Brent Prompt Price Shifts From June to July Contract
On the Brent futures contract roll: The "price" everyone typically talks about is the prompt Brent (or WTI) futures price (white on the chart), which is the nearest-dated monthly contract. In April that was set by the June contract (blue), now in May it's the July contract (orange), and you can see how they traded off yesterday/today.
Trade BTC High/Low Touch Markets with Monthly Forecasts
Monitoring BTC looks good here New monthly high/low touch markets are now live. Trade YES or NO on whether BTC hits a certain price during a time window 📅 https://t.co/sBw5RttVcK
Target $7.50 Profit on May 1 Call Spread
$TWLO "Trade Idea 2: Buy the May 1 Expiry 145/152.50 Call Spread ($3.00) and sell the May 1 Expiry 128 Put for 20 cents." puts expire, sell top close call spread near $7.50
Sell May 1 $257.5/$282.5 Strangle for $2.15 Credit
$AAPL "Trade Idea 4: Sell the May 1 Expiry 257.50/282.50 Strangle for a $2.15 credit." puts expire, calls on the edge, may need to roll up and out. can buy to close after IV falls
SPX Futures Surge 8 Points After New ATH
$SPX futures +8 after tagging a new ATH at 7219, as it’s been riding the 8-day since reclaiming the moving averages in early April. There was a lot to do across timeframes, and now we start a new month. https://t.co/tGRY36Jv0v
Brent Futures Up 85% YTD Challenges Price Hype
Lots of scare stories about how oil prices will rise indefinitely. None mention the fact that the front-month Brent future (pink) is up 85% so far this year. If you think prices should rise more, you first need to explain...
July Brent Front-Month Sets Path to Wartime High
BRENT’s futures contract for July has replaced June as the front-month, temporarily reducing headline oil prices, but the trend remains upward as the prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz causes oil supplies to tighten. In a strongly backwardated market,...
Stop Blindly Trading Options—Understand Synthetic Futures First
Many people trade options blindly without even understanding what they’re looking at. Say for example...Nifty50 synthetic future @ 23807.65 7 days to expiry ATM IV ~13.93 You see this every day. >> But honestly… do you actually use it? Or just ignore it?🔥 Curious how you...
GEX Heat Map Guided 54% SPY Call Trade
Case study: +54% trade on $SPY today. Pre-trade plan: • $710 support, $715 resistance (GEX) • $715 was the MVC (on the GEX heat map) • Trigger: $712 break, Put/Call cross had no divergence. What happened: • Puts crossed Calls. No divergence. • Price broke $712....
Short Equity Puts Halve in Value, Risk Further Loss
My max short equity puts which expire in June and September which I paid 4% of AUM are now worth 2% of AUM. This position alone is down 2% of AUM. Whatcha gonna do. 2% further loss...
AXSM Jumps 10.5% on Approval and Analyst Boost
$AXSM up over 10.5% on approval, calls hit nicely from recent write-up on this catalyst play https://t.co/H2E75g3iRB
AAPL Implied Move Undercuts Historical Average
$AAPL implied move shows 3.01% from one source, 3.1% from another and a final source showing 3.85%. The info can shift slightly into the close. Stats from the past show it ranges from 3.5-5% thus...
Flat Markets Reward Option Sellers with Weekly Income
If the market goes flat for the next 5–10 years… Buy & hold is gonna feel like watching paint dry 😴 Options sellers? We’re getting paid. Every. Single. Week. 💰🔥 Stocks bouncing around… going nowhere long term Meanwhile we’re collecting premium over and over again 🏦 While...
Poor Man’s Covered Calls Still Profit on Rising Stocks
How Poor Man’s Covered Calls Actually Work When the Stock Goes Up #optionstrader #coveredcalls #pmcc #robinhood
Wider Upside in LQDA Options Implies Higher Downside Risk
Looking at $LQDA option chain, with some prodding ChatGPT comes up with the following analysis. Note that the predicted distribution has to square with current stock price, and because there is a wider upside range, that requires a larger probability...
Option Market Targets SPX 7300 Amid Weak Asymmetry
And, we are going to SPX $7300 because the option market tells us so. Am I doing this right? 😉
Futures
Futures markets suggest that trouble in the Middle East -- and higher energy prices -- will still be with us during the U.S. midterm elections in November. https://t.co/sX0oV15qiq
Apple Earnings Call: $282.5 Target Price
Apple earnings is calls so I'll get this one out the way $282.5 is what I'm going with 👇🏾
Single-Stock Delta Triggers $2B
Single stock delta is the downside driver this AM. -$2bn is size... 30-day low is -$4bn for day https://t.co/HMMDWVmMUC
June Brent Expires, July Becomes New Prompt Price
Seeing some confusion on the feed re: Brent prices/volatility and today's expiry. Today is the last day of trading for Brent's June contract (white), and tomorrow the July contract (blue) becomes the "prompt" price most of us see when we search...
MSFT May Call Spread Trade Likely Fails
$MSFT "Trade Idea 2: Buy the May 1 Expiry 430/440 Call Spread ($3.90) and sell the May 1 Expiry 395 Put for 30 cents." a bust, looks to expire
Free Put, Call Spread Gains $5 on Expiration
$GOOGL "Trade Idea 2: Buy the May 1 Expiry 355/360 Call Spread ($2.35) and sell the May 1 Expiry 332.50 Put for free." puts expire, sell to close call spread near $5
Trade Idea Bust: Monitor Puts, Consider Rolling Down
$META "Trade Idea 2: Buy the May 1 Expiry 670/682.50 Call Spread ($5.65) and sell the May 1 Expiry 615 Put for 40 cents." a bust, watch puts, may need to roll down and out
Profit From Amazon Call Spread After Put Expiry
$AMZN "Trade Idea 2: Buy the May 1 Expiry 262.50/267.50 Call Spread ($2.30) and sell the May 1 Expiry 240 Put for 7 cents.' puts expire, sell to close call spread near $5
Trimming Final Third of GOOGL Power Play Options
My latest $GOOGL Power Play Options update - i’ll be trimming the final 1/3 today. Don’t miss the next one: https://t.co/huWSItZPOB https://t.co/szufQNua6T
Limit Downside, Capture Upside with Options Before Earnings
📺 MARKET REACTION TO MEGA-CAP EARNINGS: TREND STILL INTACT 🔴 Get today's newsletter: https://t.co/Rqp84Wg39F The market has been in a constructive uptrend, with $SPY holding above the 8-day, which has been key support throughout the recent rally. Major overhangs are now behind us:...
July Oil Futures Hit $108, Pricing Gulf Shortfall
The June Brent future (black) expires today, so a better gauge for oil prices is the July future (pink) that is $108 and up 80% since the start of the year. By any stretch of the imagination, this fully prices...
Brent Futures Hold Tight Within $13 Range, No News
The (expiring) front-month Brent oil contract has traded today within a ~$13 range in absolutely no-news.
SPX Risk Range Signals Minimal Downside, New Highs Ahead
Post all the noise and "news" post market close, my $SPX Risk Range™ Signal yawned with only -1.2% on the downside and upside to new all-time highs
Brent Spikes 5% as Market Fears Military Escalation
JUNE BRENT FUTURES AT ALMOST $124, ANOTHER 5% JUMP EARLY THU AFTER A 6% RALLY ON WED. It's the last trading day for the June contract, and most volume has already shifted to July. But still, the market is getting...
Oil Surges to Wartime Highs as US Eyes Iran
Screaming Red Headline on Bloomberg *OIL HITS WARTIME HIGH ON REPORT US EYING IRAN MILITARY OPTIONS June Brent futures (green) have doubled since the beginning of the year December Brent Futures (blue) set a new all-time high. https://t.co/MdXjetPtqJ
Traders Dismiss Political Optimism, Align With Physical Oil Reality
So, what is happening in the crude futures market? Simple : Traders are starting to discount the hope/expectation/sentiment shaped by de-escalatory head fakes from Washington to realign with the reality glaringly evident in the physical markets for weeks now.
Swaps with Richer Kingdoms Outpace US Treasury Limits
True, if you extend a swap to a kingdom with more assets than the US Treasury ...
Track Consistent Call Buying and Put Writing for Market Edge
4,000 $SIMO May $155 calls were bought on Friday for $8. They closed at $63 today. They kept rolling them, so it was consistent bullish flow. There are also many stocks that have consistent put writing - $GOOGL being one...
Nasdaq 100 VIX Differential Highlights Upcoming Mag7 Overlaps
Here's the Nasdaq 100 with the VIX 1-day to 1-month differential and the previous core Mag7 release dates (GOOG, AMZN, MSFT, META overlaps) https://t.co/wNheUeMpHj
SPY's $710 MVC Draws Magnetic Gamma Pull
$SPY spent practically the whole day at $710, which we identified this morning as the MVC. These elevated gamma levels can act like magnets.
Brent Spot Leads Futures, Backwardation at $123/$120
The latest physical-through-financial Brent curve. Dated Brent at $123.37/bbl today, June futures pushing $120/bbl https://t.co/fiyAh1aKp6
Oil Futures Surge Past $100, Stocks Remain Flat
June Crude oil Futures have been moving towards, and now have broken back above $100 ($106.43 +6.50), and stocks are yawning like its still $80. https://t.co/lX4zGyKkb7
ADTN Calls Surge 480% Since Dec/Jan
$ADTN working strong here with 8K Aug 11 calls bought in OI already up 480% from Dec/Jan buying https://t.co/yoeT5VtgLx
Fed's Next Move: Markets See Zero Uncertainty
The Fed announces its next rates decision in half an hour, and there is exactly ZERO uncertainty about what it won't do (at least according to Fed Funds futures markets). https://t.co/Ikedm6uh6c
Options Market Shows Bigger Picture Beyond Tariffs, Iran
Tariffs. Iran. Parabolic price action. Each one looked like a big deal in the moment, but zoom out and the chart tells a different story. Kevin Davitt, Head of Index Options Content @Nasdaq, joined Dan & @GuyAdami to break down what the options...
Bitcoin Capitulation Marks Best Five-Year Buying Opportunity
#Bitcoin is at its capitulation point. Eleven indicators are signaling that we're at the best opportunity to buy the asset in the last five years. The last time all these signals flashed was Q4 2022. That also resonates with the current market sentiment,...
Huge XLY Call Purchase Ahead
Consumer Discretionary (XLY) big buy 4000 March $116 calls $12.45 with Amazon a top component reporting, been weighed down by Tesla
Oil Rally Pushes WTI Past $105, Spikes OVX Volatility
US benchmark oil (WTI) is above 105 on a more than 5% climb today. Brent is near 110. Notably, the rally is stirring a commensurate rebound in the OVX volatility index - similar to the Mar 25 - Apr 2...
MSFT Options Signal Possible $37 Earnings Move
$MSFT chart ahead of earnings. Option chain expiring on May 15th 2026 projects a (+/-) $37 move from the underlying stock following the report.
Long‑dated Oil Contracts Hedge Compute Bottleneck Risk
Long longer dated oil contracts continues to be a great hedge to the compute bottleneck trade https://t.co/VSubfUuObP
ETSY Put Spread Busts, Likely Worthless at Expiry
$ETSY "Trade Idea 1: Buy the May 1 Expiry 63/60 1×2 Put Spread for a 5 cent credit." a bust, will expire.
May Call Spread Bust; Consider Rolling Puts Down‑Out
$HOOD "Trade Idea 2: Buy the May 1 Expiry 83/86 Call Spread ($1.21) and sell the May 1 Expiry 74 Put for 30 cents.' a bust, may need to roll puts down and out.
Futures Prop Price War: Cheaper Trades, Tighter Margins
Is a price war in the futures prop space GOOD or BAD for traders? Good = lower costs Bad = margins squeezed, which will lead to tighter rules Comment below 👇
Ripple Expands RLUSD Access with Bullish and OKX
NEW: Bullish expands its Ripple Prime partnership to give institutions $BTC options access via $RLUSD, while Ripple also partners with OKX to scale $RLUSD across 300+ spot pairs with futures and margin support https://t.co/9albCeiofj