Options & Derivatives Social Media and Updates
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Everyone thinks VWAP is the edge… it’s not ❌ The real edge? Understanding the VALUE AREA around it 🎯 👉 Inside value → fade the edges 👉 Outside value → follow the move That’s the difference between guessing… and reading the market 📊 Comment “VALUE” and I’ll send you the breakdown 📩 Save this so you don’t forget 💾 #vwaptrading #tradingtips #futures
JUST IN: Brent crude oil futures surged 60% in March, delivering the biggest monthly gain ever.
[FREE] 👉 Live trade 9am NY: https://t.co/66dSROf2rQ ─────── 📈 GC Current Price Above VWAP · Bias: Long ⬆️ Buy rips through 4724.20 ⬆️ Buy dips at 4691.50 ─────── 🌏 Asia ORB Readings High: 4724.20 | Low: 4691.50 | Range: 32.70 pts
The 5-day Equity-Only Put/Call Ratio has been sitting near 2-year range highs The setup for a short-covering rally was there Tough tape if you can't stay reactive $SPY $QQQ https://t.co/5RbeIFVmNC
With the Hormuz Strait all but closed, the crude oil futures curve is back to the backwardation levels of the first few days of the conflict. The front contract is about $23 higher than the 9th contract, indicating that the...
Actually, the takeaway should be that very few humans can risk manage something both ways (up and down days) when that something's Vol ramps > 30. At least this human didn't
Volatility indices across the spectrum have continued to remain elevated, from oil (OVX) to stocks (VIX) to bonds (MOVE). The market has remained in a state of stress, even as the drawdowns in the private credit leaders have moderated. https://t.co/iWYDR6GvD2
Don't even ask the question. The answer is yes, it's within the collar. Think the S&P is going to rip to new all-time highs? Sorry, there's a short call at 7155 capping your upside. The hedge fund already sold it....
White smoke can be seen billowing out of the top of the JP Morgan building as a new JPM collar strike has been chosen https://t.co/UWJFjOF7Rr
to put this into context, i mark the average open px for the 0DTE SPX straddle at $44 2 hours left $32 is like an FOMC day https://t.co/nvzRnpkt0F
Extremely Low Positioning: Both #COMEX and #SHFE #silver open interest are currently trading at the very bottom of their historical ranges
Nasdaq (QQQ) 3250 September $515 puts sold to open $20.10, making $495 a floor level to eye later this year and even $515 itself is AVWAP off 2022 lows and long-term channel support https://t.co/AYJgeMyq8o
The $VIX closed above 30 in each of the last 2 trading days. Historically, this level of fear in the Volatility Index has been associated with above-average future stock market returns (+21% over the next year on average). But the...
I am also beginning to leg into long bond shorts against a portion of this position to play for a steepener.
$Eur approaching $1.15. Between today and tomorrow around 6.5 bln euros of options expire. $GBP approaching $1.3250 where GBP650 mln options expire today. https://t.co/bSx6eAhEKQ
This is TRACE, the most accurate SPX GEX map you can get. It also updates faster than any GEX map 😏. Remember: +50% of SPX flow is 0DTE and so if you are tracking gamma, you need to see that...
Equity futures are up, but so is energy. Maybe we can have it both ways. 😀 https://t.co/i3bGq3ZY9M
U.S. GAS FUTURESprices for the front-month have slipped well below $3 per million British thermal units to encourage more gas-fired generation and reduce coal combustion. Inflation-adjusted front-month futures have averaged just $3.05 so far in March (21st percentile for all...
The mainline of risk to have avoided was this #RussVol Breakout into the F-Bucket https://t.co/bOeSGKPost
Asia's coal benchmark is at a 17-month high as Middle East conflict chokes gas supplies 🪨⚠️ Australian Newcastle coal futures for April hit $144.25/ton on Monday (the March contract expired Friday at $135.60) Asian countries are expanding use of coal to cut...
Nike RH & BYND may be the Earnings Lottos tomorrow They all may also IV crush 🤣
Just keep credit spreads from blowing out for a few more weeks is all I ask.
So this is not to say this setup isn't better than say September, but I can't think of a worse game to play without knowing the entirety of bounds 'Oversolds' and positioning often have their largest moves in the tails...
There has only been a few times in the past 20 years that the Volatility Index ($VIX) has traded at these levels: • 2008 Global Financial Crises 50+ • Covid-19 crash 50+ • U.S.-Iran Conflict 35+ Think of the VIX as a “fear”...
LeverageShares filing for an inverse and -2x Bitcoin Volatility ETF. Like $XIV and $TVIX but for Bitcoin. https://t.co/N8XxMw12uQ
Tomorrow, Binance will launch futures trading for oil and natural gas with leverage of up to 100x. Something is brewing… https://t.co/2UrdYDAhxr
S&P 500 futures can't get out from under the downtrend line. Every bounce gets sold. Measured move target: 6,316. Next stop lower until something changes structurally.
Equity vol is just oil vol as you see by how the relationship changed after the Iran debacle started. CL now +104... I think VIX "outperforms" at some point. Good luck. https://t.co/DX8MdVrYpP
Is $3 the New $2 Floor for US Natural Gas? The front US natural gas future hasn't ended a quarter below $3 per million BTUs since 2Q24. Is $3 replacing $2 as the new floor? The 2026-27 winter should be a...
2025 quant hedge fund returns. And you think you cannot compete in 2026? You can, this is how:
Month end comes at a most interesting time for the DXY. The market was super complacent in early March and now appears to be hedged a fair bit as risk reversals have blown out in EURUSD etc (bid for EUR puts). I...
This is the part in the game where you identify the correct move London showed us a direction With little to no pullbacks and or retest at all Now we’ve got to watch NY session for continuation It just gave us...
While digging around seeing how people are trading the Private Lending situation led to some interesting OTM longer dated put purchases in $BX $APO and $FSK from last week - https://t.co/10pm9cs0Bw
International fund managers have become so relaxed that many are no longer hedging against stock market declines. The percentage of managers who are currently hedging has fallen to its lowest level in eight years. https://t.co/P9FEnZ6gYs
Net Gamma Exposure for $SPY shows elevated negative exposure at $634-$635. I have resistance currently at $640, where positive exposure is slightly building. Be cautious of catalysts, Trump claims to be "close" to a deal.
"Despite the shortened week, the options market is implying over a 3.4% move for SPX. Not quite as extreme as we saw last year, but still one of the largest 1-week implied moves we have had over the last five...
AN OG WHALE HAS JUST OPENED A $32,000,000 BITCOIN SHORT POSITION WITH 40X CROSS LEVERAGE. They will be completely wiped out if the price hits $81,186. 👀 https://t.co/wRZEMuk5eg
Fed funds futures mostly back to "normal" as the near term rate hike gets priced out. Live chart vs last Thurs. https://t.co/F0dnQCJ9pu
While history rhymes, what is different this time inevitably reflects what we did in response to the last crisis. Thank you @Spencerjakab for reminding the crowd that, no, oil futures didn't exist during the last gas crisis. They were a...
The switch keeps expanding. That spread is moving the wrong way if you are bullish https://t.co/m2ctrSUvzX
The volatility we saw in 2025 is showing up again in 2026. Large down days are starting to stack up early in the year. https://t.co/vxrQyvPxGt
$spx futs +35 reversed off the overnight lows. Makes today’s set up different. It means more patience and we’ll see if early strength holds/fades or builds. We will map out some levels And trade the market in front of us....
🌍 US-China tech tensions escalate, risk-off mood grips ─────── 📈 Price > VWAP — Bias: Long · Buy rips through 23,299 · Buy dips at 23,251 ─────── 🌏 Asia ORB Set | MNQ High: 23,299 ⬆️ | Low: 23,251 ⬆️ | Range: 48 pts ─────── 🎬 Live...
Think of the 1-year forward 1-year inflation swap as a market gauge for the current inflation vs growth battle. At the start of the war, the forward measure surged higher along with the current 1-year swap as inflation concerns dominated, but...
The one detail at the end makes all the difference. #optionstrading #sellingputs #investingforbeginners #passiveincome #stockmarket
🇺🇸 NY ORB Set | MNQ High: 23,400 | Low: 23,350 | Range: 50 📈 Price > VWAP — Bias: Long · Buy rips through 23,400 · Buy dips at 23,350 🎬 Live trade 9am: https://t.co/66dSROeuCi
Just relax about this supposed 4,000 crore loss on FX unwinding. Just in the past month the INR has depreciated by over 4%. All these positions would not have been set up for the first time at Friday 27th close....
🌏 Asia ORB Set | GC High: 4537.70 | Low: 4511.80 🎬 Live trade 9am: https://t.co/UFRUqEw6Kf ─────── 🌍 Middle East tensions spike, driving safe-haven bids. ─────── 📊 Gold futures grinding higher, testing 4535.00 resistance. ─────── 🎯 Watch 4537.70 ORB high—break ignites bullish surge.
Most traders use Volume Profile… but never set it up right 🤦♂️📊 If your profile looks chunky and sloppy, fix this one setting: Tick per row → raise it. Cleaner profile. Better detail. Smarter reads. ✅ Small tweak. Big difference. #VolumeProfile #FuturesTrading #TradingTips
Conflict risk combined with deeply negative gamma has destabilized markets. With a massive vol premium still embedded, the risk is that realized volatility catches up to meet implied vols. Read our full breakdown: https://t.co/n0KqLMYeDl
