easyfinancialmarkets
Market strategist highlighting small‑cap relative cycles and set‑ups, including historical underperformance/rotation context.
Just 22% of S&P 500 Beats Index in 30 Days
Citadel: Only 22% of names in the S&P 500 have outperformed the index itself over the last 30 days, near the lowest reading ever.
Record‑High 64% Expect Rising Unemployment Next Year
In April, 64% of US consumers expected unemployment to be higher over the next 12 months, near the highest reading on record.
Markets Soar While Americans Feel Economic Despair
S&P 500: ALL-TIME HIGH Consumer Sentiment: ALL-TIME LOW Wall Street says the economy is booming, but is not for the average American.
Permanent Portfolio Poised for 26% Gain, Best Since 1933
The Permanent Portfolio is on track to gain +26% in 2026, its best annual return since 1933. It consists of equal portions of US stocks, 10-year Treasury bonds, commodities, and cash.
Semis Surge 18 Days Straight: Cycle Insights Unveiled
Semiconductors have rallied a record 18(!) straight days. Our latest weekly note is focused on semi cycles. Read it here: https://open.substack.com/pub/easymarkets/p/semis-cycles-and-the-ouroboros?r=1vbilw&utm_medium=ios
Options Expiry Fuels S&P 500 Swing, Not Fundamentals
In just 2 weeks, the S&P 500 has gone from widely oversold to overbought. However, this is not being driven by fundamentals. Options expiration is creating complacency.
Immediate Crude Cargo Prices Hit 2008 Peak
The price of crude cargoes for immediate delivery has soared to its highest level since 2008
SPX Eyes Fourth Consecutive Green Day, Longest Since Jan
If the SPX can hold in the green, it will be a fourth straight day, the longest stretch since a 5-day run Jan 21-27th.