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Fed Guy

Fed Guy

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Former NY Fed markets desk trader Joseph Wang on Fed balance sheet, money markets, Treasuries, and rates.

Recent Posts

Scarce Reserves
News•Feb 2, 2026

Scarce Reserves

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Warsh is pushing to restart quantitative tightening, signaling a shift toward shrinking the central bank’s balance sheet. This move comes even as the Fed recently expanded its holdings to ease strains in the funding market. Warsh’s strategy would require the Treasury to increase short‑term bill issuance to mitigate market disruption. Successful implementation also hinges on private banks bolstering their reserve positions.

By Fed Guy
Modern Fed Chair
News•Jan 26, 2026

Modern Fed Chair

Asset‑management veteran Christopher Reider has surged to the front of the Federal Reserve chair race, positioning himself as the most suitable candidate for a fiscal‑dominant environment. Reider, a political outsider with no evident Trump connections, argues for lowering the policy...

By Fed Guy
Practical Monetarism
News•Jan 19, 2026

Practical Monetarism

The President is expected to announce his Fed Chairman pick this week, with former governor Kevin Warsh emerging as the leading contender. Warsh, a noted hawk, aligns his policy outlook with Treasury Secretary Bessent. He is best known for a...

By Fed Guy
Sleeping Giants
News•Jan 12, 2026

Sleeping Giants

The administration is signaling a willingness to enlist government‑sponsored enterprises (GSEs) such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in its effort to push mortgage rates lower. After the 2008 crisis, the GSEs’ mortgage holdings shrank dramatically, but policymakers see an...

By Fed Guy