WARNING: I'm Shorting Oil NOW! Technical Analysis Signals Gold And Silver Downside Target

Gareth Soloway (Verified Investing)
Gareth Soloway (Verified Investing)Apr 29, 2026

Why It Matters

The forecast signals imminent downside risk for oil and precious metals, prompting traders to adjust exposure and risk management ahead of potential price corrections.

Key Takeaways

  • Oil may top near $107, targeting $79–$67 downside.
  • Short positions favored; 70‑80% success probability per analyst.
  • Gold expected to dip to $3,900 before rebounding to $4,400.
  • Silver likely breaks $66 support, falling toward $50 target.
  • US demand slowdown could push oil below $60 by 2027.

Summary

Gareth Soloway of Verified Investing.com warned that crude oil appears to be forming a technical top around $107 per barrel and announced he has begun shorting the market. He cited a parallel‑channel pattern and a shallow bounce off a bare‑flag formation as signals that a near‑term reversal is imminent, with downside targets ranging from $79 to a potential gap‑fill near $67, and a floor around $75‑$80 if strategic reserves resume buying. The analyst also outlined bearish mid‑term outlooks for precious metals. Gold is projected to slide to roughly $3,900 before finding support and rallying toward $4,400, while silver is expected to breach its $66‑$64 support zone and head toward a $50 target. Both metals exhibit classic down‑trend structures, though Soloway maintains a longer‑term bullish bias for gold beyond the next year. Soloway emphasized the probabilistic nature of his calls, stating, “I only take trades with a 70‑80% success rate,” and highlighted the parallel‑channel pattern that previously helped him predict market collapses. He also noted that U.S. economic strength will likely keep oil above $75, but a weakening economy could drive prices below $60 by late 2027. For investors, the analysis suggests positioning for oil short‑term declines, monitoring U.S. demand indicators, and treating gold and silver as short‑term losers with potential longer‑term rebounds. The technical cues provided could inform risk‑managed entry points for traders seeking to capitalize on the anticipated commodity pullbacks.

Original Description

In this market breakdown, Master Trader Gareth Soloway from Verified Investing dives deep into the latest volatile moves across the commodities market. We are currently looking at a massive technical resistance level for oil, suggesting that price is likely topping out and presenting a prime setup for shorting oil. While we could see a slight push higher, the charts indicate a high-probability pivot for an eventual move down to the $75 to $79 range, and potentially much lower into the $50s if we begin to see true U.S. demand destruction.
Next, we shift our focus to the precious metals sector to map out our gold forecast and silver prediction. In the near term, gold has rolled over, signaling a bearish midterm outlook with potential targets testing the $3,500 to $3,900 range before any massive long-term bullish breakouts occur. Similarly, silver is forming a classic bear flag pattern. Despite the critics, the technical analysis points to silver flushing down to the $50 level, washing out weak hands who bought in hoping to get rich quick. Ultimately, physical metals serve as a phenomenal long-term hedge against degrading fiat currency, but understanding these short-term chart corrections is vital for traders.
🕒 Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro: Oil Surging vs. Metals Collapsing
00:33 - Why I'm Shorting Oil: Key Technical Levels
01:31 - The Parallel Channel & Probability in Trading
03:28 - Downside Targets for Oil ($79, $67, and Macro Factors)
05:19 - Gold Forecast: Mid-Term Bearish, Long-Term Bullish
06:56 - Silver Prediction: Bear Flag & The $50 Price Target

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