Greater Fool – The Troubled Future of Real Estate

Greater Fool – The Troubled Future of Real Estate

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Canadian personal finance and real estate blog by former MP/financial advisor; daily commentary on housing and macro.

The Jobs Fade
NewsMay 8, 2026

The Jobs Fade

Canadian labour market slipped further in April 2026, with the unemployment rate climbing to 6.9%, the highest level in six months. The country shed 17,700 jobs last month, bringing the year‑to‑date loss to roughly 110,000, while youth unemployment topped 14%....

By Greater Fool – The Troubled Future of Real Estate
Goldilocks
NewsMay 5, 2026

Goldilocks

April 2024 Canadian housing data show a modest slowdown in Vancouver, where inventory edged above 16,000 units and benchmark prices fell about 7% to roughly $800,000 USD. Detached home sales rose 14% year‑over‑year, while Victoria saw a 6% increase in...

By Greater Fool – The Troubled Future of Real Estate
Baby Steps
NewsMay 1, 2026

Baby Steps

A Canadian parent wants to help her 16‑year‑old daughter start investing before she can open a TFSA. The article explains that minors can contribute to a RRSP if they have earned income and file a tax return, and that parents...

By Greater Fool – The Troubled Future of Real Estate
Oh Canada…
NewsApr 30, 2026

Oh Canada…

Canada’s April housing data is set to show a rebound after the federal government eliminated the HST on new homes, sparking a noticeable uptick in sales. While condo resales stay depressed, the broader market appears to be stabilizing despite higher...

By Greater Fool – The Troubled Future of Real Estate
The Lego War
NewsApr 29, 2026

The Lego War

Oil prices surged past $100 a barrel, climbing 5% as the U.S. deepens its involvement in a protracted Middle‑East conflict that has already cost Washington roughly $60 billion. The Bank of Canada kept its policy rate steady at 2.25% despite inflation...

By Greater Fool – The Troubled Future of Real Estate
Beaver Bucks
NewsApr 28, 2026

Beaver Bucks

Canada announced the Canada Strong Fund, a new sovereign‑wealth‑style vehicle funded with roughly $25 billion CAD (about $18 billion USD) over three years. The capital will be raised through bond issuance and managed by a private‑sector CEO and board, keeping it arm’s‑length...

By Greater Fool – The Troubled Future of Real Estate
The Good. The Bad. The Numbers.
NewsApr 27, 2026

The Good. The Bad. The Numbers.

Canada’s new fiscal update shows a record post‑pandemic deficit of C$78.3 bn (≈US$57 bn) despite a strong economic outlook. Oil price surges are projected to boost federal revenues by C$5‑10 bn (≈US$3.5‑7.3 bn) annually, potentially narrowing the shortfall. However, costly social programs, a higher...

By Greater Fool – The Troubled Future of Real Estate
RIP
NewsApr 23, 2026

RIP

Canada’s condo market is in crisis, with 13,726 unsold units in the GTA—enough to meet demand for roughly two and a half years. Prices have slashed about 30%, falling from roughly $569,000 USD in early 2022 to $401,000 USD today,...

By Greater Fool – The Troubled Future of Real Estate
The Downsizers
NewsApr 21, 2026

The Downsizers

Australia’s Downsizer Superannuation Contribution lets homeowners 55 or older transfer up to $300,000 per person (about $300,000 USD) from their primary residence into a tax‑advantaged retirement account, freeing equity for younger buyers. The one‑time, lifetime option requires ten years of continuous...

By Greater Fool – The Troubled Future of Real Estate
It’s Back
NewsApr 20, 2026

It’s Back

Canada’s consumer price index jumped to 2.4% in March, up from 1.8% in the previous reading, driven largely by higher gasoline prices linked to tensions in the Strait of Hormuz. Economists expect the April CPI, released May 19, to climb...

By Greater Fool – The Troubled Future of Real Estate
The Big Risk
NewsApr 15, 2026

The Big Risk

Canadian housing markets are showing a tentative rebound as prices have slipped up to a third since 2022, prompting a surge in buyer activity despite higher mortgage rates and economic headwinds. The Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI)...

By Greater Fool – The Troubled Future of Real Estate
Unsurprising
NewsApr 6, 2026

Unsurprising

The US‑Israel‑Iran war has reignited an energy shock, spurring inflation and pushing bond yields higher, which in turn lifted Canadian mortgage rates from roughly 3.5% in February to about 4.2% today. Higher borrowing costs are dampening demand across Canada’s housing...

By Greater Fool – The Troubled Future of Real Estate
The Meltdown
NewsApr 2, 2026

The Meltdown

A three‑bedroom pre‑construction condo at 33 Parliament Street in downtown Toronto, originally sold for C$1.15 million (≈US$842,000) at C$1,230 per square foot, is now listed for C$799,000 (≈US$583,000), reflecting a roughly 30% price decline. The unit has never been occupied; the...

By Greater Fool – The Troubled Future of Real Estate
The Cycle
NewsMar 25, 2026

The Cycle

Canada’s 5‑year government bond yield surged from 2.6% to 3.2% within weeks, while the 30‑year benchmark climbed to 4%, reflecting heightened inflation fears tied to the Ukraine war, soaring energy costs and lingering tariff pressures. The yield jump has already...

By Greater Fool – The Troubled Future of Real Estate
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