META Broken Wing Butterfly | High Probability Setup
•March 10, 2026
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Why It Matters
The strategy demonstrates how traders can capture upside in META while protecting capital, showcasing the practical value of broken‑wing butterflies in choppy markets.
Key Takeaways
- •Weekly 100‑SMA acts as strong support for META
- •Bullish divergent bar on weekly chart has 9/10 follow‑through rate
- •Monthly squeeze targets $744, aiming for higher high within three bars
- •Debit broken‑wing butterfly costs $110, max profit $8.90 per contract
- •Stop loss set below 630‑625; break triggers trade exit
Summary
In the video, Simpler Trading’s director of risk tolerance, Alison Nostrander, walks viewers through a high‑probability options setup on Meta Platforms (META), focusing on a debit broken‑wing butterfly that expires in May.
She points out that META’s daily chart remains choppy, but the weekly 100‑day SMA has resumed as a reliable support level, and a weekly squeeze is forming. A bullish divergent bar on the weekly timeframe carries a 9‑out‑of‑10 follow‑through probability, while the monthly chart shows a consolidation that could produce a bullish squeeze targeting $744 within the next three bars.
Nostrander emphasizes the trade’s risk‑reward profile: a $110 debit for a maximum profit of $8.90 per contract, with a breakeven around $7.40 and a fallback profit of $3.90 if the price settles near $1.20. She also sets a “line in the sand” at a close below $630‑$625, which would invalidate the bullish bias.
For options traders, the broken‑wing butterfly offers asymmetric upside while limiting downside, making it suitable for small accounts seeking high reward with controlled risk. The setup illustrates how multi‑timeframe analysis and divergence signals can guide entry points in a volatile market.
Original Description
META is setting up in a way that could catch a lot of traders off guard. In this video, Allison Ostrander breaks down a bullish META options trade idea built around higher-timeframe support, multiple squeezes, and a strong risk-to-reward profile.
If you’ve been struggling with the choppy market this year, this breakdown shows how to stay selective, define risk, and structure a trade that gives you time to be right. Allison explains why META stands out on the weekly and monthly charts, why the 100 SMA matters here, and how a bullish divergent bar could create upside toward the 744 level.
She also walks through a debit broken wing butterfly strategy using the May monthly expiration, making this especially useful for traders looking for a small-account options strategy with controlled downside and meaningful upside potential. You’ll learn why this structure can still profit even if the move happens early or pushes through the target faster than expected.
Whether you trade META regularly or you’re looking for smarter bullish options setups in a difficult market, this video gives you a practical framework for balancing timing, structure, and account protection.
Timestamps
00:00 Intro and why META is on watch
00:16 Weekly 100 SMA support and squeeze setup
00:47 Monthly consolidation and bullish divergence target
01:33 Why this trade fits a choppy market
02:02 The Meta broken wing butterfly trade structure
02:41 Why this options strategy works even with imperfect timing
03:56 Key risk level and line in the sand
If you enjoyed this META trade breakdown, like the video, drop a comment with your outlook on META, and subscribe for more options trading strategies, market analysis, and high-probability setups.
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