Vol Sellers Fade as Inverse Volatility Spikes, Then Stalls
From the $SPX low on 3/30 through 4/14, $SPX was up 9.8% while $SVIX (inverse vol) rocketed 31% higher. Since 4/14, $SPX is up another 2.3% while $SVIX has run out of gas, up a measly 0.7%. Vol sellers have backed off.
Vol Trading Thrives Whenever Fed Steers Markets
2018: Great year for vol trading 2020: Historically great year for vol trading 2024: Good year for vol trading 2025: Great year for vol trading 2026 (Q1): Good start for vol trading All under “Fed control”…….. Lol
Stock Volatility Approaches Crude and Gold Levels
What's next? Wrong on stock market volatility catching up to crude and gold volatility so far
Buy VIX High, Transfer Risk Low—Don’t Wait
Everybody's asking me: "When's the next VIX spike, Alex?" I called Spike 1. I've been pointing at Spike 2 for weeks. But here's the truth — don't wait for the ice cream van that doesn't turn up. Probability is high. Certainty is not. Buy...
Oil Dip to $60 Could Lift S&P 10%
While oil gurus and geopolitical experts were opining with confidence on the potential outcomes we said we don't know shit. Here is our DSR from 3/22. https://t.co/268Hkj6EKA Herein we just considered scenarios and how they play out in macro based...
Leveraged ETF Buying Likely Absorbs Market Stall
Seller but jeez. The "Stall" and leveraged ETF buying will likely absorb. Of course deep call rolls at the close is delta for sale. https://t.co/RXUSfWqvTr
War's End Relieves Treasury Funding, Swap Spreads Expand
With the possibility of war ending, US Treasury funding pressure looks to be easing helping swap spreads widen. Nice move today https://t.co/q4hDJXSsiz
Contrarian Arbitrage: Long $TEAM, Short $SNDK
$TEAM Daily. AI star $SNDK set to replace bludgeoned software $TEAM in the Nasdaq-100 on Monday. A contrarian "arbitrage" pair trade would be Long $TEAM (or calls) and Short $SNDK (or puts). https://t.co/fVLrRiEHFK
Closed Ally and Carvana April Call Spreads
sold to close $ALLY Apr 42 calls and $CVNA Apr 24 Exp 352.50/382.50 call spreads
J&J Earnings Fly Trade Targets 180% Return
J&J (JNJ) buyer 1000 May $230 calls $9.25 trades with the $240 calls that may be adjusting or new spread, earnings put fly trade good for 180% gain here to take
SPY Gains Positive Gamma Exposure Near $710 Support
What a crazy market... Just a few minutes into the open, I am seeing considerable positive gamma exposure building overhead on $SPY. Tons of positive exposure is building at $710, with support forming at $705. Let's see how data develops into...
Traders Boost Futures on Rising 2026 Fed Cut Odds
JUST IN: U.S. short-term interest rate futures climbed as traders bet on higher odds of a Fed rate cut in 2026.
Buy Call Spread, Sell Put: Ally Trade Strategy
$ALLY "Trade Idea 2: Buy the April 43/44 Call Spread (45 cents) and sell the April 40 Put for 15 cents." sell to close call spread on any weakness in stock. puts expire.
Fed Swaps Signal Dovish Pivot, Pricing 15bps Cuts by December
JUST IN: Fed swaps indicate a dovish pivot, pricing 15 bps in rate cuts by December.
Buy 120 Call Calendar, Sell 99 Put
$NFLX "Trade Idea 3: Buy the April/May 120 Call Calendar ($1.05) and sell the April 99 Put for 50 cents.' may need to roll puts down and out, April calls expire leaving a May call