Cheap SPCE $3 Calls Signal Potential Frothiness
Virgin Galactic (SPCE) 8000 June $3 calls bought $0.38 to $0.42 May be a bit frothy when they start buying calls in SPCE
Soybean Meal Insight Soon to Be Claimed by Others
Just a matter of time before other futures market "analysts" feature Soybean Meal as if it were their idea $ZM_F https://t.co/uTVT1DFMKr
Covered Call Strategy Spotlight: Intel and Micron
Last Friday, I joined @CNBCClosingBell with @TheJudgeCNBC to detail our covered call strategy with Intel $INTC and Micron $MU. ➡️Link: https://t.co/B23bvI94Ku @cwp_advisor https://t.co/uFDU4GsAY0
Price Controls Temporarily Bridge Futures‑Physical Gap, Then Collapse
Another way to say "disconnect between futures & physical" is "price controls." Price controls work for a while...until they don't.
SPY Eyes $55k, Calls Surge Amid 1999 Vibes
S&P $SPY 55,000 Sep. 30th (Q) $825 calls buying 3.89 to 3.95 into record highs Partying like its 1999
Yield vs Oil: Diverging Trends on 3-Day Tick Chart
3-day tick chart ... * White (right scale), U.S. 10-year yield * Blue (left scale), June WTI Crude Oil Futures What is the difference? https://t.co/nwUGdEL9j4
China Drives Platinum Surge, Prompting South African Production Boost
China is pulling platinum into the country hard. A major Chinese refiner reports surging physical delivery demand on the new Guangzhou Futures Exchange platinum contract. Speculators and industrial users are opting for delivery rather than closing shorts, capturing the premium over...
Costless Collars Thrive When Spot and Vol Rise
Great stuff. Stock replacement trades in a vol up spot up don't work. But costless collars are extremely attractive
S&P Call Skew Hits 99th Percentile, Nets Forced Upside
Interesting stats from GS: - S&P call skew is the most extreme since “Liberation Day” last year — in the 99th percentile on a two-year lookback - Brian Garrett wrote: “Those who refused to increase nets at any point in the last...
Corn Set for Second-Half Price Pressure, Consumers Benefit
Corn, Like Crude, Faces 2H Price Pressure Similar to crude oil, the US is the largest producer of corn and a net exporter, while prices have bounced in 1H and domestic supplies are ample. The recipe benefits consumers, not prices. Full report...
Corn Rebounds; Post‑flush Rally May Become Sustainable
Corn start of another daily swing up after a long liquidation flush. After these flushes a more sustainable rally can take hold. https://t.co/gUHutZKqay
Corn Bets May Be More Vulnerable than Soy
🔥Speculators built record bullish bets across U.S. grains & oilseeds in the first week of May, anchored by massive net longs in corn and soybeans. But which of those positions looks more vulnerable right now? I break this down in my...
Massive BTC Liquidations Signal Downside Pain Ahead
$4,300,000,000 in short liquidations if $BTC pumps $10,000. $14,500,000,000 in long liquidations if Bitcoin dumps $10,000. Max pain still remains to the downside over the next 2-3 months. https://t.co/2bvYwhCd0j
Apple Near $295 ATH, Bullish Setup Targets $400
$AAPL Trade Set Up 5/11/26 🚨 -Approaching ATH Level $295 -Bullish Price Action -Wedbush Raises PT To $400 -Potential Break Of Structure Into New Highs Set up -Next Pivot $299+ above $295 -Key Retrace Levels For Bounce: $290 Full premium watchlist in my bio 🤝
Traders See 89% Chance Strategy Will Dump BTC, Volatility Expected
🚨 On Polymarket, traders are now pricing in an 89% chance that Strategy will start selling $BTC. If this happens, market volatility could spike hard. 👀 https://t.co/rKKMs6iyDS
Brent Slides 6% to $101, Monday Likely Flat
Brent futures price fell $6.88 (6%) from $108.17 to $101.29 week ending May 8 Downward or sideways price movement is likely on Monday based on 12-month spreads #energy #OOTT #oilandgas #WTI #CrudeOil #fintwit #OPEC #Commodities #commoditiesmarket https://t.co/mfF2wiV847
Rule‑Based Algorithms Beat Emotional Guesswork in Futures
Most retail traders are guessing entries, moving stop losses, and revenge trading. Meanwhile algorithmic trading systems use confirmations, market structure, and risk management to execute trades without emotion. That’s the difference between gambling and rule based futures trading.
Bulls Target Asian AI Chip Semis Amid Geopolitical Risks
Macro: Bulls shift to Asia. Drivers: AI-hardware surge, Korea/Taiwan semis; vols rising. Risks: geopolitics, abrupt consolidation. Trade: buy long-call structures on Korea/Taiwan semiconductors. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
WTI Spreads Hit Record Despite Lower Futures Prices
Record WTI spreads at lower futures prices than previous highs The market is pricing an acute near-term squeeze and a belief that it resolves #OilMarkets #WTI #Futures #Energy https://t.co/jobAC4TV8G
Vol‑control Funds Buy $5.6B, Still $100B Under Cap
Vol-control funds are net buyers this week. $5.6B in buys on Friday alone. Still $100B below the cap.
Crude Oil at Record Premium Over Gas Signals Reversion Risk
Crude Oil's Extreme Premium vs. Itself, Natural Gas Crude has never stretched to a greater premium to its 100-week moving average and vs. the price of natural gas in the history of WTI futures trading (since 1985) and US natural gas...
Covered Calls Cap Upside, Cushion Downside Risks
What happens to Covered Calls if the stock crashes or skyrockets? #coveredcalls #OptionsTrading #tradingstrategy #stockmarket
TSLA Trade: $4 Risk Targets 50+ Point Gain
Can anyone point out the RDR in $TSLA. Risk $4 to make almost 50+ points with many ways to add cash flow. https://t.co/mmYshy2H7t
Build an Algo Trading Hedge Fund in Six Minutes
This guy literally explains how to build an algorithmic trading hedge fund from scratch in under 6 minutes. This is crazy:
Buy Short‑Dated Refined‑Product Futures Amid Tight Global Oil Stocks
GS: global oil stocks at ~98 DoD; rapid depletion, regional concentration and naphtha/LPG/jet shortages risk local fuel runs. Trade: buy short-dated refined-product futures. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA. More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Bull Flag Breakout Hits 7300, Eyes Higher Targets
Big Picture View: 1 week ago, when #ES_F was 7180, I posted it spent the week building a bull flag 7198-7080. I was looking for a breakout to 7300+, we got it Plan Next Week: ES needs to digest this and...
Reverse Carry Trade Starts, Yen Rescue Underway
I'm right. They are preparing to save the Yen. I'm fucking right. Phase 1 of the reverse carry trade HAS begun. Like and repost if you fucking understand this.
Follow Market Structure, Avoid Forced, Emotional Trades
Most traders fail in futures trading because they come into the market trying to force trades instead of following market structure and risk management. That leads to overtrading revenge trading emotional trading and blowing accounts. Consistent traders focus on high...
Find Longs Where Shorts Deem Options Cheap
Was discussing this idea with a mm just yesterday. They mentioned that this was a good place to look for longs since you catch people short who think the options are cheap so it has the contrarian thing you need...
Mag 7 Generates $96M in Calls, $12M Spike Near Close
$12M Call Spike on Mag 7 into the close. $96M Net Calls on Mag 7 today.
Investors Chase Absurdly Cheap, Ultra‑out‑of‑the‑money Calls
I don't know what's crazier. That someone is buying the $MU Jan $1360 calls? Or that they're going for $57? 😂Gotta love this market.
Today's Gas Futures Mirror 2022 Peak, Pre‑war Levels
US gasoline (RBOB) futures curve today (white), the day before the Iran War kicked off (blue), and around the all-time highs of June 2022 (orange) https://t.co/v35dgEexze
Tesla Undervalued: Driverless Robotaxis Under $500
While people online were calling me a moron, an asshole, and shitting their pants over a minor correction I was buying calls Tesla remains dramatically undervalued. There are driverless pure vision Robotaxis on the road and it’s still trading under...
Backwardation Masks True Oil Price, Reflects Convenience Yield
Below we see the front contract for crude oil, as well as its 9-month forward (purple line). For WTI the spread is $109 vs $75. That’s called backwardation, and the lazy interpretation (of which I have been guilty) is that...
High-Yield Bond Flash Warning: Historical Chart Worth Watching
Tom clued me into this a number of years ago. Here's a look that goes back farther and highlights a couple of other times when it's been valuable (2018 and 2022). Nothing's perfect but this one should be on your...
Investor Places Massive $30
Intel (INTC) buyer of 1000 January 2028 $170 max strike calls $30 to $31.50 👀👀
Buy May 8 Call Spread, Sell Put for Credit
$COIN "Trade Idea 2: Buy the May 8 Expiry 197.50/200 Call Spread ($1.30) and sell the May 8 Expiry 175 Put for a 5 cent credit." Puts expire, unfortunately so does call spread
Buy 69/71 Call Spread, Sell 60 Put on AFRM
$AFRM "Trade Idea 2: Buy the May 8 Expiry 69/71 Call Spread ($1.25) and sell the May 8 Expiry 60 Put for 25 cents." Sell to close call spread on anly weakness in stock, look early. Puts expire
Oil Backwardation May Signal Deeper, Lasting Market Stress
My sense has been that the market is interpreting the backwardated oil strip as a glass half full, concluding that the forward price of $75 is “right” and that the spot price of $109 is temporary. But what if it’s...
ETH Gap Lags Behind BTC, Risking Correction
$ETH has only filled around 15% of its CME Gap so far, while $BTC has already filled nearly 85% of its own CME Gap. Can ETH hold its trendline support and fully close the gap, or is a correction still inevitable?...
Earnings Gainers Spike on Unusual Call Alerts, TTD Put Underwater
FROG, LASR, TNDM, AKAM big earnings gainers that each saw unusual call trade alerts yesterday; TTD put seller for Oct. starts underwater but has time
South Koreans Dominate HK Leveraged ETF, Prompting Licensing Rule
Yes, this is a good point. The majority of the trading in HK’s 2x SK Hynix ETF thing is South Koreans, which highest degen/capita rate in world. To the point where the govt now requires people to take a class...
Asia’s 2x Hynix ETF Becomes Market’s Fourth Largest
This is crazy: They have a new 2x SK Hynix ETF in Hong Kong (7709 HK) and it is already the 4th biggest ETF in that market commanding 5% of all the aum. That would be like if a 2x...
Sell Calls, Buy VIX: Counterintuitive Yet Viable Trade
thinking aloud... correlations already in the toilet. for vol to fall singles vol needs to fall we are in spot up vol up in singles so if you sell singles calls and buy VIX, it's logical rel value trade but sounds like suicide....
2x CRWV Surge Fuels 40% AMDL Rise
the 2x crwv being gobbled up, this tactic has had yuge wins, amdl was like 40% in an hour https://t.co/GY63g2wzgh
Contemplating Extreme SPX Bets: Calls or Puts?
Kinda feels like I should either buy the SPX 10,000 calls or the 5,000 puts. Or both.
100k+ $320 Apple Calls Expire Worthless in August
Nothing to see there, 100k + August $320 Calls gone off on Apple $AAPL Barron can you hear me??
First US BNB ETF Opens Door for Leveraged Crypto Funds
My conversation w/ @GilbertieSal... We cover: -1st US-listed ETF offering BNB price exposure -How XBNB ETF paves way for other issuers -Swaps & innerworkings of leveraged ETFs -2x leveraged XRP ETF -@TeucriumETFs white label service https://t.co/qOawTbLphb via @CryptoPrimePod https://t.co/hIhAVmkNcx
Options Predict $20 Swing; Is RocketLab Worth $45B?
RocketLab earnings 🚨 Options market is projecting a (+/-) $20 move by mid-June (per implied volatility). At a $45 billion valuation, are you buying?
Open Ceiling, Volatility Hedging Beats Soft Protection
Most hedged equity funds offer "soft protection" that fails on the way down and caps you on the way up. We spent April proving why an open ceiling and volatility-based hedging is the better way to play market rips. https://t.co/iwoFg5xu7R