Historical VIX Crash Signals Calm Markets Ahead
The VIX Crash Signal: What History Tells Us About The Next Three Months | Trading Zone Ep. 100 https://t.co/05McT6SBCt
Call Options Volumes Surge to Record 61M Contracts
Call options volumes tied to stocks, ETFs hit an all-time high Friday, with more than 61 million contracts trading https://t.co/A7m45InG13
Bitcoin Set to Rise as Volatility Eases
An elevated volatility index doesn't do well for #Bitcoin. A lower volatility index does well for #Bitcoin, as it's a higher-beta proxy for the Nasdaq. We're approaching such a period of time.
Arbitrage 1% SSI Merger Spread, Free CVR Optionality
New CVR play just dropped on SSI. Arb the 1% merger spread over the next 60 days and keep the CVR optionality for free. https://t.co/42wEktiVwN
Implied Equity Exposure Poised to Surge as Volatility Drops
Vol-control implied equity exposure sits near $150B. Most of 2024 and 2025 it ran $225-$300B. There is dry powder waiting to eat. We should start to see this trigger when 30-day RV falling below 90-day RV.
Goldman Warns Rally Tailwinds Largely Exhausted After Perfect Storm
JUST IN: Goldman's Delta-One Desk-Head warns that after the perfect storm rally, sentiment and positioning tailwinds are largely exhausted.
Futures Fall, Oil Rises, Nasdaq Streak Threatened
JUST IN: Stock futures are dropping while oil prices surge on ceasefire failures, risking the end of Nasdaq's 13-day streak.
Funds Dump Brent as US‑Iran Talks Spur Price Dip Expectations
Brent sees fund sales as diplomacy intensifies Investors realised profits from bullish long positions and started to accumulate bearish short ones last week, anticipating a further fall in Brent prices as the United States and Iran conducted face-to-face talks to find...
Oil's 10% Crash Signals Deflationary Shock
$CL_F crashed 10% in a single session — April 17. WTI fell to $84, down from a $110 peak. One day. 10%. Oil. That's not noise — that's a deflationary impulse hitting the macro backdrop at full speed. https://t.co/ju4e7ZBacD
ETH CME Gap Likely to Fill Again, 95% History
🚨 MONDAY VOLATILITY INCOMING 🚨 An $ETH CME GAP has formed Historically, these gaps are filled 95% of the time. Will the market close it again? 👀 Be ready. https://t.co/FE9TXvsQ4Q
Earn Juiced Premium Selling Options Into Earnings
Wheel strategy PSA 5 of my wheel stocks are inside the 14-day earnings window right now $HOOD - Apr 28 $SOFI - Apr 29 $LMND - Apr 29 $BBAI - Apr 29 $ZETA - Apr 30 Selling puts or covered calls on these into earnings? you're getting...
BSE F&O Volumes Plunge 19‑40%, Index Options Down 19%
BSE F&O Volumes Drop 19% to 40%, Index Options Fall 19% BSE reports significant decline in futures and options trading volumes with F&O volumes dropping 19% to 40% while index options volume also falls by 19%, indicating reduced trading activity. BSE 3,516.30 -15.20 (-0.43%)
CME Delay Hints at Deeper Market Liquidity Concerns
Thanks @Babyfish_TG I watch prices, but I’m not a trader—& never claimed to be. I'm a big picture guy If CME is delayed, that’s interesting Could be anything from a system hiccup to a liquidity crisis Speculating on a Sunday night is about as...
NYMEX Oil Futures Quotes Delayed After Globex Restart
Yeah @OuncesApp "Almost 5 hours since Globex trading resumed and NYMEX still isn’t broadcasting oil futures quotes and volumes" Seems to be bullshit claim by @DarioCpx Or maybe there was some delay or glitch but it's up now. https://t.co/1Lr9enzoRB
Profit Taken on MCE.AX as Deal Finalizes
Taking profits on $MCE.AX at 39c, now the deal has gone binding, spread mostly closed and most all the juice has been squeezed…was a good’un, on to the next ✊✊
Stocks Should Fall More Amid Straits Closure Warning
I say this with complete humility, stocks should probably be down a lot more tonight, with news the Straits are closed. June E-mini should be down >$100, but the way things are going, if I wake up tomorrow and they...
Hormuz Tensions Lock Gas Prices Through 2027
Strait of Hormuz uncertainty isn't just pushing up today's gas prices — it's lifting futures through 2027 and beyond. The energy secretary's optimism may already be outdated. Until we get resolution, expensive gas isn't going anywhere soon. https://t.co/NZ4lVvoG5p
European Gas Futures Jump 11% Despite Lower Overall Prices
European natural gas futures rise 11% after Iran closed Hormuz (again) 📈📈 No LNG shipment has been exported from the region since the war in Iran began in late-Feb Still, prices are down from the highs last month. This is partly due...
UAE Holds Strong Reserves Amid Unreported Figures, Seeks Swap Line
Interesting WSJ story about the Emirates request for a swap line -- the UAE hasn't reported its end March reserves but it went into the conflict with tons of reserves and no shortage of liquid bills in US custodians 1/ https://t.co/5Q61nzi68P
Markets Surge, Volatility Crush, Record Low Put‑call Ratio
SPX +12% in 2 weeks NDX +13 days in a row of pos returns - longest since '13 Vol crush: VIX,VVIX,SDEX, post Iran lows at OPEX Record PC ratio lows driven by big mecacap call volume while no one wanted puts... https://t.co/4BRBOUbPjR
SPY IV Rank Still Elevated, More Compression Expected
IV Rank has compressed on $SPY, but still sits above pre-war levels. Into this week, there’s still room for further compression. We’ll see how futures digest the weekend developments and reassess tomorrow morning.
16M ETH Bet Risks Wipeout on $20 Drop
🚨 SOMEONE JUST BET $16 MILLION ON ETH WITH 25X LEVERAGE A single $20 drop in the Ethereum price is all it takes to wipe this position out completely. That’s not a typo. https://t.co/1DR8r4QiJu
Commodity Forecasts Falter: Dated Brent Predictions Missed
Would love to hear from all the folks who just days ago told us that Dated Brent can only go up and the gap to futures will inexorably widen. But of course today all you hear is crickets. We all...
OptionsHawk Launches Limited-Time MAX Trials Again
OptionsHawk is opening MAX Trials for the next 2-3 weeks for the first time in over a year Figure, heart of earnings season, come take a look at what we do and what we are working on! https://t.co/VFJnxPUmEP
AI Agents Simplify On-Chain Options with DeriveXYZ
"Options are complex. AI agents don't care about complexity. @itseneff makes the case that this is the unlock for onchain options — and why he's building @DeriveXYZ to be agent-friendly from day one: https://t.co/7d3TBYVbSP
Brent Drops $4.80, Sliding Below $91 This Week
Brent futures price fell $4.82 from $95.20 to $90.38 week ending April 17 This too shall pass #energy #OOTT #oilandgas #WTI #CrudeOil #fintwit #OPEC #Commodities #commoditiesmarket https://t.co/JxUzi7LcJW
WTI Crude Plummets 13% as Trump Misstates Hormuz
WTI futures price fell $12.72 (13%) from $96.57 to $83.85 week ending April 17 Trump's Thursday lie about Hormuz being open will backfire on Monday #energy #OOTT #oilandgas #WTI #CrudeOil #fintwit #OPEC #Commodities #commoditiesmarket https://t.co/m98itzORTg
VIX's 44% Drop Marks Historic Volatility Crash
love being a part of history... the $VIX fall on March 31st was just the beginning, this time around... https://t.co/GSAP4s7rhK
VIX Fell 44%—One of History’s Biggest Crashes
My broken market neutral brain sees this and thinks if I bought VIX and stocks on a 3 beta which is a totally reasonable idea ex-ante I won given the market move
Basis Trade Collapse Clears Path for On‑Chain Options Yield
I hadn't fully understood how much the basis trade was crowding out onchain options as a yield product until this conversation. @itseneff and @maybeltr lay out why this moment is different from every failed experiment before. @unchained_pod: https://t.co/wbU8NeFLsm Timestamps: 🚀 0:00 How crypto...
Elasticity Fuels Wild Commodity Bull Market
A top bull market in commodities is elasticity. The front US natural gas future made an up about 100% to down 30% round turn in 1Q. Crude oil may be next. https://t.co/f9xXlI5GLv
Learn VWAP Futures From Top Trader on May 9
Austin Silver @austinsilverfx 10+ years of trading experience and one of the most respected voices in VWAP futures trading 📊 Learn from the world's top traders on May 9 https://t.co/0B9XQYYWxC
Winter Oil's -5% Slide Is a Significant Move
Heard some folks assert that later-dated oil wasn't down as much as the prompt. Well, of course.. you'll almost NEVER see 6-month and beyond contracts change as much as the front month. In reality, -5% on winter oil is a large move....
Futures Shift Risk; Physical Oil Now Scarce
Futures markets transfer price risk & price expectations months to years ahead Physical barrels price scarcity now Paper supply is unlimited. Physical supply isn’t. Any questions? https://t.co/STPJkffl5A #Oil #EnergyMarkets #CrudeOil #Commodities #Trading
TradesViz Turns Options Journaling Into Pro‑Level Automation
Options traders: If you are still trying to track your spreads, wheels, and iron condors in a clunky spreadsheet, you are playing with fire. 🔥 TradesViz just solidified itself as the best journal for options traders with the Command Center: https://t.co/AvQNbsK4Rm ✅...
Backwardation Stalls Shale Drilling Despite Price Spike
Shale isn’t chasing the spike because the curve says it won’t last, writes @Ole_S_Hansen Backwardation limits hedging, so producers can’t lock in returns No price certainty, no rush to drill. #OilMarkets #Shale #EnergyCrisis #Geopolitics
VIX Meaning Shifts With Market Regime, Not Numbers
$VIX levels aren't fixed. In the 1990s, a VIX of 20 was considered low; in the 2010s, it was considered high. The "regime" matters more than the absolute number.
Vol Sellers Fade as Inverse Volatility Spikes, Then Stalls
From the $SPX low on 3/30 through 4/14, $SPX was up 9.8% while $SVIX (inverse vol) rocketed 31% higher. Since 4/14, $SPX is up another 2.3% while $SVIX has run out of gas, up a measly 0.7%. Vol sellers have...
Vol Trading Thrives Whenever Fed Steers Markets
2018: Great year for vol trading 2020: Historically great year for vol trading 2024: Good year for vol trading 2025: Great year for vol trading 2026 (Q1): Good start for vol trading All under “Fed control”…….. Lol
Stock Volatility Approaches Crude and Gold Levels
What's next? Wrong on stock market volatility catching up to crude and gold volatility so far
Buy VIX High, Transfer Risk Low—Don’t Wait
Everybody's asking me: "When's the next VIX spike, Alex?" I called Spike 1. I've been pointing at Spike 2 for weeks. But here's the truth — don't wait for the ice cream van that doesn't turn up. Probability is high. Certainty is not. Buy...
Oil Dip to $60 Could Lift S&P 10%
While oil gurus and geopolitical experts were opining with confidence on the potential outcomes we said we don't know shit. Here is our DSR from 3/22. https://t.co/268Hkj6EKA Herein we just considered scenarios and how they play out in macro based...
Leveraged ETF Buying Likely Absorbs Market Stall
Seller but jeez. The "Stall" and leveraged ETF buying will likely absorb. Of course deep call rolls at the close is delta for sale. https://t.co/RXUSfWqvTr
War's End Relieves Treasury Funding, Swap Spreads Expand
With the possibility of war ending, US Treasury funding pressure looks to be easing helping swap spreads widen. Nice move today https://t.co/q4hDJXSsiz
Contrarian Arbitrage: Long $TEAM, Short $SNDK
$TEAM Daily. AI star $SNDK set to replace bludgeoned software $TEAM in the Nasdaq-100 on Monday. A contrarian "arbitrage" pair trade would be Long $TEAM (or calls) and Short $SNDK (or puts). https://t.co/fVLrRiEHFK
Closed Ally and Carvana April Call Spreads
sold to close $ALLY Apr 42 calls and $CVNA Apr 24 Exp 352.50/382.50 call spreads
J&J Earnings Fly Trade Targets 180% Return
J&J (JNJ) buyer 1000 May $230 calls $9.25 trades with the $240 calls that may be adjusting or new spread, earnings put fly trade good for 180% gain here to take
SPY Gains Positive Gamma Exposure Near $710 Support
What a crazy market... Just a few minutes into the open, I am seeing considerable positive gamma exposure building overhead on $SPY. Tons of positive exposure is building at $710, with support forming at $705. Let's see how data develops into...
Traders Boost Futures on Rising 2026 Fed Cut Odds
JUST IN: U.S. short-term interest rate futures climbed as traders bet on higher odds of a Fed rate cut in 2026.
Buy Call Spread, Sell Put: Ally Trade Strategy
$ALLY "Trade Idea 2: Buy the April 43/44 Call Spread (45 cents) and sell the April 40 Put for 15 cents." sell to close call spread on any weakness in stock. puts expire.