Maintain Credit Spreads, Avoid Blowouts for Weeks
Just keep credit spreads from blowing out for a few more weeks is all I ask.
Oversold Positions Drive Extreme Tail Moves in Markets
So this is not to say this setup isn't better than say September, but I can't think of a worse game to play without knowing the entirety of bounds 'Oversolds' and positioning often have their largest moves in the tails...
VIX Spikes only During Historic Crises, Signaling Costly Volatility
There has only been a few times in the past 20 years that the Volatility Index ($VIX) has traded at these levels: • 2008 Global Financial Crises 50+ • Covid-19 crash 50+ • U.S.-Iran Conflict 35+ Think of the VIX as a “fear”...
LeverageShares Proposes Inverse 2x Bitcoin Volatility ETF
LeverageShares filing for an inverse and -2x Bitcoin Volatility ETF. Like $XIV and $TVIX but for Bitcoin. https://t.co/N8XxMw12uQ
Binance to Offer 100x Leverage Oil & Gas Futures
Tomorrow, Binance will launch futures trading for oil and natural gas with leverage of up to 100x. Something is brewing… https://t.co/2UrdYDAhxr
S&P Futures Stuck Below Downtrend, Target 6,316
S&P 500 futures can't get out from under the downtrend line. Every bounce gets sold. Measured move target: 6,316. Next stop lower until something changes structurally.
Equity Volatility Mirrors Oil Volatility Post‑Iran Crisis
Equity vol is just oil vol as you see by how the relationship changed after the Iran debacle started. CL now +104... I think VIX "outperforms" at some point. Good luck. https://t.co/DX8MdVrYpP
US Natural Gas Floor Shifts to $3, Not $2
Is $3 the New $2 Floor for US Natural Gas? The front US natural gas future hasn't ended a quarter below $3 per million BTUs since 2Q24. Is $3 replacing $2 as the new floor? The 2026-27 winter should be a...
Historical VIX Crash Signals Calm Markets Ahead
The VIX Crash Signal: What History Tells Us About The Next Three Months | Trading Zone Ep. 97 https://t.co/70bw4fddbk
Beat 2025 Quant Hedge Returns in 2026
2025 quant hedge fund returns. And you think you cannot compete in 2026? You can, this is how:
USD Poised for Post‑month‑end Reversal Despite Current Hedging
Month end comes at a most interesting time for the DXY. The market was super complacent in early March and now appears to be hedged a fair bit as risk reversals have blown out in EURUSD etc (bid for EUR puts). I...
London Sets Direction, NY Session to Confirm Moves
This is the part in the game where you identify the correct move London showed us a direction With little to no pullbacks and or retest at all Now we’ve got to watch NY session for continuation It just gave us...
Traders Bet Private Lending Risks with Long-Dated Puts
While digging around seeing how people are trading the Private Lending situation led to some interesting OTM longer dated put purchases in $BX $APO and $FSK from last week - https://t.co/10pm9cs0Bw
Fund Managers Ditch Hedges, Lowest in Eight Years
International fund managers have become so relaxed that many are no longer hedging against stock market declines. The percentage of managers who are currently hedging has fallen to its lowest level in eight years. https://t.co/P9FEnZ6gYs
Nvidia Fails to Hit $170, Price Drops; More Puts Sold
Nvda didn’t even test $170 and is red now. Sold a few more puts from last week
SPY Faces Negative Gamma Near 635, Watch 640 Resistance
Net Gamma Exposure for $SPY shows elevated negative exposure at $634-$635. I have resistance currently at $640, where positive exposure is slightly building. Be cautious of catalysts, Trump claims to be "close" to a deal.
Brent May Futures Expire, June Takes Over at $108
A reminder that the Brent May futures contract, currently trading ~$115 a barrel, expires tomorrow. From Wednesday, the front-month futures would be the Brent June contract, currently trading at ~$108 a barrel. Liquidity has already moved from May to...
Trump Exploits Market Mechanics for Staged Rally Narrative
trump knows that if he gets the gamma going to the upside jpm collar kicks in and gives him another 1% intraday rally and then people will read that rally as “success is happening in iran”
Options Signal Over 3.4% One‑Week SPX Move
"Despite the shortened week, the options market is implying over a 3.4% move for SPX. Not quite as extreme as we saw last year, but still one of the largest 1-week implied moves we have had over the last five...
Whale's $32M Bitcoin Short Faces $81k Liquidation
AN OG WHALE HAS JUST OPENED A $32,000,000 BITCOIN SHORT POSITION WITH 40X CROSS LEVERAGE. They will be completely wiped out if the price hits $81,186. 👀 https://t.co/wRZEMuk5eg
Fed Funds Futures Return to Normal, Near‑Term Hike Priced Out
Fed funds futures mostly back to "normal" as the near term rate hike gets priced out. Live chart vs last Thurs. https://t.co/F0dnQCJ9pu
Our Responses Shape Crises, Not Just History Repeating
While history rhymes, what is different this time inevitably reflects what we did in response to the last crisis. Thank you @Spencerjakab for reminding the crowd that, no, oil futures didn't exist during the last gas crisis. They were a...
Expanding Switch Spread Turns Against Bullish Traders
The switch keeps expanding. That spread is moving the wrong way if you are bullish https://t.co/m2ctrSUvzX
2026 Mirrors 2025 Volatility with Early Down Days
The volatility we saw in 2025 is showing up again in 2026. Large down days are starting to stack up early in the year. https://t.co/vxrQyvPxGt
SPX Futures Rebound, Patience Required for Today’s Trade
$spx futs +35 reversed off the overnight lows. Makes today’s set up different. It means more patience and we’ll see if early strength holds/fades or builds. We will map out some levels And trade the market in front of us....
US‑China Tech Tensions Spark Risk‑off, but Long Bias Holds
🌍 US-China tech tensions escalate, risk-off mood grips ─────── 📈 Price > VWAP — Bias: Long · Buy rips through 23,299 · Buy dips at 23,251 ─────── 🌏 Asia ORB Set | MNQ High: 23,299 ⬆️ | Low: 23,251 ⬆️ | Range: 48 pts ─────── 🎬 Live...
Inflation Swap Forward Gauge Peaks, Now Weakening on Downside Risks
Think of the 1-year forward 1-year inflation swap as a market gauge for the current inflation vs growth battle. At the start of the war, the forward measure surged higher along with the current 1-year swap as inflation concerns dominated, but...
One Final Detail Determines Trading Success
The one detail at the end makes all the difference. #optionstrading #sellingputs #investingforbeginners #passiveincome #stockmarket
Long Bias: Buy Rips 23,400, Dip At
🇺🇸 NY ORB Set | MNQ High: 23,400 | Low: 23,350 | Range: 50 📈 Price > VWAP — Bias: Long · Buy rips through 23,400 · Buy dips at 23,350 🎬 Live trade 9am: https://t.co/66dSROeuCi
FX Unwind Loss Overstated Amid INR Depreciation
Just relax about this supposed 4,000 crore loss on FX unwinding. Just in the past month the INR has depreciated by over 4%. All these positions would not have been set up for the first time at Friday 27th close....
Middle East Tensions Push Gold to 4537.70 ORB
🌏 Asia ORB Set | GC High: 4537.70 | Low: 4511.80 🎬 Live trade 9am: https://t.co/UFRUqEw6Kf ─────── 🌍 Middle East tensions spike, driving safe-haven bids. ─────── 📊 Gold futures grinding higher, testing 4535.00 resistance. ─────── 🎯 Watch 4537.70 ORB high—break ignites bullish surge.
Raise Tick‑Per‑Row for a Cleaner Volume Profile
Most traders use Volume Profile… but never set it up right 🤦♂️📊 If your profile looks chunky and sloppy, fix this one setting: Tick per row → raise it. Cleaner profile. Better detail. Smarter reads. ✅ Small tweak. Big difference. #VolumeProfile #FuturesTrading #TradingTips
Conflict Risk and Negative Gamma Threaten Market Stability
Conflict risk combined with deeply negative gamma has destabilized markets. With a massive vol premium still embedded, the risk is that realized volatility catches up to meet implied vols. Read our full breakdown: https://t.co/n0KqLMYeDl
Wait for VIX Rejection Before
Pinning this so people stop confusing my patience with being bullish No longs until the VIX rejects & fades When it does…give it 48 hours
Hidden Risks of Cash‑Secured Puts Exposed
But it’s the part they don’t tell you that’s the real risk... #cashsecuredputs #optionstrading #investingforbeginners #tradingtips #stockmarket
Implied Volatility Peaks as Realized Remains Low on S&P 500
Massive gap between S&P 500 implied volatility (high) and realized volatility (low) Traders are girded https://t.co/WQAnDIXCuq
Multiple Plans Enable Flexible Trading in Volatile Markets
I like this playbook. Just have multiple plans in moment as levels will be zones and u must know what u can handle. I’d love $spx $spy 2%-4% lower into Tuesday to play the bounce. Oscillator went out...
One‑Year Inflation Swaps Hover Near 3%, No Panic
No major inflation scare yet... 1yr inflation swap only about 3%.. not alarming by historical trends Torsten at Apollo https://t.co/YfD4ihEjtb
Micro Nasdaq Futures: Smaller Size Saves Prop Accounts
Most traders blow prop accounts trading Nasdaq futures with size that’s too big. The moves are fast and the pullbacks are deep. Scaling down to micro contracts (MNQ) gives you more control, better risk management, and cleaner execution. Smaller size makes a big...
Massive SPY Put Purchases Drive Significant Gains
Top April 2nd (W) positioning form Hawk Database... SPY puts have seen massive buys since early March and are up significantly https://t.co/I2kbzAFe3I
Weekend S&P 500 Futures Live on Hyperliquid
It's pretty cool we now get to see S&P500 futures trading over the weekend in real time on hyperliquid.
Fed Futures Show 28% Chance of October Hike
Fed Fund futures market is loose.. now just a 28% chance of a hike by October https://t.co/xszONB6nqL
Early Masters Pairs Trade: Short Scheffler, Long Schauffele
Yes it's a few weeks away but not too early to start handicapping the @TheMasters. Here are a few @Kalshi @KalshiSports event contracts I am looking at and discussed on The Danny Moses Show...think of it as a "pairs trade",...
VIX Spikes on Gains Too, Not Just Losses
The VIX should spike on up days like it does down days. Volatility doesn't just happen one direction.
Liquidity Decline Puts Market Volatility to New Test
My video for the week ahead: Market Volatility Faces New Test as Liquidity Drops and Data Builds (recorded before Friday's US tumble so even more relevant) https://t.co/fPTls4gx6p
Whale Bets $27M on Bitcoin Dip, Targets $98.5k
A whale has opened a $26,928,000 BTC short position today. Liquidation Price: $98,570 Seems like they know something… https://t.co/Oldns9UtsJ
VIX Above 30 Signals Market Turbulence Ahead
VIX closed at 31, its highest weekly close since last year’s tariff sell-off. When $VIX holds above 30, things tend to break. In this episode, we talk through exactly what we’re watching and how to navigate this environment. Watch: https://t.co/WlGqDNQSk1 $SPY $QQQ...
China Opens Nickel, Lithium Futures to Foreign Investors
China will open nickel and lithium futures to foreign investors, aiming to strengthen global metals pricing power. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/03/china-nickel-and-lithium-futures.html
Brent Crude Hits New High, Up 59% Since War
Nearby Brent Crude Oil Futures made a new closing high today. Up 59% since the war began. https://t.co/659nwQCHcc
Consider Extending Your Long VIX Position
Well worth a read. I've been long VIX for a few weeks now - but maybe not enough.