Erica York

Erica York

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Tax Foundation VP, Federal Tax Policy—analysis of planning‑relevant federal changes, expiring provisions, and incentive design.

Popular Tax Proposals Fail to Fund Debt Solution
SocialApr 30, 2026

Popular Tax Proposals Fail to Fund Debt Solution

New @TaxFoundation research from @EconoWill on the troubling trajectory of the national debt and the role of tax reform in reaching a solution: the most popular proposals, from wealth taxes to tariffs, cannot produce sustainable revenues sufficient to address the debt...

By Erica York
Populist Pro‑Tariff Rhetoric Fails Against Manufacturing Economics
SocialApr 20, 2026

Populist Pro‑Tariff Rhetoric Fails Against Manufacturing Economics

"These [pro-tariff] arguments carry populist appeal, but they falter when confronted with the economics of manufacturing and the realities of global supply chains."

By Erica York
Fed Builds Detailed Tariff Dataset to Gauge Price Impact
SocialApr 10, 2026

Fed Builds Detailed Tariff Dataset to Gauge Price Impact

Pro-tariff commentators: Look, we imposed tariffs and there was no fundamental change in the inflation trend line Careful Fed analysis: Our approach to assess the effects of these new U.S. tariffs on consumer prices accounts for their sequential introduction and leverages...

By Erica York
Tariffs and Rising Oil Prices Fuel Dual Inflation Surge
SocialApr 10, 2026

Tariffs and Rising Oil Prices Fuel Dual Inflation Surge

A careful look at goods prices from RBC: "beneath the surface, the ramifications of tariffs are building, and spiking oil prices will add to pre-existing tariff price pressures with both core and headline inflation rising in tandem" https://t.co/s3UBEqwL6N https://t.co/3ATUrAvoZg

By Erica York
Pre‑tariff Import Rush Skews Trade‑deficit Perception
SocialApr 8, 2026

Pre‑tariff Import Rush Skews Trade‑deficit Perception

In early 2025, firms rushed imports ahead of the new tariffs, temporarily widening the trade deficit and building inventories. By late 2025-early 2026, trade flows smoothed back out. Comparisons to the earlier surge misleadingly suggest a sharp decline in the...

By Erica York
Consistent Framework Prevents Misreading Tariff Shock Data
SocialApr 6, 2026

Consistent Framework Prevents Misreading Tariff Shock Data

Operating from an intellectually and internally consistent framework for how a policy shock like tariffs should affect the economy will help guard against misleading interpretations of the data. https://t.co/GgMqA3UftP https://t.co/cP8F1ngAEQ

By Erica York