Options & Derivatives Social Media and Updates
Options & Derivatives Social Media and Updates
Options & Derivatives Pulse
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Tuesday recap
EMAIL DIGESTS
Daily
Every morning
Weekly
Tuesday recap
Some of the biggest changes in options open interest ... HYG puts, VIX calls https://t.co/d4aFpBQUXh
Theta: The Rent You Pay for Holding Options Theta is the rent you pay for holding options. Every day, a slice of your premium evaporates, and the closer you get to expiration, the faster it burns. Example: Buy a $TSLA call...
When CTAs unwind, they don't ask for permission. They sell into whatever liquidity is available. The signal is already at levels that preceded major drawdowns in 2022 and early 2024. Price follows positioning. It usually takes time a little longer than you...
SPX is sitting 167 points below the gamma flip level. When price is below the flip, dealers are short gamma. They throttle vol moves instead of suppressing them. Swings get bigger in both directions. Bulls need a reclaim of 6,681 to get...
Systematic funds haven't panic sold yet. CTA and vol-control models are sitting at neutral positioning right now. That means they still have long exposure to unwind. If this downtrend continues, these models will keep selling mechanically. No capitulation signal. Just more rules-based selling still...
JP Morgan has launched a basket of credit default swaps designed to let hedge funds bet against the debt of $GOOGL, $AMZN, $ORCL, $META, and $MSFT 👀 https://t.co/snSNwBvm2p
Sure is tempting to hold Puts down to $645 on $SPY, but I would be cautious of chop around $650. Especially as momentum slows into lunch. I would expect a few tests of $650 before anything gives...
How do you hedge exposure to the volatility of energy prices? Sean Murray of @fuseenergy responds https://t.co/meE1SvxnF0
Lots of hints that Turkey has done a gold swap to raise FX to fund the central bank's intervention to defend the lira. It didn't show up in the CBRT's reserve disclosure for March 19th (reporting is lagged a week). ...
Growing US, Canada Crude and Fuel Surplus - When the December 2026 (Dec26) WTI crude future started trading in 2017, the US and Canada had a supply-demand deficit near 1 million barrels a day (MMb/d). Now it's a roughly 7 MMb/d...
"Your Options don't have to be in-the-money for you to make money" - @sstrazza today LIVE on The Morning Show @StockMktTV Here's the link. Let us know what you think: https://t.co/4fzzcuHq16 https://t.co/VDX8ocHwoM
Now that cuts have been completely priced out through late 2026 into 1H 2027, long SOFR futures are extremely attractively priced. I do not believe hikes will happen as that would twist the knife into a global recession, so therefore...
March 2027 RBOB gasoline futures $2.21, implying $3.15 at the pump by the winter https://t.co/TkEv0pc6Zf
Using premarket marks, this is Crude (USO) vs VIX. You can see the AM VIX move is high relative to the move in oil (red dot). Black dots are last 5 days. https://t.co/ZgBEOTzNOF
SPX vols look quite oddly bid this morning? @NoelSmith lemme know if I'm just being dumb (please)
The #BTC CME Gap is still present. Historically, about 95% of such Gaps eventually get filled. https://t.co/qkvxNOs2am
🚨 WEBINAR ALERT 🚨 Nifty To Options: Rohit Srivastava’s Complete RMI Trading Framework Stop Guessing Market Moves. In this power-packed session, Rohit Srivastava (Creator of RMI) will show you how to go from accurate Nifty Analysis → High-probability options trades using a clear,...
Trading frequency - a commentary from a five decade veteran I follow about 40 global futures markets I enter each year figuring that I might three good signals in a given market over the course of 12 months -- maybe four. That's...
Testing an automated futures trading strategy on Micro Nasdaq futures (MNQ). Day 10. Two trades. Two wins. +325. This is a rule based trading system built for consistency, using fixed risk management and structured execution. No discretionary trading. No overtrading. Tracking performance on a prop firm style account...
This Friday, the market is expected to be volatile: BTC options worth a record $14.6 billion are set to expire. This is the largest expiry in the past couple of months. The maximum “pain price” is at $75,000. https://t.co/fDAMfSj474
Brent crude: - Flat price (white) - Prompt futures timespread (blue) - Dated-to-Frontline (DFL) spread (orange) All off their highs, but DFLs are both closest to the "real" spot market and they're trading nearest the high of the lot. In relative terms DFLs didn't get...
Light Crude Futures $CL_F $USO 2 hour chart on left 30 minute on right Oil had been holding support btwn 94-92 until the 🟠"taco tweet" removed some of the perceived risk in oil It dropped down to the anchor from the beginning of the...
6:49am: sudden spike in oil futures trading. no news. no announcement. nothing public. 7:05am: trump announces a pause on iran strikes. markets move. someone knew. 16 minutes early. $580 million in contracts. the corruption is staggering.
Corcept (CORT) 700 May $50 puts selling to open $13 a minute ahead of the halt SEC: https://t.co/g4LgvLustp
High impact news tomorrow The day trade opportunity happened in the futures market during London session I’m personally not entering any new option positions today due to the fact that high impact news (unemployment claims) However, the data still gets...
I find the oil futures curve to be a useful way of keeping track of news out of the Middle East, as it provides a useful metric for assessing what's changing, and how much. https://t.co/Hl3XzfUEfP
$5 Corn May Mark a 2026 Peak Alongside $120 Crude - The December corn future (Dec26) stretch to $4.99 a bushel around the onset of the Iran war on March 9 may have peak inklings akin to Dec22's $7.66 apex...
Single stock calls are looking cheap, with stock IV seemingly cheap relative to Index calls. I think that could be an interesting trade setup here. https://t.co/kZqM2eCdlo
$VIX at 25 is pretty much right where the stock market bears want to see it (I posted an X article this morning for my subscribers about this) https://t.co/nM3ANvkYbo
May soon becomes the RBOB prompt.. it's $2.89... implying a $3.80-$3.85 national average (down from today's $3.99 level) https://t.co/0eD1CGzOZ5
Mostly green arrows around the World as Israel says there’s growing talks for a 30 Day Ceasefire. Europe and Asia broadly higher $spx futures +62. We’ll see if early strength builds or fades. $spy pivot resistance $662...
https://www.tiktok.com/@theblackliststocks?_r=1&_t=ZP-94ylxCCXmzW Going live about to enter gold futures trade and listen to music and just chill I’ll see yall there 🫱🏾🫲🏻📈🚀
Had a pretty good day with futures yesterday (around $900 in profits) Today I’ll be looking to go long gold via the futures market (TBL team and I are already in gold option positions and shares) I love the daily confluence. Strong...
I’m asked frequently about whether governments are intervening in futures markets already, and I have no idea nor have I seen any evidence. But, if they are and if Hormuz remains shut, it’ll only work for a bit longer before physical...
The day the war started (Feb 28), Fed fund futures were pricing in 2.5 rate Fed CUTS for 2026. Now they are pricing in 0.2 of a Fed rate HIKE for the rest of the year. https://t.co/kZikoSqzqz
Tick chart starting Friday afternoon. 10-year yield (white) Nearby WTI crude oil futures (blue) In a crisis, all correlations go to 1. https://t.co/0ubKfHkt9Q
US indices have honestly been cleaner than crypto lately. Macro hits → clear moves. No random chop. There’s a $100K TradFi Carnival running on Phemex right now around that: NAS100, SP500, US2000, VIX, SPYX March 24 – April 7 👉https://t.co/HPEIMAA7lo If you prefer trading structured volatility...
A whale has opened a $25,477,000 short position on gold. If gold rises to $4,486, he will be very disappointed. https://t.co/qKqCCtbInG
Interesting FX options expiring tomorrow: $1.1605 for 1.8 bln euros, Thurs ~1.4 bln euros at $1.16. JPY160 for $885 mln A$1.4 bln at $0.6950. $420 mln at CAD1.3785 and $590 mln at CAD1.38. DTCC listed.
Volatility doesn’t need a catalyst. It needs positioning. When everyone’s short $VIX indirectly, the ‘catalyst’ is just the excuse. https://t.co/St0uiv1V7S
Volatility on the $DXY Dollar Index keeps has climbed to a 9 month high - when measured by the 20-day ATR. Meanwhile, the 20-day range has leveled out and contracted. So, scenarios: either volatility drops to accommodate range or breakout...
Joined @TheDomino & @andrewdbeer1 to talk managed futures ETFs... -Increasing investor interest -More issuers entering the category -Potential diversification benefits -Investor behavior component -Education & due diligence https://t.co/6uLLcWI5YH via @ETFEdgeCNBC https://t.co/BhsUdqPfb5
🚨LMT 🚨 RTX For all of you so bullish on this war and oil? Ill let you in on a secret, the day trade we made 50-60% on today in less than an hour has a lot to do with...
Yesterdays rally continues to fade pre market as $ES_F and $NQ_F remain below🟠5SMA and 🟢WTD AVWAP (hourly chart on left) On the 10 min chart, the 🟠"TACO news" AVWAP provides us with the average price since that event, with prices below...
A Tactical Traders Delight May Be Just Getting Started - 2026 - Gold, silver, copper, the S&P 500, Bitcoin and US natural gas have turned 1Q gains into declines. How sustainable are the pumps-then-dumps? Crude oil may be next. That...
One of the reasons I was bullish on every dip in the second half of 2025 is that DIIs were buying every dip as expressed on this chart in index futures. But what is surprising is that they are not...
See what happens when Pump focuses on US Equity Futures? Egg Inflation out of control https://t.co/77gLGyWDle
Mixed markets around the World after yesterday’s bounce attempt. $spx futures-7. We’ll see if $spy has an inside day above $654ish to show some commitment to yesterday. Or not. News flow remains fluid. https://t.co/tJBZY4fjc3
🚨 Palo Alto (strike price target $170 expiration the next 90 days) 🚨 Uber (strike price target $80 expiration the next 90 days) Not financial advice Just giving 2 free trade designs to my loyal followers and the community we’ve built...
Booked 50% @ 398.5… paid myself first like a responsible adult 😄....Rest is running on house money, SL at cost, will trail it till expiry. Now either market rewards me… or politely escorts me out 😄 #Nifty50 #OptionBuying
