The Long Investor
Investor commentary focusing on market breadth and S&P internals; tracks where leadership and index participation are shifting.

Preserve Capital: Align Portfolio for Conflict‑driven Downturns
Your portfolio at all times needs to be positioned to preserve capital. During times of conflict this is important. Too many investors realize too late that their positions are high risk and not aligned to survive the downturns that might come with headlines. #investingtips #investingstrategy #marketcrash

Choosing UPS Vs. FedEx for a Decade-Long Hold
UPS x FDX Q4’25 $UPS or $FDX which one would you hold for the next 10 years? #investingtips #stockmarketnews #investingideas
Watch Insider Trades to Gauge Company Conviction
We use a lot of fundamental metrics at TLI to determine the true value of a company. That being said another thing to look at is insider buys and sells. They are the ones that know the operations of the...
NIO's First Profit Sparks Debate Over Tesla Rivalry
$NIO vs $TSLA Total deliveries growth. $NIO had its first profitable quarter recently. Have they finally turned the corner to sustainable growth and do you think this could rival Tesla? #tsla #investingadvice #stockmarketanalysis #marketvisuals
Skip Risky Trades; Invest in Undervalued, Long-Term Stocks
Don’t day trade Don’t use options Don’t use leverage Don’t use margin Buy undervalued companies & focus on the long term What’s so difficult about this?

Adobe's Strong Fundamentals Counter AI‑Fear Concerns
$ADBE Q1 2026 Adobe has been getting hit with the AI fear. Investors are worried that software will start to lose market share as AI becomes increasingly more popular. $ADBE fundamentally though is strong. What are your thoughts, is it...

Preserve Capital: Reallocate and Lock in Profits
It’s important to reallocate and manage your portfolio correctly as your positions grow. A lot of retail investors fail to crystallize profits. Manage your money correctly and remember the first rule is always preserve capital. Follow @thelonginvestor #investsmart #howtoinvest #stockmarkettips

Visa, Mastercard Thrive on Payment Rails, Not Lending
V x MA The world is moving toward digital payments. Visa and Mastercard sit at the center of that shift. They don’t need to lend money to win. They own the payment rails that banks and merchants rely on. Every swipe is another transaction on...
Don't Forget Dilution: Share Value Beats Company Size
Many investors ignore dilution. But if a company keeps issuing shares, your ownership percentage shrinks over time. Long-term investing isn’t about how big the company gets…it’s about how much each share becomes worth. #investingtips #investingstrategy #investingmindset
Market Holds Amid Chaos, One Final Rally Ahead
- Mixed Earnings - New Fed Chair - Multiple sectors collapsing - Aggressive Middle East War - Venezuela invaded - China challenging the US Dollar - US tariffs deemed illegal - Precious metals going parabolic - Oil spiking - $VIX running to 35 - Crypto completing an ABC correction And...
Bull Markets Gain More Than They Lose
Wave 2 retraces 50–61% of the length of Wave 1. Wave 4 retraces only 38% of the length of Wave 3, and then you get Wave 5, which is typically the same length as Wave 1. What does all this mean? It means...

BIDU Near 200‑WMA Support, ARK Buys
$BIDU pulled back to its 200 WMA and holding support Interesting to see ARK doing the smart thing here and adding on this support Golden Cross about to take place on the weekly chart too... Price is at $119 Mean Reversion Zone above...
Free Cash Flow Fuels Massive Stock Rebounds Like Meta
You may not remember when $META was at $87 It got the full blown $AMD treatment Zuck had ‘wrecked’ the company because of his Metaverse plans But what people failed to consider was their enormous FCF Price recovered and ran to $736 +840% This is where...
UPS Surpasses Median Forecast, Near 90% Target
Our fundamental team use the Monte Carlo simulation to derive a 12 month projection In September when $UPS was at $84, we shared our analysis The Median target was $106 The 90% percentile was $147 Price hit $120 recently We combine our fundamental analysis...