Options & Derivatives Social Media and Updates
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Mixed markets around the World after yesterday’s bounce attempt. $spx futures-7. We’ll see if $spy has an inside day above $654ish to show some commitment to yesterday. Or not. News flow remains fluid. https://t.co/tJBZY4fjc3
🚨 Palo Alto (strike price target $170 expiration the next 90 days) 🚨 Uber (strike price target $80 expiration the next 90 days) Not financial advice Just giving 2 free trade designs to my loyal followers and the community we’ve built...
Booked 50% @ 398.5… paid myself first like a responsible adult 😄....Rest is running on house money, SL at cost, will trail it till expiry. Now either market rewards me… or politely escorts me out 😄 #Nifty50 #OptionBuying
Holding Nifty 30 Mar 22850 CE, avg...294.50. > Risky trade. As long as IV holds, I stay in. If IV drops below 18, I’m out. > This is more of a vol + directional play, not just direction. Expecting 455...460 till expiry if things...
Brent futures at $110 does not mean $150 is “theater” @robin_j_brooks Spot barrels & products are already trading there. The paper market ≠ physical market Put the esoteric models in the trash & ask any oil trader what's true #Brent #Oil #SpotMarket #Futures...
Call option volume on the United States Brent Oil Fund hit another record today https://t.co/ZbSaQoQDkl
Insiders "trading" $CL_F and $ES_F 45 min before the open while retail places a 58 team parlay on Kalshi https://t.co/7RYeVzxZ3J
"Deep" is for ITM and "far" is for OTM. Thank you for your attention to this matter
FIVE MINUTES BEFORE TRUMP'S ANNOUNCEMENT OF PEACE TALKS WITH IRAN, MASSIVE TRADES WERE PLACED $1.5 billion in S&P 500 ES futures were bought At the same time, $192 million in Oil CL futures were sold These two trades nailed the market moves...
Gold Futs printed big wick energy off the 200-day MA + reclaim of Oct 2025 pivot high. This after Goldman reported $GLD experienced the largest monthly outflow since April 2013 -- capitulation? https://t.co/5qnVQMFUbq
Check out how SpotGamma Contributor Doug Pless turned bullish options flow + key support in META into a winning trade, using: • Compass to generate the trade idea • Options Calculator to model the PnL • HIRO to time the execution Read the full...
VIX at 26.78. India VIX up 18.5%. Kospi circuit breaker. Nikkei -5%. In my experience, the US VIX always plays catch-up to international volatility — it just takes a session or two. Asian vol is already in a significantly elevated regime. US equities...
The hope of a short-end to the war on Iran sees the Fed funds futures market swing back to a (small chance) of a cut this year--2 bp--. It was around 7 bp of tightening before the weekend and 61...
👉 Fear index Vix tumbles w/oil on Trump’s softer Iran tone. Reality check: both still elevated vs. pre-war. This isn’t calm – it’s just less panic. https://t.co/1L2wIolJnp
Very Big Volume in Treasury Complex. Dimes (UST Classic 10 Yr Note Futures) have traded over 3.5 Million Contracts as of 1:40 pm EST.
Like most other risk-oriented assets today, the $VIX volatility index has seen some extreme volatility itself. The range of today's VIX candle is ~41% of current spot...matches highest since Liberation day volatility last year https://t.co/CuNNwltgja
OK. What's wrong with this picture? 1. Spot VIX still above all of the VX futures. 2. Futures remain very flat and M1 > M2 > M3 (backward). #BetterButNotBullish https://t.co/dR28SgxMLq
sold to close remaining $SPY March 31 hedge and added Apr 2 Exp 650/634/620 bw put flys
last week, as the S&P 500 $SPX made lower (ugly) lows, the volatility $VIX index did not... https://t.co/Vmdmxc3JXz
Yes, this recent bout of volatility hasn't been fun for investors, but remember, volatility is the toll we pay to invest. These three charts are timeless and always come in handy in times like this. Chart 1 - The average years sees...
AD just like GC (and SI)....visible swing highs and lows and the action around these levels set up great trades. of course this was the same move that goosed most all the financials.. https://t.co/mTPsmdSV18
Strong feeling this was the break to buy in precious metals For sure the break to stack $SI_F https://t.co/uLHE50DU5D
Hope you’ve had your coffee Futures are ripping to start the week S&P is up 1.5% pre market after Trump says the U.S. will pause further strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure for 5 days Oil reacting fast, down 10% to $90 Big week ahead...
The morning changed pretty fast — $SPX futures went from -45 to +130 handles after Trump said the last 48 hours of talks were very productive. There should be some resistance near 6623ish, and 6754 is the major if this...
Dow futures jump 1,200 points after Trump says U.S. and Iran have held ‘productive’ talks: CNBC https://t.co/ayLrxCx0Ot
HEDGE FUNDS and other money managers purchased the equivalent of 120 billion cubic feet (bcf) in the two major gas futures and options contracts based on prices at Henry Hub in Louisiana over the seven days ending on March 17....
You can hold that garbage can full of gasoline and wait for higher prices, but risk Trump TACOing and prices dumping. Or you can simply sell the garbage can of gasoline into spot and buy the same garbage can back for...
🌽Money managers as of March 17 held their most bullish position in CBOT corn fut & opt since late Feb. 2025, as more shorts were forced out of the market. That marked funds' 9th consecutive week as net corn buyers, their...
Nasty open for USTs with front-end under the most pressure. 2y futs off 3.5 ticks
Polymarket, a large prediction market, shows only a 28% chance that the Strait of Hormuz will open for normal traffic by the end of April. TRUMP & NETANYAHU’S WAR ON IRAN = MASSIVE COSTS. https://t.co/slk6gIZTUJ
Oh no! US airlines are no longer hedged against oil price shocks. Now we will all be paying in higher fares. Just like PJM states who didn't hedge against the recent increase. And California in 2000-2001. Hindsight is 20-20 but...
Person who said $ETH 9K right before it dropped 50% now says $ES_F 7700 https://t.co/5spjzy9CBi
This may or may not be true. But unless you care about which exchange/clearing/venue has volumes. Shifting $JHEQX from SPX cash options to some other form of ES options or BTIC+ settled ES options has literally no impact on...
The 1% rule kept me stuck for YEARS. 🤦♂️ Thought I was “managing risk”… really I was just limiting growth. There’s a better way to scale when the setup is there. I break this down daily in Discord with 11,000+ traders. Drop SETUP and...
As @JC_ParetsX recently mentioned, it is peculiar to see high beta outperforming low volatility during this recent surge lower. Not what you'd expect to see if things were as bad as they keep telling us. https://t.co/rGvxOprdO0
Today I'm premiering my interview with Tito Adhikary @GnT_Trades A Harvard Cancer Researcher turned Options Trader Tito returned over 2,000% in the 2025 USIC trading growth stocks with options. Here's a quick preview 👇 https://t.co/2X9kxXvqkq
Yes, but there is more to it than just that..... such as the $27 spread in CLK26/CLK28 May 26 WTI Crude Oil Futures settled $98.23 May 28 WTI Crude Oil Futures settled $71.23
Both S&P500 and S&P June E-Mini Futures looked to have violated levels that could lead to additional downside. https://t.co/lo2FDEAZl2
More data that supports the idea behind my 5% Canary paper. Markets don’t always follow historical precedence, but still important to know.
$VIX at 23.5. Not panic. Not complacency. The ugly in-between where nobody knows what to do. Most dangerous market condition there is. https://t.co/c8of6UQSir
One last COT note: for the Bitcoin believers. Net spec futures positioning has pushed up to its highest net long in a year. Last two peaks in this area aligned to basing before strong bull legs. This time different? https://t.co/0XegxFutnJ
Another remarkable change in net-speculative positioning comes from AUDUSD. A further nudge in the net long positioning, pushes futures spec interest to the heaviest long since October 2017. A carry drive as rate forecasts pick up https://t.co/sJ0Xl2KxxD
In case you missed it, net speculative futures positioning behind $EURUSD posted its biggest weekly 'net drop' on record - an 84K contract drop in the net long. That's a strong move away from the anti-dollar pressure over the past...
CFTC positioning: USD as Iran hedge Chart: dollar weighted exposure in million dollars versus number of non-commercial participants (speculators) large dot: most recent small dots: last year grey dots: last 10 years green: long red: short src: BBG, Merk https://t.co/LDLtec7oXv
Some thoughts today on the week ahead in the market. Meanwhile, one of the things I didn't get to mention is that elevated premium on SLB and WFRD puts is creating 3–4% monthly yield, or close to annualized 40% returns,...
Oil riskies firmed a lot to the put and today spot up, vol down day https://t.co/yyPo6cUfXq
That is one looong blue line. A month ago, Fed fund futures were pricing in the next cut as June. This June. Now it's October '27 https://t.co/HCElEgtrLE
Assembling a team. We stop this right now, at any cost. Activists gonna find out what the angry 0DTE option mob can do
JUST IN: 🇺🇸 CFTC announces Futures Commission Merchants can accept Bitcoin as margin collateral. https://t.co/oNOW4PB9po
a quick little trading inspiration.. track the implied delta of the >90 market on poly compared to the corresponding futures price by tracking its price change. For example if the market went to 75% on a $1 rally then it's a...
