Behind the Balance Sheet (Substack)

Behind the Balance Sheet (Substack)

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Steve Clapham’s independent research; includes deep‑dives on ETF industry growth and implications.

Winning Cultures, Brutal Truths
NewsMay 3, 2026

Winning Cultures, Brutal Truths

The Norges Bank Investment Conference, hosted by sovereign‑wealth fund chief Nicolai Tangen, gathered top CEOs such as Ken Griffin, Jamie Dimon, Michael O’Leary and Ajay Banga to discuss "Winning Cultures." Rather than abstract slogans, speakers repeatedly emphasized rapid decision‑making, concrete...

By Behind the Balance Sheet (Substack)
The Market Everyone Has Given Up On
NewsApr 26, 2026

The Market Everyone Has Given Up On

The piece examines a market that has endured a decade of net outflows and historically low sentiment, labeling it the sector most investors have abandoned. It details roughly $1.2 trillion in capital withdrawals and a sentiment index at its lowest since...

By Behind the Balance Sheet (Substack)
Why Most Stocks Fail (And What That Means for Your Portfolio)
NewsApr 12, 2026

Why Most Stocks Fail (And What That Means for Your Portfolio)

An analysis of a century of U.S. equity data shows that most individual stocks underperform, with the median return turning negative over the period. Gains are heavily skewed, as roughly the top 5% of stocks account for more than 80%...

By Behind the Balance Sheet (Substack)
The Investment Excitement Ratio
NewsApr 5, 2026

The Investment Excitement Ratio

Stephen Clapham introduces the Investment Excitement Ratio (IER), a composite metric that blends valuation multiples, earnings concentration, and capital‑expenditure intensity. The framework flags periods when cheap valuations, high earnings concentration, and low capex converge, historically preceding market bubbles. Clapham shows...

By Behind the Balance Sheet (Substack)
Anatomy of a $3.5bn Mistake
NewsMar 29, 2026

Anatomy of a $3.5bn Mistake

A $3.5 billion valuation loss stemmed from a series of operational failures at a mid‑size technology firm, prompting a sharp share‑price decline and a reassessment of its investment case. The board’s delayed response amplified market uncertainty, allowing rivals to capture share....

By Behind the Balance Sheet (Substack)
Russell Napier’s Warning: The Great Portfolio Reset
NewsMar 22, 2026

Russell Napier’s Warning: The Great Portfolio Reset

Russell Napier warns that investors face a "great portfolio reset" as bond markets lose appeal, U.S. equities become riskier, and financial repression intensifies. He argues that prolonged low‑interest rates will erode fixed‑income returns, prompting a shift toward real assets and...

By Behind the Balance Sheet (Substack)
How One Investment Firm Is Building AI Analysts
NewsMar 15, 2026

How One Investment Firm Is Building AI Analysts

Phoenix Asset Management showcased how it is embedding AI agents into its equity research workflow, creating custom tools such as the Himilco screening system and an AI‑driven version of its DREAM evaluation model. The firm leverages large‑language models, workflow platforms...

By Behind the Balance Sheet (Substack)