risk has risen, adding uncertainty while demand signals remain modest. The...

By Bitcoin Vector Lite