Options & Derivatives Social Media and Updates
Options & Derivatives Social Media and Updates
Options & Derivatives Pulse
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Tuesday recap
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Daily
Every morning
Weekly
Tuesday recap
The market sentiment for Humanity flipped bearish 2 days ago. Support is identified, offering a compelling short opportunity of approximately 35% (more with leverage). #Trading #ShortOpportunity #IvanClips https://t.co/vNtVS3D8mw
📈Funds turned bullish across U.S. grain & oilseed futures and options through Feb. 17, their first collective long since early December. This was driven by surging optimism in soybeans & soybean oil and waning pessimism in the grains, especially corn....
Both short and long term, this is a good level to fade the belly with the curve-wide 'fly (2s5s30s) back below -90. Mid-curve auctions next week could trigger a reversal https://t.co/q33LIbWZ5V
Volatility is cooling. 30D realized volatility (yellow line) just rolled over and is now below 90D (blue line). When short-term vol drops, the machines re-lever. Vol control funds start buying. Right now, the signal says grind higher until proven otherwise.
$GE Feb 330/350 call spreads from earnings snapshots now near $13 from $7, often pays to give extra time when playing a high quality name
(PREMIUM) "Tactical Update: February 20, 2026 - Portfolio Enrichment..." A few Friday A.M. portfolio adjustments... via The Lyons Share https://t.co/VbzlIct5Nc https://t.co/DZs0p0H2mR
This OPEX is a fairly standard size OPEX, with about $600 bn on delta expiring. That's ~1/2 of a quarterly OPEX. You can see that calls and puts are relatively equal in size (right side), which makes sense based off...
VIX at 14.4, up 7%. Not panic… but volatility is waking up. Now it’s simple. >> If Nifty pushes into the liquidity zone and sustains, while VIX stays firm or rises… that’s real fuel. Calls can expand properly. >> But if price goes...
Exchange levies 15% add-on exposure margin on 18 high concentration F&O names from Feb 25 (announced yesterday) Stocks that might see some pressure due to increased margins - ABCAP, ARBP, BANDHAN, CCRI, CROMPTON, GNP, IDEA, JSW, LICHF, NBCC, NMDC, PATANJALI, RBL...
$SPX 33pts for a straddle til 9:30am is a lot, I mean, this was a Fed day price 24hrs ahead not long ago https://t.co/ZvarHxYNIH
The Poor Trader’s Way to Monthly Income (No Stock Purchase Required) #optionstrader #optionstrading #tradingstrategy #optionstrategy
For everyone having fun looking to get long vol for a swing trade in here. To paraphrase Lionel Ritchie, it's "once, twice, three times a loser"..... https://t.co/ilJbnD8P59
Moontower Thursday Finally got around to writing on this topic... "delta is the only greek" https://t.co/KRPirWhJSY
This thing does not look well (SVIX on 15 minutes). Do your own work. https://t.co/81j1h6AyOe
One more tweet as I've been procrastinating this am. This short exchange actually captures a lot of how I think about a portfolio when you roll it up to a high level. Trading your little edges but the portfolio wants...
Using a 40% vol for TSLA, the stock dropping to $365 by March expiry is about a 1 st dev move. If normal distrubution the fair odds for that are 5-1. The 370-365 ps offers 5.7-1 It's not a rec...
Oil has a big risk premium in it in terms of vol and skew. Meanwhile SPUs, IWM, VXUS all near ATHs Feels like a tense contradiction. https://t.co/6lmCdFZUnm
This guy literally explains how to build an algorithmic trading hedge fund from scratch in under 6 minutes. This is crazy:
Vol Control funds are starting to re-engage. When realized vol cools, vol-control strategies mechanically add equity exposure. Vol ↓ → Positioning ↑ → Fuel for price. Still too early, but if realized volatility continues to cool off, this turns into incremental buy pressure...
Critical Levels For Quant Quakes 💫Historic Dispersion 💫CTAs are Vulnerable 💫Negative Gamma 💫The Week Ahead 💫Gamma Mechanics https://t.co/vAJSwKFzi4
$SPX futures +30 after holding key range support 6780–6790 again — that zone remains intact. For active traders, look for tactical RDR-type buys, then trim & trail into early strength while we manage the range. Resistance: 6880–6902 https://t.co/t51qiJIU4L
(PREMIUM) The Lyons Share Daily Pre-Market Outlook & Charts videos for 2/18/2025 are up: https://t.co/vi4S276f8t… Among markets covered: $RFV $QQQ $RSP $SPY $VIX $XLU $IGV $XLP $XLE $GDX $SIL $EWU $EWW $DXY $GLD $SLV $PLTM $PALL $EMB
Good read on *market stress* from GS: “Our vol stress index closed the week registering 9 out of 10. Historically, readings of >9 have been buying opportunities, but this time ‘feels different’ as the increase in panic has not come with...
$spx futures +40 after $spy held $675 and reclaimed $677 to keep the range intact yesterday. A few RDR’s across the board to cover some shorts and put on small risk. We’ll see if early strength holds...
#Nifty50 looks neutral to slightly bullish for now, but not in full breakout mode. >> 25900 is the real decision zone. Writers still in control there... >> If spot sustains above 25900 and 25900 CE breaks 180...185 with rising IV, we can...
It is so painful to watch this fumbling. Jane Street may be taking a position in IBIT, but that position is almost entirely offset by undisclosed options (on IBIT) and futures positions. They are certainly not “accumulating” a position in Bitcoin. That’s...
This evening stock futures are having more moves than a shortstop batting .110. @KeithMcCullough @hedgeye @andrewrsorkin @BeckyQuick @SquawkCNBC @carlquintanilla @ScottWapnerCNBC @guyadami @saraeisen @SullyCNBC @Convertbond @pboockvar
Does anyone have a good explanation for why equity skew shows investors are paying up for downside protection but also VIX futures are at near record shorts? Those seem to be contradictory. https://t.co/IWYZ9IHTYl
The VWAP Wave System just hit #3 Best Seller in Futures Trading on Amazon 📚🔥 No hype. No guessing. Just structure. This is what real consistency looks like. If you can’t name the setup… it’s not a trade. 🌊 Ride the Wave. #vwap #futurestrading #daytrading #tradingstrategy
Bond futures well bid again as the curve flattens aggressively with front end whites all red. https://t.co/d4dX0TgauD
New trading week = big clues for rates 👀 Futures up, gold down, dollar strong… what is the market betting on for Fed cuts in 2026? Fed speakers, FOMC minutes, global data & a surprise risk event ahead Watch the video before you...
Note that there are 1.3 bln euro options at $1.1850 that expire today. The $euro just tested the strike and it held.
U.S. GAS futures prices have retreated to the lowest for almost four months after spiking during Winter Storm Fern. Front-month futures have fallen back to just $3 per million British thermal units (the lowest since mid-October). The front month has...
Brent crude option skew—which many have been treating as a proxy of oil market Iran risk perception (see comp to June 2025)—continues to deflate. Down more than half from a week ago, with prices down ~$3/bbl from Wednesday high. Gives a sense...
$USD enjoys a firmer tone ahead of the US CPI. Over 5 bln euro options at $1.1850 expire today. Session low so far is slightly below there. GBP530 mln options at $1.36 expire today. Session low so...
Don't do this to me...I need my coffee. KC futs have tentatively held up the midpoint of the 2023-2025 bull run (around 290) https://t.co/9M9FIFrM6A
Notable FX option expirations tomorrow: 5.25 bln euros at $1.1850 $1.8 bln at JPY152.00 GBP530 mln at $1.36 https://t.co/JP6hOX0qdC
#Bitcoin funding rates on Binance have turned negative. Leverage traders are feeling the pressure. https://t.co/YnIZStZZvF
Massive 50x and 100x #BTC longs are sitting on Binance, according to CoinGlass data. https://t.co/4Fk16lEAJl
