Options & Derivatives Social Media and Updates
Options & Derivatives Social Media and Updates
Options & Derivatives Pulse
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Every morning
Weekly
Tuesday recap
$MRVL "Trade Idea 1: Buy the March 6 Expiry 75/72 1×2 Put Spread for a 5 cent credit.' a bust, looks to expire
$COST "Trade Idea 1: Buy the March 6 Expiry 980/967.50 1×2 Put Spread for a 5 cent credit." sell to close a 980/967.50 put spread on any strentght in stock. Let IV fall then can buy to close remaining...
VIX at 23.75. Up 12% in a single session. Two weeks ago it was under 18. Fear doesn't arrive gradually. It arrives all at once. And we're not even past the first act. https://t.co/7Fy3joZKAi
Futures with the strongest uptrends are the ones with inelastic demand curves...now the consumer will have less disposable income than ever...grains and energies expected to keep a steady bid
TODAY, BTC OPTIONS WORTH $2.2 BILLION ARE EXPIRING 👀 Just like last week, we might see volatility again - especially if there are any developments in the Middle East. But the largest expiration, worth around $13 BILLION, is expected at the end...
"The average stock within the index has been nearly three times as volatile as the index itself (and the implied vol spread suggests the options market believes this will persist)." -GS Pasquariello via ZH
RBOB gasoline futures near $2.70.. implying $3.65 at the pump soon... close to the highest level since mid-2022 $RB_F $UGA @teconomics https://t.co/vQA49bLeZr
At the time this trade had zero catalysts other than $JPM calling for $30 and everyone chasing $Silver at 110+. It's never hwere the crowd is looking/chasing and if you study the thread there were months of absolutely nothing happening outside...
Low vol begets high vol, to paraphrase Minsky. Systems trained on Powell, and they all have been trained on Powell, will struggle to interpret Warsh… especially as he himself will struggle with the same.
Robinhood paved the way recently to launch its own prediction markets, outside of Kalshi https://t.co/AbYwhSNbqm
Draftkings is getting into prediction markets "Because prediction markets aren’t subject to state taxes, they are expected to have margins that are 10 to 30 percentage points higher than traditional sports betting" https://t.co/NZkaOy523j https://t.co/jXiPNCN8da
$ES_F bigger picture, weekly, still amazing topped right at the 1.618 extension, the 1.382 sits at lower value edge now, 6682.5, below that it gets real thin back to 6125 with AVWAP off 2025 low at 6460 important too https://t.co/dOkIMQUPwK
Brutal day, the S&P 500 has wiped out around $800 billion in market cap, falling 1.4%. The Dow Jones is having its worst day of 2026, down over 2% 📉 Meanwhile the VIX (volatility index) is up 17% and is now...
🚨Investors are hedging against a market crash at a record pace: Combined put open interest in credit ETFs, $HYG, $LQD, $JNK, and $BKLN, plus call open interest in the Treasury ETF, $TLT, is up to a record 15.9 million contracts. This has...
observation $VIX currently 25.18 makes for hard environment for swing trading and must stay nimble if day trading. My opinion, your wallet.
UST funding pressure starting to ramp up as swap spreads narrow 3-4 bps across the curve. 30y tenor now less than -78 bps https://t.co/yWt8DEzUEr
Live look at $MRVL chart ahead of its scheduled earnings today. Options expiring March 20th show an implied volatility reading of 89.5%, which is about a (+/-) $11.41 move from the underlying stock.
The HFT algos/CTA trend followers don't discount geopolitics very well. If @hkuppy is right, he makes a real case why active management is of ultimate importance when there is a real global change. The VIX is not mean reverting this time,...
Filtering across a liquid cross-section of ETFs and equities (and excluding earnings names) the Trade Ideas algo picks up the following. Note across the market IV and RV remains elevated, no VRP on avg based on our RV calcs. The...
This is really something that comes up a lot (21% of the time in the past decade according to 35 liquid ETFs spanning many assets) and very easy to lure yourself into a misdirected option trade
The recent action in EWY fits a pattern that happens frequently enough to be worth understanding the SHAPE of its vol. You will find: 🌙handy measures 🌙inspiration for your own exploration 🌙GIT notebook to get you started with yfinance data https://t.co/MkdqLvqfC6 https://t.co/LDHZibQS9H
Treasury (TLT) buyer 5000 December $89 straddles expecting bond volatility, tends to be bad for markets, good for TW MKTX
$AVGO "Trade Idea 2: Buy the March 6 Expiry 322.50/330 Call Spread ($3.90) and sell the March 6 Expiry 297.50 Put for free." sell to close call spread on any weakess in the stock price, puts look to expire
$KR "Trade Idea 4: Sell the March 6 Expiry 64/73 Strangle for a 75 cent credit." looks to expiore, let IV fall then can buy to close or watch
Options for ~2.2 bln euros at $1.16 expire at 10 am ET Options for ~535 mln at $1.3350 expire then Options for ~$355 mln at CAD1.3650 also expire DTCC listed
BRENT futures have surged into a severe backwardation as the closure of the Strait of Hormuz threatens to create an acute shortage of barrels. The six-month calendar spread has soared into a backwardation of almost $11 per barrel from less...
Looks like a breakout on Nifty50 to me.....😁 Price pushing above the recent consolidation and attempting to reclaim structure. Of course, the market loves turning breakouts into fakeouts… so let’s see... Entered >> Nifty 10 Mar 24,550 CE @ 375. If momentum follows...
Timely post by @71Ksander on EWY: https://t.co/Aq1A2m75tU I'm publishing a large post tomorrow... intuitive signal that would help with tricky names like EWY. There was differing views on its vol in our Discord but a pattern I've seen before. Decided to...
One-month and three-month implied correlations reached their highest levels since November 2025, Citadel Rubner https://t.co/fVOlYRc8tW
Patient Shorts Rewarded - live trading room Tuesday ;-) $VIX $SPX $EWY $EWT $EWJ $SNDK $STX $WDC $MU Charting VIX for intraday scalps PLUS timing the top in South Korea ;-) https://t.co/zuRtN2DthN
So Corgi Funds just filed for 88 (yes eighty eight) 2x levered single stock ETFs. Here's a sample of some of them. h/t @Todd_Sohn cc @TaxAlphaInsider @DaveNadig @sumitroy2 https://t.co/Pl5FFaII2y
Citadel Rubner: OpEx will represent the largest technical event of the month, with ~35% of US options exposure set to roll off by March 20 https://t.co/CZEymqKzhl
I know it's only March but if you know anyone in your family is going to be on the naughty list you may want to consider hedging your future coal purchases with a long $COAL position. You're competing against the...
Notable Thurs FX option expirations: 1.9 bln euros at $1.1685 $1 bln at JPY157 GBP535 at $1.3350 $305 mln at CAD1.3650 $335 mln at MXN17.50 $755 mln at BRL5.21 DTCC listed https://t.co/bSx6eAhEKQ
Is the VIX showing signs of a short-term market bottom? 🎙️@GuyAdami on the correlation between the $VIX & $SPX https://t.co/BIswcB9QAe
Citi: Options investor positioning in the SPX index is extremely bearish, with skew close to 3-year highs https://t.co/8bOEw1FFfS
Moontower 🌙Launching podcast/YT series: The Options Trench 🌙Make it make sense 🌙"measurement not prediction" in the wild https://t.co/SVLluHexwT refs: @outlieroptions @halfkelly @Citrini7 @shaneparrish https://t.co/6sjaG9EPz6
TLDR: Call OI keeps going higher while Put OI does not. These PC chart on X differ in a bunch of ways. What "S&P Ratio" specifically means can differ: are you including SPX options, is it single stocks only, is it...
gave a 15c stop here on $SLV here live on @ttvresearch @traderTVLIVE , now 60c ITM #silver #trading https://t.co/YFv9KiHwyY
one way i like to use put contracts: 1) i have an idea of what price i want to be long a stock 2) if volatility spikes i will short puts with a strike at or near that price level 3) if the...
we're long 9 call options in #AllINsync: $PFE $JOBY $OXY $AA $COIN $TSLA $PLTR $HOOD
$CRWD "Trade Idea 2: Buy the March 6 Expiry 380/390 Call Spread ($4.80) and sell the March 6 Expiry 350 Put for free." sell to close call spread , puts expire
my $SPX $VIX oscillator model didn't manage to even get into the zone... nothing since the last buy signal... https://t.co/I6WWFOsvwS
starting to feel a little better about being short the 3/20 $MSTR puts (sub 100). https://t.co/e2kBNgXmzp
INVESTMENT MANAGERS purchased the equivalent of 12 terawatt-hours (TWh) of futures and options in the European benchmark Dutch TTF contract over the seven days ending on February 27. Nearly all the buying came from repurchases of previous bearish short positions....
We shorted the Indices on this BS report. The S and P futures ripped (+28 handles) and we put them out: * $SPY $682.35 * $QQQ $604.37 @dougkass @thestreetpro @tomkeene @business
$spx futures -3 as today settles out a bit after $spy hit $669 and reclaimed $675 to get home back on the range https://t.co/NY794d92MH
Today was a 78% downside day. Has no significance. DVOL/(UVOL+DVOL); Lowry’s definition. Data per https://t.co/iX5L1DJIjD. See https://t.co/7TpOm9eA5A for explanation.
Americans think a -2% day is crazy volatile, while the Nikkei is down 10% in the first three days of March https://t.co/997R5MoBjs
I'll do this one public...always liked this Co. and is wildly cheap at these levels... Unusual Call Spread in High Quality Software Player at Record Cheap Valuation with Limited AI Disruption Risk SPS Commerce $SPSC with an interesting trade of 3/3 as...
