Jan ’27 Gas Futures Predict $3.30 Pump Price
Jan '27 gasoline futures are a dollar below the prompt... implying a AAA average pump price near $3.30 by late this year https://t.co/eTlTFWg6h2
Options Flow Signals Yielded $7.5K Quick Profit
Quick +7500 on $WTS $ORA longs I know, obscure, but these are the types where options flow has stronger hit rate signals
MCD Put Spread Bust Likely to Expire
$MCD "Trade Idea 1: Buy the May 8 Expiry 282.50/277.50 1×2 Put Spread for a 10 cent credit.' a bust, looks to expire
ARM Call Spread Trade Likely Bust After Rally
$ARM "Trade Idea 2: Buy the May 8 Expiry 237.50/245 Call Spread ($3.40) and sell the May 8 Expiry 205 Put for 50 cents." looks to be a bust after a strong report and intial move higher last night. ...
Advisors Recommend Long/Short Without Understanding—TaxAlphaInsider Steps In
The number of advisors recommending long/short to their clients > than the number of advisors who actually understand long/short. @TaxAlphaInsider is here to help eradicate ignorance.
Master Fractal Jump Conditions, Not Just Gamma Data
Same question doesn't get a different answer - work on your understanding of jump conditions inside fractal dimensions - if you're just looking at Gamma data on its own, you don't see what I'm seeing in real-time
Kalshi Offers Odds on FDA Commissioner Makary’s Tenure
Kalshi now has odds on Commissioner Makary’s term at FDA. Very thin liquidity and wide spreads so I wouldn’t put much credence into these numbers currently but still interesting. https://t.co/rMdpTWB5ES
Master Nifty Options Entries with RMI & Sentiment
🚨 WEBINAR ALERT Smart Nifty Options Trading: Timing Entries with RMI & Sentiment Analysis 📊 A structured, step-by-step blueprint for Nifty options. 🎯 How to lock in precise entry points with the RMI(Rohit Momentum Indicator) 🌐 Techniques to validate trends using powerful sentiment indicators. ✅...
Real‑time Gamma and Flow Outpace Lagging Averages
Gamma is the market's heartbeat. The Flows are its circulatory system. The Machine monitors both in real time. Your Moving Monkey "averages" don't https://t.co/k0QEf7fucB
Dealer Hedging Drives ATM Premiums and Gamma Compression
Most traders think option premiums move because price moves...But near heavily concentrated ATM strikes, dealer hedging itself can start driving the chain.🔥 I wrote a new GammaGrid research note on dealer gamma exposure, hedge flow reflexivity, liquidity fragmentation, and gamma compression...
Brace for Mechanical Unwind: Prepare Your Buy List
The market is one volatility spike (Trump Tape Bomb) away from triggering a mechanical unwind. CTA deleveraging. Vol-control selling. Forced downside flows hitting all at once. Get your buy list ready. My guess is in the next week or so. Time will tell.
S&P 500 Races From 6300 to Near 7500 Upper Bound
$SPX 6300 was the 1H26 implied lower bound by the options market to start the year, and got near, now 5 weeks later not far from 7500 which was the start of year implied upper bound...nutty
School Bus Calls Promise 4‑5× Returns
Long calls in the school bus set to pay 4-5X lol, catch it all https://t.co/gLDIZcDTzY
Trade Only When Structure, Supply, Demand Align
You keep entering random candles then wondering why the trade fails. High quality trade setups come from market structure and supply and demand not emotions. If price isn’t reacting from a key demand or supply zone with a break of...
Sell SNDK Premium, $2000 Moves Yield $72k
Was just checking premium on $SNDK, $2000 leaps are like 72k crazy premium. If you have $SNDK make sure you sell premium.
300 DMA/Weak Volume Killer Overlooked in TA Literature
To my knowledge no TA book covers the infamous 300 DMA/weak volume killer combo $ES_F https://t.co/a6LSXof6XM
WTI Crude Plummets 6% to $77, Possible False Breakout
December WTI crude oil futures slammed 6%... down to $77... was that a false breakout? https://t.co/QzrbXc0P6e
Brent Outpaces S&P 500 in the Past Five Trading Days
Brent crude prompt futures (white) vs S&P 500 futures (blue) over the past 5 trading days https://t.co/EFvg7xDNWL
Brent Spread Returns to Pre‑war Levels, Doom Forecasts Falter
The spread between Dated Brent and the July futures price is back to pre-war levels. The same people who one month ago told us this thing can only go wider are still forecasting the apocalypse. Maybe they're right, but their...
Seeking VC Experience with OTC Swaption Trading
question: can anyone name a VC that has priced and traded OTC swaptions for a portfolio company?
Massive $60M TSLA Calls, Yet Stock Stagnates at $400
~$60M Calls today on $TSLA, underlying just passed $400. As speculative as $TSLA normally is, I am surprised it hasn't seen a greater move.
Abnormal Skew Signals Asymmetric Option Risk: Higher Ups
This is the type of idea that inform an option trading strategy around a distribution having an abnormal amount of skew compared to a regular day. when you read Andy's observation your option brain translates this to..."probably higher but if...
Apple Poised to Hit $295+ by Friday.
My call is $295+ for $aapl by next Friday or sooner. But I’ve been in it actively for week. $287-$288 is big spot
Master Order Flow with Bookmap for Real Trading Edge
hi hello — my name’s Masi, I run @masitrades and I teach traders how to read the market like a book using order flow & Bookmap. My students stop guessing and start trading with actual edge. I’ve helped thousands of traders...
Non‑equity Bets Gain 80bp As
Despite a massive rip in stocks. short stocks, short back oil, long STIR, and a 1x2 Put spread in zb are up 80bp on the day.
Dual Exposure ETF Pairs Global Stocks with Futures
𝐈𝐧𝐭𝐫𝐨𝐝𝐮𝐜𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐑𝐞𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐧 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐜𝐤𝐞𝐝® 𝐈𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐧𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐒𝐭𝐨𝐜𝐤𝐬 & 𝐌𝐚𝐧𝐚𝐠𝐞𝐝 𝐅𝐮𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞𝐬 𝐄𝐓𝐅 – 𝐑𝐒𝐈𝐓. For every $1 invested, RSIT is designed to provide $1 of international equity exposure and $1 of a managed futures trend-following strategy. Learn more at https://t.co/cNJzlFD1hC
Bitcoin Climbs 12% on Mechanics, Not Demand
1/4 Bitcoin gained 12% in April despite 46 straight days of negative funding rates. No spot demand. No conviction. Just structural mechanics: basis trades, Strategy's $3.8B in purchases, and short liquidations. The market is tightly wound. Here's why that matters.
OXY Call Spread Fails, Consider Rolling Puts Down
$OXY "Trade Idea 2: Buy the May 8 Expiry 60/61 Call Spread (50 cents) and sell the May 8 Expiry 57 Put for a 5 cent credit." call spread a bust, may need to roll puts down and out
NVIDIA Secures Warrants to Buy Corning for AI Connectivity
LOL Jensen buying $GLW at 50x eps NVIDIA (NVDA) has received warrants to purchase up to 15 million shares of Corning (GLW) at an exercise price of $180 per share, as part of a new long-term partnership aimed at advancing AI connectivity....
US Index Futures Surge Over 1% Across Board
JUST IN: U.S. S&P 500 E-MINI futures are up 1%, NASDAQ 100 futures are up 1.71%, and Dow futures are up 1.22%.
Fund Managers Boost European Gas Bets Amid Storage Crunch
INVESTMENT MANAGERS have purchased European gas futures and options in the benchmark Dutch TTF contract in both of the two most recent weeks. Fund managers purchased the equivalent of 28 terawatt hours over the two weeks ending on May 1,...
July‑August Contracts Hold over Half of Brent Liquidity
More than half of Brent liquidity is in July and August contracts #energy #OOTT #oilandgas #WTI #CrudeOil #fintwit #OPEC #Commodities #commoditiesmarket https://t.co/Bw7ModUksF
Compute Futures Inevitable as Financialization Expands
Energy futures are nothing new. So Compute Futures will happen. The financialization of everything continues.
European Gas Traders Hedge Winter Price Spikes with Options
Europe gas traders buy options to hedge for winter price spike https://t.co/j2ETUxgF1I via @priazrocha https://t.co/zKqrjD9rfO
CME Launches Cash‑Settled Bitcoin Volatility Futures for Institutions
CME Group just announced cash-settled Bitcoin volatility futures. This new product gives institutions a clean way to trade BTC vol directly on the world’s biggest derivatives exchange. Another big step for mature crypto market infrastructure. https://t.co/BP1605bUkl
Perpetuals Extend Prediction Markets Into Continuous Exposure
Math and finance nerds that love prediction markets should love perps even more. Prediction markets : perps :: n! : Γ(z) Perps are simply the analytic continuation of event markets: from discrete terminal bets to continuous mark-to-market exposure.
MSTR Executes $1B Daily Options in Three Trades
no matter what your fundamental view on $MSTR may be, it is an undeniable fact that there is simply no other company in the world that can trade $1 BILLION NOTIONAL via options in a single day over 3(!) trades...
VRP Ratio & Spread Chart Classified by IV Levels
I asked the moontower agent (https://t.co/uk1QwX5UsC) to plot a list of names by VRP both as a ratio and a spread and classify by IV level (MRVL has earnings end of May & I only excluded upcoming earnings names) https://t.co/SvRklwOhqO
Early Bitcoin Call Finally Gains Momentum
Two weeks early on this Bitcoin call, which for a trader means I was wrong (since timing is just as important as the trade idea). But here we are, finally in motion. $IBIT $BTC.X
OSCR Stays 13‑19, Ideal for Options Sellers
$OSCR has been so good for options seller like literally its ranging between 13-19 for like a year.
Total Return Swaps Thrive; PUT System Delivers $1M Volume
Still personally most exited about Total Return Swaps coming out, but so incredibly happy and proud of the team for shipping all this in under 60 days. The PUT system is working even in these stressed environments, exactly what it was...
Credit Spreads Vary 42x Across Data Center Firms
The credit market is the harshest judge of risk. Looking at credit default swaps of data center companies, a few things stand out: • The market is starting to believe there is less risk (although still very high) for Nebius and CoreWeave...
Daily Tracking of Largest Option Trades 2022‑2024 Updated Study
After blood, sweat, and tears working with data we finally updated a study following the largest option trade each year daily from 2022 - 2024. Screens for delta, time to exp, and liquidity were performed as well. More here -...
Algo Sells September Calls, Signaling Rally Overwrite Phase
An algo just sold September calls to open across a dozen or so names, likely getting to part of rally where see overwrites
Micron Call Premiums Outpace SPY and QQQ Combined
massive call premiums in. dominating the options complex today $MU $SNDK $INTC the chase extends
She Built $45T CDS Market, Now Betting on Blockchain
She built the $45T credit default swap market by 28, led JPM’s top commodity desk, then bet big on blockchain. The woman who rewired finance.
SPY Shows Strong Positive Gamma Around $722‑$725
Positive gamma exposure across the board on $SPY this morning. Elevated positive exposure remains at $725, with considerable exposure from $722-$725. Expecting some chop in this range.
Rolled Short GOOGL Calls to Higher June Strike
rolled short $GOOGL May Exp 385 calls up and out to June 5 Exp 395s (against long June 375s)
Buy May 8 128/132 Call Spread, Sell 114 Put
$SHOP "Trade Idea 2: Buy the May 8 Expiry 128/132 Call Spread ($2.25) and sell the May 8 Expiry 114 Put for 5 cents." a bust looks to expire.
Potential Recovery on PLTR Call Spread After Bust
$PLTR "Trade Idea 2: Buy the May 8 Expiry 148/152.50 Call Spread ($1.95) and sell the May 8 Expiry 130 Put for 65 cents." looks to be a bust, may be able to recover cost based on typical IV by...