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Humble Student of the Markets

Humble Student of the Markets

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Investment blog with data-driven market outlooks and tactical signals applied to U.S. equities, factors, and macro themes.

A Washout Bottom?
News•Mar 4, 2026

A Washout Bottom?

The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) displayed a potential reversal on Tuesday, opening lower, slipping further, then rallying to close the session in positive territory. The move was reinforced by a bullish divergence on the 5‑day Relative Strength Index and trading volume that exceeded its recent average. These technical cues point to waning short‑term selling pressure and possible capitulation among bearish traders. The analysis is offered behind a subscription paywall, highlighting its premium nature.

By Humble Student of the Markets
Could the “Lag 7” Crater the Economy and Market?
News•Feb 21, 2026

Could the “Lag 7” Crater the Economy and Market?

The so‑called "Magnificent Seven" mega‑cap stocks have broken a critical support level and are now testing the 200‑day moving average. Their relative performance chart is forming an inverted saucer top, a pattern often seen before sharper declines. Analysts warn that...

By Humble Student of the Markets
Drawing Lines in the Sand
News•Feb 18, 2026

Drawing Lines in the Sand

The equal‑weighted S&P 500 continues a well‑defined uptrend, indicating intermediate‑term bullish momentum. In contrast, the broader, cap‑weighted U.S. equity averages remain confined to tight trading ranges, reflecting short‑term indecision. Meanwhile, the VVIX—volatility of the VIX—has stayed above the 100 threshold, underscoring...

By Humble Student of the Markets
The Dreaded Hindenburg Omen
News•Feb 4, 2026

The Dreaded Hindenburg Omen

The mid‑week market update flagged a fresh appearance of the Hindenburg Omen, a technical signal that emerges when market breadth splits and price momentum wanes. The omen indicates that a significant number of stocks are simultaneously hitting new highs and...

By Humble Student of the Markets