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Luke Gromen

Luke Gromen

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Founder, FFTT; macro on USD, global liquidity, and policy.

Recent Posts

Weaker Dollar Spurs Record Foreign Inflows
Social•Feb 21, 2026

Weaker Dollar Spurs Record Foreign Inflows

1. Chart in original post shows the weaker USD (DXY) gets, the more flows will move into USD assets...& DXY had biggest drop in 52 yrs in 1H25👇 2. So as long as DXY keeps falling 10-15%/yr, foreign** inflows will grow **37% of net UST note & bond issuance since 2022 was bought by Cayman HF's (US hedge funds = not really "foreign".)

By Luke Gromen
China’s Defense Surplus Funding Threatens US Corporate Influence
Social•Feb 20, 2026

China’s Defense Surplus Funding Threatens US Corporate Influence

Sad to watch so many analysts and economists argue that it is a "win" to allow China to continue to deploy surpluses earned from making a significant % of the US military for us 👇into US equity stakes which China...

By Luke Gromen
Foreign Central Banks Sell USTs Even as Dollar Weakens
Social•Feb 16, 2026

Foreign Central Banks Sell USTs Even as Dollar Weakens

One of a number of potentially important macro divergences that occurred in 2H25 is shown below. For the prior 10+ years, foreign Central Banks sold USTs when the USD rose and bought USTs when the USD fell. In 2H25, foreign CB’s sold...

By Luke Gromen