I'm not a buyer yet, but if I were to be a buyer, imo the areas to watch for $BTC are: ~$80K: Nov '25 low, local low of this "bear" ~$74K: April '25 low, Tariff Tantrum low, just below $MSTR's cost basis (~$76K) ~$70K: Top of $50-70K range, near '21 high ~$58K: 200W SMA & on-chain cost basis (RV = ~$56K) ~$50K & below: bottom of the weekly range below, psychological, below this number you would see "death of BTC" calls once again Importantly, I don't care what happens. If we rally from here, I'll ride what I have and diversify my portfolio, if we fall apart I'll buy more $BTC & select cryptoassets.
@cburniske has this sentiment changed from your perspective given today's price action?
There’s so much pessimism and short-term thinking on cryptoassets these days that the R/R is tilting towards optimism and long-term, sized, high-conviction positions in distressed, public, cryptoassets. That said, the time isn’t yet now, imo. I shared my view @...
Big closes for $BTC today, W & M 👀
Equal weighted Amazon, Apple, Microsoft & Nvidia has > 100X’d since January 2002. A similar, public & liquid opp beckons for select major cryptoassets over the coming decades. Trims during exuberance make sense, but hodling the majority will remain the...