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Michael Lebowitz

Michael Lebowitz

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Portfolio manager/analyst; U.S. equity valuation/earnings/macro.

Recent Posts

Use Return Dispersion to Forecast Rotations and Outperform
Social•Feb 18, 2026

Use Return Dispersion to Forecast Rotations and Outperform

Periods of high return dispersion are an opportunity for investors. As return performance gaps widen and valuation spreads develop, the ability to quantify the current rotation regime and anticipate the next one can deliver outperformance relative to the broader index. https://t.co/mdMXjvuz3z

By Michael Lebowitz
Calm Market Surface Masks Powerful Underlying Volatility
Social•Feb 18, 2026

Calm Market Surface Masks Powerful Underlying Volatility

The current market picture we paint is well embodied by a quote from Jules Verne in 20,000 Leagues Under the Sea. “The sea was perfectly calm; scarcely a ripple disturbed its surface. But beneath this tranquil exterior, powerful currents were ...

By Michael Lebowitz
Investors Unwittingly Swap Value Stocks for Overpriced Picks
Social•Feb 13, 2026

Investors Unwittingly Swap Value Stocks for Overpriced Picks

The funny thing is that in this value rotation, many investors are unknowingly shifting from value stocks to expensive ones. https://t.co/wliuup8rSq

By Michael Lebowitz
TLT's 15-Year Low ATR Signals Potential Breakout
Social•Feb 10, 2026

TLT's 15-Year Low ATR Signals Potential Breakout

$TLT : The Average True Range (orange) is now the lowest in over 15 years. Something has to give. Might the plummeting @truflation readings be a clue to which direction a breakout might occur? https://t.co/0pEENxYpXs

By Michael Lebowitz