Elevated IV and RV, Flat Term Structure, No VRP
Filtering across a liquid cross-section of ETFs and equities (and excluding earnings names) the Trade Ideas algo picks up the following. Note across the market IV and RV remains elevated, no VRP on avg based on our RV calcs. The typical term structure is flat https://t.co/kpt2xaBXIO
One in Five Options Trades End Up Misguided
This is really something that comes up a lot (21% of the time in the past decade according to 35 liquid ETFs spanning many assets) and very easy to lure yourself into a misdirected option trade
Explore EWY Volatility Patterns with Handy YFinance Toolkit
The recent action in EWY fits a pattern that happens frequently enough to be worth understanding the SHAPE of its vol. You will find: 🌙handy measures 🌙inspiration for your own exploration 🌙GIT notebook to get you started with yfinance data https://t.co/MkdqLvqfC6 https://t.co/LDHZibQS9H
Bond Volatility Bet Hurts Markets, Boosts TW MK
Treasury (TLT) buyer 5000 December $89 straddles expecting bond volatility, tends to be bad for markets, good for TW MKTX
Buy Call Spread, Sell Free Put on AVGO
$AVGO "Trade Idea 2: Buy the March 6 Expiry 322.50/330 Call Spread ($3.90) and sell the March 6 Expiry 297.50 Put for free." sell to close call spread on any weakess in the stock price, puts look to expire
Sell March 6 64/73 Strangle for Quick Credit
$KR "Trade Idea 4: Sell the March 6 Expiry 64/73 Strangle for a 75 cent credit." looks to expiore, let IV fall then can buy to close or watch
Billions in Options Set to Expire at Key Strikes
Options for ~2.2 bln euros at $1.16 expire at 10 am ET Options for ~535 mln at $1.3350 expire then Options for ~$355 mln at CAD1.3650 also expire DTCC listed
Brent Backwardation Hits 98th Percentile Amid Hormuz Closure
BRENT futures have surged into a severe backwardation as the closure of the Strait of Hormuz threatens to create an acute shortage of barrels. The six-month calendar spread has soared into a backwardation of almost $11 per barrel from less...
Nifty50 Poised for Breakout, Trade in Play
Looks like a breakout on Nifty50 to me.....😁 Price pushing above the recent consolidation and attempting to reclaim structure. Of course, the market loves turning breakouts into fakeouts… so let’s see... Entered >> Nifty 10 Mar 24,550 CE @ 375. If momentum follows...
New Signal
Timely post by @71Ksander on EWY: https://t.co/Aq1A2m75tU I'm publishing a large post tomorrow... intuitive signal that would help with tricky names like EWY. There was differing views on its vol in our Discord but a pattern I've seen before. Decided to...
Implied Correlations Hit Highest Since Nov 2025
One-month and three-month implied correlations reached their highest levels since November 2025, Citadel Rubner https://t.co/fVOlYRc8tW
Patient Shorts Pay Off in Live Trading Session
Patient Shorts Rewarded - live trading room Tuesday ;-) $VIX $SPX $EWY $EWT $EWJ $SNDK $STX $WDC $MU Charting VIX for intraday scalps PLUS timing the top in South Korea ;-) https://t.co/zuRtN2DthN
Corgi Funds Files for 88 New 2x Leveraged ETFs
So Corgi Funds just filed for 88 (yes eighty eight) 2x levered single stock ETFs. Here's a sample of some of them. h/t @Todd_Sohn cc @TaxAlphaInsider @DaveNadig @sumitroy2 https://t.co/Pl5FFaII2y
OpEx Set to Unload 35% of US Options
Citadel Rubner: OpEx will represent the largest technical event of the month, with ~35% of US options exposure set to roll off by March 20 https://t.co/CZEymqKzhl
Coal: Unexpected Hedge for AI Boom and Economic Rebound
I know it's only March but if you know anyone in your family is going to be on the naughty list you may want to consider hedging your future coal purchases with a long $COAL position. You're competing against the...
Multi‑billion FX Options Expire Thursday Across Major Currencies
Notable Thurs FX option expirations: 1.9 bln euros at $1.1685 $1 bln at JPY157 GBP535 at $1.3350 $305 mln at CAD1.3650 $335 mln at MXN17.50 $755 mln at BRL5.21 DTCC listed https://t.co/bSx6eAhEKQ
VIX May Signal Short-Term Market Bottom, Says Adami
Is the VIX showing signs of a short-term market bottom? 🎙️@GuyAdami on the correlation between the $VIX & $SPX https://t.co/BIswcB9QAe
Citi Flags Extreme SPX Bearishness, Skew Near 3‑year Highs
Citi: Options investor positioning in the SPX index is extremely bearish, with skew close to 3-year highs https://t.co/8bOEw1FFfS
New Podcast “The Options Trench” Emphasizes Measurement Over Prediction
Moontower 🌙Launching podcast/YT series: The Options Trench 🌙Make it make sense 🌙"measurement not prediction" in the wild https://t.co/SVLluHexwT refs: @outlieroptions @halfkelly @Citrini7 @shaneparrish https://t.co/6sjaG9EPz6
Call OI Climbs as 0DTE Puts Curb Put Accumulation
TLDR: Call OI keeps going higher while Put OI does not. These PC chart on X differ in a bunch of ways. What "S&P Ratio" specifically means can differ: are you including SPX options, is it single stocks only, is it...
Silver Trade
gave a 15c stop here on $SLV here live on @ttvresearch @traderTVLIVE , now 60c ITM #silver #trading https://t.co/YFv9KiHwyY
Buy Stocks Cheap by Shorting Puts During Volatility Spikes
one way i like to use put contracts: 1) i have an idea of what price i want to be long a stock 2) if volatility spikes i will short puts with a strike at or near that price level 3) if the...
Long Calls on Nine High‑Growth Stocks
we're long 9 call options in #AllINsync: $PFE $JOBY $OXY $AA $COIN $TSLA $PLTR $HOOD
Free Put, Cheap Call Spread on CRWD
$CRWD "Trade Idea 2: Buy the March 6 Expiry 380/390 Call Spread ($4.80) and sell the March 6 Expiry 350 Put for free." sell to close call spread , puts expire
Oscillator Model Misses Zone, No Moves Since Buy
my $SPX $VIX oscillator model didn't manage to even get into the zone... nothing since the last buy signal... https://t.co/I6WWFOsvwS
Short March $MSTR Puts Prove Profitable
starting to feel a little better about being short the 3/20 $MSTR puts (sub 100). https://t.co/e2kBNgXmzp
Fund Managers Slightly Boost Dutch Gas Positions Pre‑crisis
INVESTMENT MANAGERS purchased the equivalent of 12 terawatt-hours (TWh) of futures and options in the European benchmark Dutch TTF contract over the seven days ending on February 27. Nearly all the buying came from repurchases of previous bearish short positions....
Shorted Indices, S&P Futures Spike, Positions Closed
We shorted the Indices on this BS report. The S and P futures ripped (+28 handles) and we put them out: * $SPY $682.35 * $QQQ $604.37 @dougkass @thestreetpro @tomkeene @business
SPX Futures Slip 3 Points After SPY Reclaims Range
$spx futures -3 as today settles out a bit after $spy hit $669 and reclaimed $675 to get home back on the range https://t.co/NY794d92MH
78% Downside
Today was a 78% downside day. Has no significance. DVOL/(UVOL+DVOL); Lowry’s definition. Data per https://t.co/iX5L1DJIjD. See https://t.co/7TpOm9eA5A for explanation.
U.S. Sees -2% as Volatile; Nikkei Drops 10%
Americans think a -2% day is crazy volatile, while the Nikkei is down 10% in the first three days of March https://t.co/997R5MoBjs
SPS Commerce Trades Cheap, Unusual Call Spread Amid Sale Push
I'll do this one public...always liked this Co. and is wildly cheap at these levels... Unusual Call Spread in High Quality Software Player at Record Cheap Valuation with Limited AI Disruption Risk SPS Commerce $SPSC with an interesting trade of 3/3 as...
RBOB Contract Roll Added 25¢ to Gasoline Price
Gasoline prices... remember the March-April RBOB contract roll was +25 cents on its own https://t.co/WAOPFvCQdz
Understanding Straddle Approximation and Skew's Impact on Volatility
Today's spaced repetition covers a lot of ground. 🌙Visual derivation of the .80 straddle approximation 🌙How skew distorts vol-based risk measures 🌙 Practical tips& discussion
Oil Approaches Its Most Bullish Season Yet
We are nearing oil's most bullish time of year. $CL_F $USO $WTIC More from me on @stockcharts: https://t.co/2c4CuouCWe https://t.co/o1k2jBw7MM
Nifty50 Faces Crucial Support Tests Amid Volatility
Based on Monday’s India VIX and the geopolitical mess, I see 3 key supports for Nifty50 tomorrow (4th March): >> 24,500 >> 24,150 >> 23,450 Gift Nifty hints we may open below 24,500. If 24,150 holds, bulls survive....🔥 If the last support breaks, we’re not talking...
SPX Below Gamma Flip Signals Expanding Volatility
The $SPX is still below the gamma flip. That keeps us in negative gamma, meaning volatility can expand, and rallies can fade fast.
VIX Backwardation Pays Traders as Hedgers Transfer Risk
The VIX curve just flipped into backwardation. The MAR/APR spread hit -2.35. What does that mean? In contango (normal), you PAY to hold vol exposure every day. In backwardation, the market PAYS YOU to hold it. Panicking hedgers are transferring their risk premium directly...
Bond Volatility Stocks TW, MKTX Signal Market Trouble
Bond Volatility winners $TW $MKTX also always a good market hedge / indicator of trouble coming
SVIX Plummets, May Signal Emerging Volatility Cluster
Vol gods very angry this morning. That means that $SVIX is being smashed to a level that gets it on the watch list. But it could be the first of a cluster (see March/April of last year), so be careful...
Sticky Upside Volatility Threatens Crowded Short‑Vol Trade
Embedded issue with markets now is whether volatility remains sticky to upside and destroys the crowded and complacent short vol trade which has been going on for years
Implied Vol Outpaces History—Will It Converge Soon?
Implied vol is well ahead of historical vol. Is the latter about to catch up? https://t.co/n7Ii78S3oL
Quasi Sklar Box Signals 5,000-Point Downside for Gold
Quasi SKlarew box suggests minimum downside of 5000 for GC. note perfect 120 "u turn" at the top. https://t.co/wHdOR1RvDF
Capture $1 Call Spread Profit, Free Put Hedge
$BBY "Trade Idea 2: Buy the March 6 Expiry 62/63 Call Spread (80 cents) and sell the March 6 Expiry 56 Put for free." puts expire, sell call spread near $1.00 or on any weakness in stock price
MDB Call Spread Busted; Roll Puts Down/Out
$MDB "Trade Idea 2: Buy the March 6 Expiry 330/342.50 Call Spread ($7.40) and sell the March 6 Expiry 275 Put for a 20 cent credit." call spread a bust, will need to roll puts down and out.
Wholesale Options Signals Reveal Crucial Market Fundamentals
Even if you're not an active single name options market participant, ignoring wholesale the signals & pricing in those markets can be tantamount to ignoring fundamental developments.
Spot VIX Spikes, Futures in Backwardation; Expect Drop
Similar to what we saw pre-market yesterday. Spot VIX (from SPX option chain) way north of the directly tradeable VX futures. Backwardation of the futures is not a good look, but I expect spot VIX to drop once the bell...
CBOE Strength Breakouts Signal Upcoming Market Weakness
An interesting study for someone good with that kind of thing... Chart $CBOE relative strength breakouts vs. the market as an inflection point to market trends Seems CBOE showing rel. strength tends to always precede market weakness as options volumes surge
Whale Opens $40M BTC Short At
🚨 LATEST A whale has just opened a $40M $BTC short position with 40x leverage. Liquidation Price: $72,322 https://t.co/wvdP3TdmWO
Middle East Tensions Spark Risk‑off, S&P Futures Slide
Escalating U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran triggered risk-off sentiment, driving S&P 500 futures down over 1%. https://t.co/NbHGasOhbi