Options & Derivatives Social Media and Updates
Options & Derivatives Social Media and Updates
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Gasoline prices... remember the March-April RBOB contract roll was +25 cents on its own https://t.co/WAOPFvCQdz
Today's spaced repetition covers a lot of ground. 🌙Visual derivation of the .80 straddle approximation 🌙How skew distorts vol-based risk measures 🌙 Practical tips& discussion
We are nearing oil's most bullish time of year. $CL_F $USO $WTIC More from me on @stockcharts: https://t.co/2c4CuouCWe https://t.co/o1k2jBw7MM
Based on Monday’s India VIX and the geopolitical mess, I see 3 key supports for Nifty50 tomorrow (4th March): >> 24,500 >> 24,150 >> 23,450 Gift Nifty hints we may open below 24,500. If 24,150 holds, bulls survive....🔥 If the last support breaks, we’re not talking...
The $SPX is still below the gamma flip. That keeps us in negative gamma, meaning volatility can expand, and rallies can fade fast.
The VIX curve just flipped into backwardation. The MAR/APR spread hit -2.35. What does that mean? In contango (normal), you PAY to hold vol exposure every day. In backwardation, the market PAYS YOU to hold it. Panicking hedgers are transferring their risk premium directly...
Bond Volatility winners $TW $MKTX also always a good market hedge / indicator of trouble coming
Vol gods very angry this morning. That means that $SVIX is being smashed to a level that gets it on the watch list. But it could be the first of a cluster (see March/April of last year), so be careful...
Embedded issue with markets now is whether volatility remains sticky to upside and destroys the crowded and complacent short vol trade which has been going on for years
Implied vol is well ahead of historical vol. Is the latter about to catch up? https://t.co/n7Ii78S3oL
Quasi SKlarew box suggests minimum downside of 5000 for GC. note perfect 120 "u turn" at the top. https://t.co/wHdOR1RvDF
$BBY "Trade Idea 2: Buy the March 6 Expiry 62/63 Call Spread (80 cents) and sell the March 6 Expiry 56 Put for free." puts expire, sell call spread near $1.00 or on any weakness in stock price
$MDB "Trade Idea 2: Buy the March 6 Expiry 330/342.50 Call Spread ($7.40) and sell the March 6 Expiry 275 Put for a 20 cent credit." call spread a bust, will need to roll puts down and out.
Even if you're not an active single name options market participant, ignoring wholesale the signals & pricing in those markets can be tantamount to ignoring fundamental developments.
Similar to what we saw pre-market yesterday. Spot VIX (from SPX option chain) way north of the directly tradeable VX futures. Backwardation of the futures is not a good look, but I expect spot VIX to drop once the bell...
An interesting study for someone good with that kind of thing... Chart $CBOE relative strength breakouts vs. the market as an inflection point to market trends Seems CBOE showing rel. strength tends to always precede market weakness as options volumes surge
🚨 LATEST A whale has just opened a $40M $BTC short position with 40x leverage. Liquidation Price: $72,322 https://t.co/wvdP3TdmWO
Escalating U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran triggered risk-off sentiment, driving S&P 500 futures down over 1%. https://t.co/NbHGasOhbi
Single Stocks are expected to be more volatile than the S&P 500 by the largest margin since October 2008. 👀 https://t.co/DChNaXPkiW
"1-month 25 delta skew reached its highest level since late 2021, reflecting elevated anxiety" -Captain Craig @t1alpha https://t.co/6wFr4T9ewz
Good morning, Mostly Deep Red Arrows around the World as Geopolitical tensions spread thru 9 Countries. $spx futures -120 Looks like we will be right around big important range area. $spy $675ish https://t.co/S9yXkXPEy9
I'll be on with @MariaBartiromo tomorrow am- 7:10 EST on @FoxBusiness discussing the surge in cross-asset volatility given the Iran Strike & what it means for markets
Naz barely made OD up bar while SP & Rus failed...no surprise that the majority of the futures markets made WR7s...(widest range of the last 7 days.) DAX gave a purse trend day down. https://t.co/M06KxsRquT
The most painful thing for the market right now isn't $BTC dropping to $50k. Market is largely hedged and ready for that. The most painful path forward is a rally to $100k or so that leaves everyone sitting in...
This is what trading against the crowd using behavior and sorta simple TA looks like I'd add to this the low in oil came as Silver was topping out too but more importantly is you can't predict the future vs waiting...
The Middle East may still be in turmoil, but peace has returned to the VIX complex. https://t.co/rNDEVVnd18
I disclosed to everyone during my TikTok live last night that I had opened service now positions last week Now you can see the proof yourself via the signal given to TBL in Feb I told everyone why I love the...
Volatility? Good. Clean structure? Even better. 🔥 NQ gave us: ⚡ Price Discovery Continuation ⚡ VWAP Bounce ⚡ IB High Fade ⚡ Madonna (first IB touch fade… textbook) When you read balance vs imbalance correctly, the market gets simple. Grab the free guide 🌊 #vwaptrading #nqfutures #tradingeducation
Back Shorting SPY Calls @thestreetpro With S&P cash -9 handles (a big rally from the lows of -70 handles) I am back shorting (SPY) calls. By Doug Kass Mar 2, 2026 11:21 AM EST @guyadami @dougkass
Nvidia (NVDA) with $335M of June $150 ITM calls bought as big March 160 position adjusts
And here's what it looks like using @CBOE term structure. Still worried about the next week. https://t.co/fiamATKWkr
The rise of 0DTE options reshaped index trading — and that evolution is now extending to single stocks. Join us today at 1pm ET as we go live with Mat Cashman of the OCC to break down this structural shift:...
Spot $VIX sitting above the entire $VX futures term structure. This is not normal (duh). Either spot comes down or futures need to move higher. Pick one and play it accordingly. https://t.co/UHEiLblhn0
$SHLD hit 80 this morning, last week's ETF buy...and another options flow signal that a strike on Iran was imminent https://t.co/X4FCStX2RJ
Non-stop selling of the belly since futures opened last night with 5s easing up on the curve after a historic run. https://t.co/7GuCuTfHeW
Stop trading in Excel like it’s 2009. Start using Python + ChatGPT. Here's 7 small steps:
Mostly red arrows around the world as weekend Middle East events have the “war time trade” in motion, with silver/gold/oil higher and $SPX futures -70. Key is whether $SPX holds 6780–6790 to keep the upper range intact, or if it...
"it's hard to hedge a war with a 0DTE contract, which is why we are seeing this positioning expressed further out on the curve" -Captain Craig @t1alpha
Elevated volatility as oil spikes and heavy Treasury settlements. S&P gamma at 6800; VIX resists ~20. Risk: higher oil, weaker productivity → yields up. Trade: buy SPX dips near 6800. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Logically, if the war is not over, Indians with leveraged stock futures positions and MTF positions will not hold onto them into a Holi Holiday tomorrow - expect a lot of squaring up in the second half of the day....
Futures open down only 1% for the S&P 500. Bollinger Bands are about as tight as they've been in years. The spring is coiling. How many think it'll be volatility to the upside? https://t.co/QMWz06txWk
S&P 500 had been holding the 100-day moving average. That level 6831 now. Futures down 1% at 6815. Let’s see if we get a close below there. https://t.co/rCkhL5PUZi
Brent crude oil +9% to $79 WTI crude oil +8% to $72 RBOB gasoline futures +5% to $2.42 https://t.co/Z7uoT3rHYZ
Markets are back in crisis mode with the US–Israel strikes on Iran dominating headlines: global risk assets are reacting, oil prices are spiking, and S&P volatility is alive. Join us LIVE at 6pm EST as we break down how ES futures...
4 out of 5 signals nailed in NQ Friday 🔥 Balanced market. Flat VWAP. Clean rotations between deviation bands. But this week? Volatility expanding = continuation setups likely take over. Comment VWAP and I’ll send you the free Discord link 👇 #vwap #futurestrading #tradingstrategy
In this episode, we sit down with Piper’s Head of Options Strategy, Danny Kirsch to unpack one of the most unusual market environments in decades. The index has traded in a tight range, yet beneath that stability we’re seeing historic...
Just under 7 hours until the Asian session open and the markets can start working some of this risk into market exposure and hedging
Going back to collapse of the Internet bubble, serious VIX spikes coincide with big drops from 52-week highs for $SPX. Second chart is a closer look at current times. Do we go down hard when futures open later today?? https://t.co/XnG2Iu29Fd
A strong leverage imbalance in BTC: around $8 billion in short positions and less than $200 million in longs. Although #Bitcoin has slightly recovered today, the market still seems to be expecting a continuation of the escalation of the conflict. https://t.co/yZKxSSUIGw
#XAUT has officially entered the Top 10 perpetual trading pairs on Binance, according to CryptoQuant. https://t.co/SdMYcOKgm1
