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Michael Kantro

Michael Kantro

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Chief Investment Strategist (Piper Sandler); HOPE framework, U.S. equity cycle.

Recent Posts

Broader Market Defies Mega‑Cap AI Volatility Narrative
Social•Feb 22, 2026

Broader Market Defies Mega‑Cap AI Volatility Narrative

In this episode, Michael and Stephen break down one of the most confusing market environments in years. While volatility in mega-cap software and AI names has grabbed headlines, the broader market is quietly telling a very different story. https://t.co/uhRhg9iiil

By Michael Kantro
2026 Poised as Decade’s Best Year for Active Management
Social•Feb 21, 2026

2026 Poised as Decade’s Best Year for Active Management

2026 could be the best year for active management in decades. The combination of a heavily concentrated index alongside a period of cyclical broadening provides for a backdrop of most stocks beating the benchmark.

By Michael Kantro
Investors Shift to Staples Amid Mag‑7 CAP‑Ex Weakness
Social•Feb 20, 2026

Investors Shift to Staples Amid Mag‑7 CAP‑Ex Weakness

In my weekly markets video for clients, I highlighted how investors have gone from “7 to Staples”. Usually, growing macro risks lead to Staples leadership. This time macro isn’t the issue, but it could be due to Mag 7’s idiosyncratic...

By Michael Kantro
Long‑duration Assets Like Bitcoin, Growth Stocks Lose Favor
Social•Feb 19, 2026

Long‑duration Assets Like Bitcoin, Growth Stocks Lose Favor

Bitcoin's drop has coincided with a decline in the Russell 1000's Pure Growth P/E. What do they have in common? Both are long-duration, and are being shunned during the underlying rotation into shorter-duration (cyclical) securities (think value, dividend payers, Energy...

By Michael Kantro
EW Tech Beats S&P 500 Amid Ongoing Rotation
Social•Feb 18, 2026

EW Tech Beats S&P 500 Amid Ongoing Rotation

Despite the YTD losses in the Tech sector, the EW Tech sector (the avg Tech stock) is outperforming the S&P 500 this year. Plenty of Tech names to own that remain in an uptrend as a market rotation continues to...

By Michael Kantro
Institutional Sentiment Swings Rapidly Amid AI Disruption Fears
Social•Feb 17, 2026

Institutional Sentiment Swings Rapidly Amid AI Disruption Fears

This week’s episode explores a dramatic shift in sentiment that unfolded in just a few days. Emily and Michael are joined by Jay Glickson (Macro Sales) to discuss what institutional investors are saying, how AI disruption fears are shaping their...

By Michael Kantro
Value Tilt Gains as Momentum Spread Widens 16%
Social•Feb 14, 2026

Value Tilt Gains as Momentum Spread Widens 16%

Classic monotonic pattern. When you see this pattern you know with a higher degree of certainty that it is one of THE drivers of how investors are positioning their portfolios. We’ve been recommending a value tilt since last fall, as...

By Michael Kantro
Broadening Value and Cyclical Rotation Driven by Fundamentals
Social•Feb 13, 2026

Broadening Value and Cyclical Rotation Driven by Fundamentals

We now have the longest and strongest breadth rotation in recent years. Notably, it’s the only rotation that has been propelled by broader macro and micro fundamentals rather than lower rates. We first recommended a broadening trade of value and...

By Michael Kantro