Kathy Jones

Kathy Jones

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Chief Fixed Income Strategist at Schwab; posts bond market updates, rate outlooks, and muni/corporate/Treasury perspectives.

When Life Insurance Expires: Payout vs Conversion Dilemma
SocialMay 6, 2026

When Life Insurance Expires: Payout vs Conversion Dilemma

Here’s a problem I never anticipated: My mother Has outlived her life insurance policy🤣 take the payout and pay taxes or convert?

By Kathy Jones
Robust Jobs Gains Push Unemployment to 4.3%, Yields Rise
SocialApr 3, 2026

Robust Jobs Gains Push Unemployment to 4.3%, Yields Rise

Good jobs report with 178k job growth and the unemployment rate edging down to 4.3%. The revisions were small at 7K. Bond yields rise. (Note this report was pre-war.)

By Kathy Jones
Fed Sees Optimism: Growth up, Jobs Down, Inflation Easing
SocialMar 18, 2026

Fed Sees Optimism: Growth up, Jobs Down, Inflation Easing

Fed SEP shows a lot of optimism with GDP growth picking up, the unemployment rate coming down and inflation easing.

By Kathy Jones
Yield-Oil Divergence Signals Market Concern Shift
SocialMar 12, 2026

Yield-Oil Divergence Signals Market Concern Shift

War continues. I am watching the cross asset class correlations. So far, bond yields and oil have moved together on inflation concerns. But eventually high oil prices are negative for growth. When bond yields fall as oil prices rise it’s...

By Kathy Jones
Ten-Year Yields Rise Above 4% Amid Brief Conflict Reaction
SocialMar 2, 2026

Ten-Year Yields Rise Above 4% Amid Brief Conflict Reaction

Ten-year treasury yields are back above 4%. Very short-lived reaction to the conflict in Middle East. https://t.co/CSDtKBWAFO

By Kathy Jones
Equities Slip, Yields Dip Below 4%, Dollar Softens
SocialFeb 27, 2026

Equities Slip, Yields Dip Below 4%, Dollar Softens

Friday: Equity futures lower again, treasury yields down by 2-3 bps with ten-year yield dipping below 4%. Dollar softer. PPI due out today.

By Kathy Jones
Fed Minutes Reveal Mixed Inflation, AI Boosts Productivity
SocialFeb 20, 2026

Fed Minutes Reveal Mixed Inflation, AI Boosts Productivity

In this week's #OnInvesting, @LizAnnSonders and I talk about Fed minutes, mixed signals on inflation & unemployment, and weakness in the survey data. Liz Ann & @KevRGordon discuss the latest GDP report and the impact of tariffs, AI-driven investment and...

By Kathy Jones
Equity Futures Slip, Yields Rise Slightly Ahead of Jobless Claims
SocialFeb 19, 2026

Equity Futures Slip, Yields Rise Slightly Ahead of Jobless Claims

Thursday: Equity futures lower, treasury yields edge higher by 1-2 bps and dollar steady. Jobless claims in focus today.

By Kathy Jones
Hawks Push Back, Hint at Two‑Sided Policy Language
SocialFeb 18, 2026

Hawks Push Back, Hint at Two‑Sided Policy Language

FOMC minutes suggest that the hawks pushed back. "Several would support two-sided language" about policy direction and "several" noted that if inflation remains high, rate hikes might be necessary.

By Kathy Jones
Weak Data Fuels Bonds, 15% Growth Now Unrealistic
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Weak Data Fuels Bonds, 15% Growth Now Unrealistic

Soft retail sales, ECI flat for quarter and ADP jobs figures on the low end of expectations. Good data for the bond market, but that 15% GDP growth rate looks out of reach.

By Kathy Jones
Equities Edge up as Dollar Slips, Data Awaits
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Equities Edge up as Dollar Slips, Data Awaits

Tuesday: Equity futures slightly higher, dollar weaker and treasury yields nearly unchanged. Retail sales, Employment Cost Index and Import prices out today.

By Kathy Jones