Single Stocks Set for Highest Volatility Gap Since 2008
Single Stocks are expected to be more volatile than the S&P 500 by the largest margin since October 2008. 👀 https://t.co/DChNaXPkiW
1‑Month 25‑Delta Skew Peaks at 2021 Levels, Signaling Rising Anxiety
"1-month 25 delta skew reached its highest level since late 2021, reflecting elevated anxiety" -Captain Craig @t1alpha https://t.co/6wFr4T9ewz
Geopolitical Tensions Push SPX Futures Down, Near Key Range
Good morning, Mostly Deep Red Arrows around the World as Geopolitical tensions spread thru 9 Countries. $spx futures -120 Looks like we will be right around big important range area. $spy $675ish https://t.co/S9yXkXPEy9
Iran Strike Sparks Cross-Asset Volatility, Market Outlook Discussed
I'll be on with @MariaBartiromo tomorrow am- 7:10 EST on @FoxBusiness discussing the surge in cross-asset volatility given the Iran Strike & what it means for markets
Futures Hit 7‑day Widest Range as D
Naz barely made OD up bar while SP & Rus failed...no surprise that the majority of the futures markets made WR7s...(widest range of the last 7 days.) DAX gave a purse trend day down. https://t.co/M06KxsRquT
Bitcoin’s $100K Rally Could Inflict Maximum Investor Pain
The most painful thing for the market right now isn't $BTC dropping to $50k. Market is largely hedged and ready for that. The most painful path forward is a rally to $100k or so that leaves everyone sitting in...
Trade Against Crowd, Wait for Strong Risk‑Reward Setup
This is what trading against the crowd using behavior and sorta simple TA looks like I'd add to this the low in oil came as Silver was topping out too but more importantly is you can't predict the future vs waiting...
Peace Returns to VIX Complex Despite Middle East Turmoil
The Middle East may still be in turmoil, but peace has returned to the VIX complex. https://t.co/rNDEVVnd18
Opened ServiceNow Position, Sharing Proof & TBL Access
I disclosed to everyone during my TikTok live last night that I had opened service now positions last week Now you can see the proof yourself via the signal given to TBL in Feb I told everyone why I love the...
Volatility and Clean Structure Simplify NQ Trading
Volatility? Good. Clean structure? Even better. 🔥 NQ gave us: ⚡ Price Discovery Continuation ⚡ VWAP Bounce ⚡ IB High Fade ⚡ Madonna (first IB touch fade… textbook) When you read balance vs imbalance correctly, the market gets simple. Grab the free guide 🌊 #vwaptrading #nqfutures #tradingeducation
Returning to Short SPY Calls After S&P Rally
Back Shorting SPY Calls @thestreetpro With S&P cash -9 handles (a big rally from the lows of -70 handles) I am back shorting (SPY) calls. By Doug Kass Mar 2, 2026 11:21 AM EST @guyadami @dougkass
Nvidia Sees $335M June $150 Call Surge, March 160 Adjusts
Nvidia (NVDA) with $335M of June $150 ITM calls bought as big March 160 position adjusts
CBOE Term Structure Reveals Lingering Weekly Market Concerns
And here's what it looks like using @CBOE term structure. Still worried about the next week. https://t.co/fiamATKWkr
0DTE Options Transform Index to Stock Trading
The rise of 0DTE options reshaped index trading — and that evolution is now extending to single stocks. Join us today at 1pm ET as we go live with Mat Cashman of the OCC to break down this structural shift:...
VIX Spot Above Curve Signals Major Market Move
Spot $VIX sitting above the entire $VX futures term structure. This is not normal (duh). Either spot comes down or futures need to move higher. Pick one and play it accordingly. https://t.co/UHEiLblhn0
SHLD Surges to 80 on ETF Buy, Iran Strike Signal
$SHLD hit 80 this morning, last week's ETF buy...and another options flow signal that a strike on Iran was imminent https://t.co/X4FCStX2RJ
Belly Bonds Sell Off; 5-Year Yields Ease
Non-stop selling of the belly since futures opened last night with 5s easing up on the curve after a historic run. https://t.co/7GuCuTfHeW
Upgrade Your Trading: Switch From Excel to Python
Stop trading in Excel like it’s 2009. Start using Python + ChatGPT. Here's 7 small steps:
War‑time Trade Lifts Commodities, S&P Teeters at 6785
Mostly red arrows around the world as weekend Middle East events have the “war time trade” in motion, with silver/gold/oil higher and $SPX futures -70. Key is whether $SPX holds 6780–6790 to keep the upper range intact, or if it...
Traders Shift War Hedge to Longer‑Dated Options
"it's hard to hedge a war with a 0DTE contract, which is why we are seeing this positioning expressed further out on the curve" -Captain Craig @t1alpha
Buy SPX Dips Near 6800 Amid Oil‑driven Volatility
Elevated volatility as oil spikes and heavy Treasury settlements. S&P gamma at 6800; VIX resists ~20. Risk: higher oil, weaker productivity → yields up. Trade: buy SPX dips near 6800. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Indian Leveraged Futures Likely to Be Squashed Before Holi
Logically, if the war is not over, Indians with leveraged stock futures positions and MTF positions will not hold onto them into a Holi Holiday tomorrow - expect a lot of squaring up in the second half of the day....
Tight Bollinger Bands Signal Potential Upside Volatility
Futures open down only 1% for the S&P 500. Bollinger Bands are about as tight as they've been in years. The spring is coiling. How many think it'll be volatility to the upside? https://t.co/QMWz06txWk
S&P 500 Near 100‑Day MA, Futures Slip 1%
S&P 500 had been holding the 100-day moving average. That level 6831 now. Futures down 1% at 6815. Let’s see if we get a close below there. https://t.co/rCkhL5PUZi
Oil Prices Surge: Brent Up 9%, WTI Up 8%
Brent crude oil +9% to $79 WTI crude oil +8% to $72 RBOB gasoline futures +5% to $2.42 https://t.co/Z7uoT3rHYZ
Crisis Mode Returns: US‑Israel Strikes Ignite Market Volatility
Markets are back in crisis mode with the US–Israel strikes on Iran dominating headlines: global risk assets are reacting, oil prices are spiking, and S&P volatility is alive. Join us LIVE at 6pm EST as we break down how ES futures...
Expanding Volatility Signals Upcoming Continuation Setups
4 out of 5 signals nailed in NQ Friday 🔥 Balanced market. Flat VWAP. Clean rotations between deviation bands. But this week? Volatility expanding = continuation setups likely take over. Comment VWAP and I’ll send you the free Discord link 👇 #vwap #futurestrading #tradingstrategy
Tight Index Range Masks Historic Market Dispersion
In this episode, we sit down with Piper’s Head of Options Strategy, Danny Kirsch to unpack one of the most unusual market environments in decades. The index has traded in a tight range, yet beneath that stability we’re seeing historic...
Asian Session Opens in 7 Hours, Risk Integration Begins
Just under 7 hours until the Asian session open and the markets can start working some of this risk into market exposure and hedging
VIX Spikes Signal Potential SPX Plunge at Open
Going back to collapse of the Internet bubble, serious VIX spikes coincide with big drops from 52-week highs for $SPX. Second chart is a closer look at current times. Do we go down hard when futures open later today?? https://t.co/XnG2Iu29Fd
BTC Faces $8B Short Squeeze as Longs Stay Minimal
A strong leverage imbalance in BTC: around $8 billion in short positions and less than $200 million in longs. Although #Bitcoin has slightly recovered today, the market still seems to be expecting a continuation of the escalation of the conflict. https://t.co/yZKxSSUIGw
XAUT Cracks Binance Top‑10 Perpetual Trading Pairs
#XAUT has officially entered the Top 10 perpetual trading pairs on Binance, according to CryptoQuant. https://t.co/SdMYcOKgm1
Discover Nifty Futures' Hidden Implied Financing Rate
Everyone watches Nifty50 futures price. Some track IV in options trading... >> Almost nobody tracks the hidden interest rate inside Nifty futures. >> It’s called Implied Financing. And once you understand how implied financing drives Nifty50 futures, options pricing, and volatility structure… You’ll never look...
1‑2% Rule Designed for Pit Traders, Not Retail
Traders beware of random information without context. The 1%-2% rule was conceived by smart futures pit traders in the 1980s who executed dozens or hundreds of trades per day. The average retail trader who does a few trades/wk will never...
Hedge Funds Maxed Bullish Brent Bets Ahead of Iran Attack
Bullish Brent positions at nearly two-year high prior to attack on Iran Before the United States and Israel attacked Iran, hedge funds and other money managers amassed the largest bullish position in Brent crude futures and options for almost two years,...
Netflix PMCC Trade Closed: Results Revealed
You Asked What Happened… Here’s How the Netflix PMCC Trade Finished #optionstrader #optionstrading #tradingstrategy #pmcc
Iran Risk Unpriced; Protect Positions Ahead of Expiry
I warned IRAN RISK IS NOT PRICED IN - 2 weeks ago setting up for clients how to protect. And then last week: Iran Risk Is Not Priced In, Still Then Friday morning live & in this Weekend Risk client post: "I’m racing...
One Strategy Mastered Beats Ten Half‑Done Ones
You don't need 10 strategies. You need one — done consistently and correctly. Mastery over variety. Every time.
SPX Implied ~6800; P/E Drops 2 Points Since Nov 2025
With SPX implied near 6800, the P/E multiple is down almost 2pts from the November 2025 high https://t.co/bDmapKAmlt
Vol and Bond Markets Signal Inside News Ahead
Spot vol beta in the VIX complex was relatively hot yesterday. Nothing insane, but more towards the high end of what we usually see. S&P closed down about 60bps, VIX up about a vol point /VX up about 4%. Strong...
Call Skew Lowers Oil Spreads, Polymarket Binaries Boost Value
I wrote about Polymarket Iran markets and crude vols last week but didn't cover oil call spreads vs the odds. Jacked call skew makes call spreads cheaper in oil but the presence of Polymarket binaries creates a bid for them...
Master End-to-End Python Algo Trading: Roadmap, Skills, Tools
Build an End-to-End Python Algorithmic Trading System (complete roadmap + skills + tools) Bookmark this.
Private‑credit and AI Scare Trade Slashed Stocks, Volatility Ahead
1% from ATHs, pathetic, imagine when real vol shows up: Private-credit ‘cockroaches’ and the AI ‘scare trade’ hammered stocks in February. Here’s what else has investors shaken up. https://t.co/mzDqO7IsGo
Funds Snap up Record CBOT Wheat, Futures Rise 3%
📈Funds bought a massive amount of CBOT wheat in the week ended Feb. 24. Net buying neared 51,000 futures & options contracts, the third most for any week on record. Funds were net short 17.3k contracts as of Feb. 24, but...
TSLA Cheap Vol, but Skew Makes Puts Pricey
TSLA is frustrating...vol is cheap and I want the nitroglycerine puts but the skew is jacked. https://t.co/e8sACX2GXu
Fade Extreme Breakouts; Trade Location, Not Emotion
Breakouts look strong… until they reverse. 🚨 If we’re inside value with a flat VWAP, chasing highs is usually the trap. Fade statistical extremes. Trade location, not emotion. Link in profile 📲 #DayTrading #FuturesMarket #TradingEducation
AmEx Buying Holds Steady Amid White‑
$AXP put buying staying constant Hammered this week on the idea that the end of white collar knowledge workers disrupts its card user spending https://t.co/Cd5J3HA4N4
Understanding Covered Calls vs Equivalent Stock Delta Sale
Today's spaced repetition is structured as a slow-as-molasses homework that builds up to understanding the nature of covered calls vs the equivalent portfolio of selling [delta] amount of your stock (which is the right basis of comparison)
Foreign Markets Surge Amid Global Extensions
(PREMIUM) "Tactical Update: February 27, 2026 - Global Extensions..." Foreign markets remain on fire... via The Lyons Share https://t.co/VFNIukbgod https://t.co/jRyXRjyXsc
AAOI Surge: $85 Calls Spike as AI Component Play
Applied Opto (AAOI) seeing 880 June $85 calls bought $1.5M with stock up 45% on results, a top components play for a while now on the AI buildout Piece I wrote last Aug. https://t.co/WYy1BykzGw