
What People in Power Think the Impact of the Iran War Will Be
World leaders gathered at the IMF/World Bank spring meetings to assess the fallout from the Iran‑U.S. conflict that shut the Strait of Hormuz. Finance ministers from the G7, G20 and major central banks voiced concern over energy shortages, rising food and fertiliser costs, and the burden on poorer economies. The World Bank pledged up to $100 bn in emergency support, while the UK and France outlined policy shifts to protect domestic energy prices. IMF chief Kristalina Georgieva warned the shock will be slower‑moving but persistent, extending beyond the war’s end.

No Issues with UK Fuel Supply, Says Reeves
Chancellor Rachel Reeves told the BBC that the United Kingdom faces no immediate shortage of petrol, diesel or jet fuel, despite heightened global tensions following the US‑Israel war with Iran. Her comments came after the International Monetary Fund urged nations...

US War on Iran Was a 'Mistake', Says Reeves
Chancellor Rachel Reeves said the United States erred by ending diplomatic talks with Iran and moving to military action, urging a swift de‑escalation. She warned that the conflict could plunge the global economy into recession, with the IMF flagging the...

UK Energy Strategy 'Unsustainable' - Manufacturer
KGD managing director Ed Pitt warned that the UK’s energy strategy is unsustainable, noting his firm spends about £250,000 (≈ $317,500) annually on electricity and gas. The warning follows an IMF downgrade of UK growth to 0.8% as the Iran war...

Chris Mason: Iran War Means Government's Vicious Circles Tighten and Darken
The UK government is grappling with the economic fallout of the Iran war, which compounds already weak growth and forces a debate over rising defence spending. Chancellor Rachel Reeves expressed frustration over the conflict’s lack of a clear exit strategy,...

National Minimum Wage Rises This Week
The UK government announced a rise in the National Minimum Wage effective this week, lifting the rate for workers aged 23 and over to £10.42 per hour. The increase also adjusts rates for younger age brackets, with the 21‑22 bracket...

The Briefing Room
Donald Trump suggested the US‑Israel conflict with Iran could end soon, but analysts warn the war may linger, keeping oil markets on edge. Prolonged fighting threatens to disrupt the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for global oil shipments, which...

US Inflation Stable Ahead of Iran Shock
US consumer price index held steady in February at a 2.4% year‑over‑year increase, matching the previous month. The pause came just before the US‑Israel conflict in Iran sparked a sharp jump in oil prices, pushing gasoline above $3.50 per gallon....

When Is the Spring Statement and What Might Be in It?
Chancellor Rachel Reeves will deliver the UK Spring Statement on 3 March 2026, presenting the latest Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) economic forecasts. The OBR outlook on growth, inflation, unemployment and public finances will be published after the speech via the...

Who Are the Frontrunners for the Top Fed Job?
President Donald Trump is expected to nominate a successor to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell in the coming weeks, amid heightened political pressure for lower borrowing costs. The shortlist includes Kevin Hassett, a Trump‑aligned economist; former governor Kevin Warsh, a...

How Much Money Does the UK Government Borrow, and Does It Matter?
The UK’s public sector net borrowing fell 38% in December 2025, a £7.1 billion reduction from the previous month. Over the full financial year to March 2025 the government borrowed £152.6 billion, with an additional £140.4 billion borrowed between April and November 2025....

IMF Warns of Trade Tension Risk to Global Growth
The International Monetary Fund’s latest World Economic Outlook projects global GDP growth at 3.3% in 2026, up from 3.1%, but warns that trade tensions and a potential slowdown in AI‑driven investment pose downside risks. The report highlights the importance of...

The One Measure that Can Tell Us a Lot About the State of the UK Economy
The GfK Consumer Confidence Barometer shows a historic split after the 2024 election, with confidence soaring among under‑30s and under‑50s while falling sharply for those over 50. Younger optimism aligns with recent Bank of England rate cuts and a liberal‑left...