
MSCI stock index gains have halved to a 7% year‑to‑date increase, while JP Morgan’s local and hard‑currency corporate and sovereign bonds are up about 1% YTD. The escalating Israel‑US versus Iran war is drawing parallels to the Russia‑Ukraine conflict’s global market ripple. The authors’ new book “Emerging Economies and Financial Markets” dedicates Chapter 7 to the “polycrisis,” highlighting inflation, supply‑chain disruptions and soaring debt as central banks consider tightening. These dynamics underscore heightened risk for emerging markets and investors navigating fiscal deficits post‑pandemic.

Latin America’s MSCI index surged 20% in the first two months of the year, lifting the region’s weight in the global benchmark from 5% to roughly 15%, a level not seen since the early 2000s. The original “Big 3” markets—Argentina, Brazil...

The episode examines recent trends in foreign direct investment (FDI) to emerging markets, noting that high‑frequency data shows a steady $10 billion per week inflow, while UNCTAD’s lagging figures report a 2% decline to $875 billion last year. It explores how short‑term...

The episode reviews Zambia's overdue debt restructuring progress, highlighting a post‑default €3 billion Eurobond swap that now accounts for about a quarter of its external debt and a 95% debt‑to‑GDP ratio. It notes strong market rebounds with the kwacha up 15%...

The episode examines the surge in emerging market (EM) debt and equity performance through January 2025, noting record growth rates and unprecedented fund inflows. It compares today’s bullish sentiment to the pioneering phase of EM investing four decades ago, highlighting...