Buy ZM May Call Spread, Sell
$ZM "Trade Idea 2: Buy the May 22 Expiry 99/100 Call Spread (85 cents) and sell the May 22 Expiry 90 Put for a 5 cent credit." puts expire. Sell call spread near 1.00 or watch to max out at the close
Buy NVDA May Put Spread, Sell on Strength
$NVDA "Trade Idea 1: Buy the May 22 Expiry 220/215-212.50 1×2 Put Spread for a 5 cent credit.' sell to close a 220/215 put spread on any strength in stock. Let IV fall then an buy to close remaining...
Binance Launches SpaceX Perpetual Futures for Pre‑IPO Retail Exposure
Binance just rolled out perpetual futures for SpaceX. This gives retail traders direct exposure to SpaceX before a potential Nasdaq listing. You can now trade SpaceX before it even goes public. 🚀 https://t.co/77iOyNWsh5
Sell May 22 205/232.50 Strangle for $2 Credit
$LOW "Trade Idea 4: Sell the May 22 Expiry 205/232.50 Strangle for a $2.00 credit." looks to expire, let IV fall then can buy to close or watch.
Speculators Hold Deepest Short Positions in US Futures Since April 2023
The latest CoT data shows speculators are short equity futures across the S&P 500, Nasdaq-100 (most net short since Apr'23), S&P 400, and Russell 2000. via Bespoke
Massive Jan 2027 Put Orders Signal Unusual Market Strategy
There was a very unusual trend in Options Flow today with size January 2027 put "stupids" in several names like $BKNG, $UBER, $INTU $LYFT $QCOM $DELL $PATH $NTAP $HUBS Interested to see if make it to OI, maybe some kind...
Reduced Tail‑Risk Hedge as Theta Burn Accelerates
I reduced tail risk hedge as theta burn will accelerate. Still enough just in case, but I doubt it b/c the market is warmonger and down not due to fears of war but due to no new war, for those...
Buy May 22 300/292.5 Put Spread, Target $7.50
$HD "Trade Idea 1: Buy the May 22 Expiry 300/292.50 1×2 Put Spread for 20 cents.' sell to close a 300/292.50 put spread near $7.50 or watch to max Friday, let IV fall then can buy to close remaining put...
Juneteenth Moves VIX Expiration to Today
PSA This AM is VIX expiration. Normally it’s on Wednesday, but the Juneteenth holiday shifted VIX exp to today. VIX expiration is set 30 days before the next SPX OPEX.
Compute Futures Aim to Standardize GPU Risk Assessment
.@CMEGroup & @Silicon_Data to launch compute futures. This discussion between Carmen Li and @CarolineHydeTV on Bloomberg earlier today was a great one. I had great discussion with @Silicon_Data CEO, @CarmenLi in NYC at @NYSE late last year around disparity in...
Low VIX Futures Volatility Signals Overbought, Potential Bearish Turn
"In the graph below, the 20-day Historical Volatilities of the various $VIX futures contracts have remained at extremely low levels for a couple of weeks. That is a very overbought condition and can prove to be quite bearish when those...
AMAT May Call Spread with Put Credit Suggestion
$AMAT "Trade Idea 2: Buy the May 445/450 Call Spread ($2.00) and sell the May 395 Put for 5 cent credit." looks to expire.
Extreme Backwardation Signals Potential Crude Oil Price Peak
Has Crude Oil Peaked? Extreme Backwardation Leans that Way Crude oil reached a historic backwardation extreme in 1Q, which typically marks price peaks. Reflecting financing and storage costs, contango is normal in commodities, when further-out futures -- the backs -- trade...
SPX 0DTE Long Calls Surge to 40k, Shift Up
The 0DTE SPX Long Call volume today is 🥜 🍌 We start off with 26k at the 7,525. That builds to over 40k (!) by 10:45. Those positions then started to get closed, and it looks like rolled up into...
Dual Strategies Outperform S&P, Boost Portfolio Diversification
RSST and RSSY were up 55.70% and 52.63% respectively, each beat the S&P 500 Index by more than 20% percentage points over the 12 months ending 4/30/2026. 𝗦𝗮𝗺𝗲 𝗲𝗾𝘂𝗶𝘁𝘆 𝗯𝗲𝗻𝗰𝗵𝗺𝗮𝗿𝗸 𝗶𝗻 𝗯𝗼𝘁𝗵. 𝗧𝘄𝗼 𝘀𝘁𝗿𝘂𝗰𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗮𝗹𝗹𝘆 𝗱𝗶𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗿𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗱𝗶𝘃𝗲𝗿𝘀𝗶𝗳𝘆𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗿𝗹𝗮𝘆𝘀 𝗼𝗻 𝘁𝗼𝗽. RSST stacks managed...
Brent's Free Lessons Reveal Covered Call Qualification Constraints
I can't think of anyone providing as much free-value on this platform as Brent does. I learn something completely new from him with shocking regularity. Today: the constraints required to keep your coverd call strategy "qualified" ...
Free May Put Spread Trade: 99/97‑92 1×2
$CSCO "Trade Idea 1: Buy the May 99/97-92 1×2 Put Spread for free." a bust will expire.
Insurance Firms Flood Market, Tame Options Pricing
"options prices have been tamed by an influx of supply from deep-pocketed insurance agents" Thanks @Spencerjakab @WSJ https://t.co/lKjXQSTRGC
Options Shift From Hedge to Market Volatility Engine
Options were traditionally used for risk management purposes. Yet their proliferation and widespread use by traders and gamblers have created a market structure that increasingly results in significant volatility and enormous price changes for entirely non-fundamental reasons. Thus, the risk...
Rally Fueled by Mechanical Chase, Not Real Buying
NOTE: “the entire rally from the March lows has been built on a “mechanical chase.” Without real spot buying, market fragility could be exposed quickly when the stratospheric gamma squeeze ends.” My “Flows Over Fundamentals” framing since March 30th lows.
SNDK's 40x Surge Makes Volatility Spike, Options Cheap
Appreciating what high volatility means... SNDK is up ~40x in a year. The vol has justifiably exploded. If you want to bet on it halving by December (ie up 20x from where it was a year ago), the put spreads offer...
Strike and ATM Vols Drop Amid Market Sell‑off
Seeing this across a lot of ETFs and stocks...strike vols and floating ATM vols are both down which is unusual for such a sell-off but not shocking since we were in spot up/vol up backdrop lately https://t.co/qHBtlXU3vp
China Ramps up Dollar Swaps to Curb Yuan Rise
Bloomberg is reporting a $3b (CNY 17.4b) increase in the use of PBOC swaps in Q1 ... Que forecasts of dollar doom In the first quarter China (PBOC and state banks) bought $180 of fx to keep the CNY from rising --...
SPX Volatility Won’t Decline Without Single‑Name Vol Drops
In other words, difficult for SPX vols to fall without the singles vols coming down
Mag 7 Call Sales Hit $45M Today
Since open, there has been some heavy Call-selling on Mag 7. Net $45M Calls sold so far today 👇
VX Futures Ignore Hot Inflation, Expect Transitory Rise
Live from DFW on the way to LAX. $VX futures don't seem to give much of a 💩 about inflation running hot. Must be transitory. https://t.co/VDTd7Pcjyz
Free May Put Spread: Sell on Strength, Capture IV Drop
$ONON "Trade Idea 1: Buy the May 34/32.50-32 1×2 Put Spread for free." sell to close a 34/32.50 put spread near $1.50 on any strength in stock, let IV fall then can buy to close remaining put or watch
CME to Launch Compute Futures Market This Year
CME Group $CME just announced plans to launch "compute futures market later this year, pending regulatory review."
CME and Silicon Data Launch Computing Power Futures
Big news 🧵: CME Group Inc., the largest US derivatives exchange, and Silicon Data are teaming up to create a futures market for computing power, a key factor needed to help power the AI boom. 1/
Oil Funds Build Shorts Betting Hormuz Reopening Cuts Prices
Oil funds boost short positions anticipating re-opening of Strait Investors made few significant changes to their aggregate position across crude oil and refined fuels for the third week running as the ceasefire between the United States and Iran remained in place...
Wondering How Quickly Warrants Will Accelerate
Starting to wonder just how fast those warrants are going to get accelerated, happy problems in the eucalyptus tree
Dealer Gamma Surge Mirrors 2021 Upside Momentum
Fascinating data from GS: “On March 27, dealer gamma positioning hit -$7.24bn – the 2nd most negative GEX print on record. Six weeks later, dealer gamma closed Friday at +$21.3bn, now the 8th highest positive GEX reading ever recorded. To put...
Silver Futures Break $83.84, Bulls Anticipate Further Rise
The move above $83.84 (4/17 HOD and matching the 12/29/2025 $83.77 HOD) in July Silver Futures has the Silver Bulls fired up again looking for a spike or grind higher. For me, the verdict is still out........ https://t.co/IXv9NqTS6C
Gold Poised for 1980‑Level Peak by 2026
A Peak Like 1980? Gold Is Leaning That Way Gold futures started trading in 1975, peaked near $873 an ounce in 1Q80 and did not breach that high until 1Q08. I see peak parallels in 2026. Full report on the Bloomberg here:...
Gamma's Throttle Nearly Crushed SPY Bears Yesterday
Do you know where Gamma's Throttle is? It pushed $SPY Bears to the brink yesterday @t1alpha https://t.co/zfPNFKk7Tc
Markets Slide; SPX Futures Test 8‑day Support
Mostly red arrows around the World as markets are allowed a down day. Europe and Asia lower $spx futures -29 as we see if 8day holds to keep current upper speed and composure or does it change a bit. ...
Japan Denies Oil Futures Intervention, Keeps Option Open
Japan has publicly denied it had intervened in the oil futures market Speaking overnight, Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said Tokyo hadn’t intervened but added the government had never ruled out such an option.
Markets Price Probabilities, Not Perfect Price Predictions
Some will say the collapse of Brent dated futures is evidence that markets are very wrong about oil prices But markets are not designed to produce “correct” answers. They are mechanisms for pricing probabilities under uncertainty and optimizing near-term profit. Why...
Judge Warns Absurd Outcomes From Expanding Swap Definition
Wisconsin federal judge highlights the "absurd results" that could flow from defining a 'swap' to include sports-event contracts," noting that the CEA makes it "unlawful for any person to enter into a swap" outside of a DCM. https://t.co/FLWyiU7RPy
Mochatrade Launches INR‑funded US Stock Futures with 50x Leverage
Mochatrade (@mochatradeapp) is a perpetual futures trading platform that gives Indian traders access to 50+ US stocks (Tesla, Nvidia, Apple), indices and crypto - funded in INR via UPI, with up to 50x leverage, available 24/7. Congrats on the launch, @theblackmanda,...
Haters Become Admirers: Embrace Criticism for Growth
First Officer Finris gets in BMNR....now posting VIX, same one Nikko said you couldn't use to gauge the market & I was wrong🧐 Imitation is the sincerest form of flattery🤗 This is why you must always love your haters they are confused...
VIX Crash Didn't Trigger Market Decline, Stocks Rose
HISTORIC CRUSHED VIX $VIX just went from above 31.50 to below 16.20 within 27 trading days (intraday, not at the close). A massive turnaround in a very short time. How massive? There's only been one time in the history of $VIX that...
Record S&P Highs Paired With Rising Hedge Demand
S&P 500 closed above 7,400 for the first time ever today. New all-time high. And on that exact same green day, the VIX surrogate (VXX) rose 1.5%. Friday it rose 0.6% on the prior ATH. Two consecutive record closes where...
VIX Squeeze Template: Warning Signs & Essential Reading
My VIX squeeze template built on @AndrewThrasher concepts. To avoid confusion, my green checks are warning signs. His paper is a perennial. Do yourself the favor of reading it. https://t.co/qzePB8O2Zn https://t.co/253fqrOzJ2
Nasdaq Futures Open Interest Hits Decade Highs, Bull
Checking in on Nasdaq 100 futs activity given this incredible charge. $NQ Open interest has been rising and is near decade-level highs. Net spec futures positioning hovering around neutral - was heaviest net bullish standing in 9 years just six...
U.S. Crude Futures Rise to $98.07, Up 2.8%
JUST IN: U.S. Crude Oil Futures settled at $98.07 per barrel, up $2.65 or 2.78 percent.
Mag10 Index Shows Half Typical Realized Correlation
Mag10 index is about half the internal realized correlation as it is typically (realized corr usually in the 30s) you can run your own here: https://t.co/x6uhVkqDPT https://t.co/ZO3k762JAs
Tesla Surges 3% as $20M Net Calls Flood In
Quite the rally on $TSLA, $20M in Net Calls over the past 30 minutes. Underlying is up ~3%.
Derivatives Pros Label Michael Selig the Market Joker
“Miller said out loud what a growing number of derivatives professionals, people who actually hedge corn, crude, Treasuries, and currencies for a living, have been muttering for months. Michael Selig is in fact behaving like the joker in a deck...
Institutions Bet $22M on Copper Supercycle by 2026
Big money just spoke loud and clear on the LME. A monster Sept ’26 15,500–17,000 call spread traded in 5,500 lots for roughly $22 million in premium. That’s not retail noise, that’s institutional conviction betting copper is heading significantly higher by late...