Guild Investment – From Magnets to Money (REEs & Silver)

Strait Talk: Bull and Bear Scenarios

Guild Investment Management outlines a dual‑track outlook as the Iran‑Israel war spikes oil to $110 per barrel and tightens global liquidity. The bearish case hinges on pre‑existing liquidity contraction, rising inflation expectations, and potential 15‑20% equity corrections tied to oil price doublings. Conversely, the bullish view argues that earnings growth remains strong, valuations have already compressed, and a de‑escalation of the Strait of Hormuz could unlock sector‑specific upside. Investors are urged to prepare a buy list, focusing on quality growth stocks and AI infrastructure exposure for a 6‑18‑month horizon.