Japan’s Pre‑deal Hype Misleads; Fundamentals
I'm always interested in these pre event M&A trades in Japan where some legit media outlet publishes about M&A... and then months pass with silence and the speculators are forced to unwind... in Japan sometimes the passage of time does not necessarily mean a deal fell through... Fujitsu General was one of the successful examples of buying a "broken" situation like this and achieving a result in a much longer timeframe than speculators were comfortable with. Recently I have been watching 4704.T Trend Micro, with 32% of its mkt cap in net cash and lowest global multiple for listed cybersecurity. Also have been looking at systems integrator 3844.T Comture. In Fall 2024, mergermarket published an article about a potential P/E sponsored MBO (mgmt already owns just over 20%). Although not cheap outright... it looks ok vs peers and the takeout multiple was probably priced correctly by speculators in Fall 2024 (chart attached below)
SK's Memory Supply Vulnerable: 97% Israeli Bromine
Any Korean semis analysts out there pricing in a Korea/Israel diplomatic crisis. @zephyr_z9 @jukan05? SK relies heavily on Israeli bromine for memory I think 97% comes from them. https://t.co/Q4NeUSDrp8
Denso's ¥1.3T Rohm Offer Seen as Undervalued
*DENSO MADE BUYOUT OFFER TO ROHM, DEAL SEEN ABOUT ¥1.3T: NIKKEI Did not fact check attached, but assuming AI overlord is correct on the valuation of Toshiba stake + Prefs, this 1.3T takeover price looks way too low. I'm all for...
KR Regulators Deploy $10T Stabilization Fund Amid 25% Rally
KR REGULATORS READY W10TN STOCK MKT STABILIZATION FUND DEPLOYMENT I mean they do still know the market is still up 25% this year right?
Half‑Owned OM2 Trades at 0.1× EV/EB
S foods owns 48% of this 7614.T OM2, what the heck is this thing still doing listed. 0.1x EV/EBTIDA. the decimal is not a mistake. https://t.co/vQ1k9VL2Yk
Markets Misread Dovish BoJ as Bullish Amid Rate‑Driven Rally
so Japanese markets suffered deflation for decades at the hands of a dovish BoJ... and the markets have had a historic rally on the back of rising rates and yet somehow the market thinks dovish BoJ nominations is bullish... got it
Takaichi Warns of Japan’s Domestic Investment Shortfall
*TAKAICHI:THERE IS A DEARTH OF DOMESTIC INVESTMENT IN JAPAN Takaichi dropping truth bombs. Starts of with the biggest