The Bonddad Blog

The Bonddad Blog

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High‑frequency macro and markets, with ongoing posts on yields, employment, and recession risk.

Stale Data Watch: Construction Spending for October — More “Green Shoots”?
NewsJan 21, 2026

Stale Data Watch: Construction Spending for October — More “Green Shoots”?

Construction spending for October rose modestly, with total nominal spending up 0.5% and residential construction up 1.3%. After adjusting for a 0.2% decline in material prices, real overall spending increased 0.7% and residential spending 1.5%, pushing both series close to...

By The Bonddad Blog
Weekly Indicators for January 12 - 16 at Seeking Alpha
NewsJan 17, 2026

Weekly Indicators for January 12 - 16 at Seeking Alpha

Seeking Alpha’s weekly indicators for Jan 12‑16 highlight a normalizing yield curve and mortgage rates at three‑year lows, which are reviving the housing market. At the same time, gasoline prices have slipped to their lowest level in almost five years, creating...

By The Bonddad Blog
Industrial Production Sets New Post-Pandemic High in December - but Mainly Due to Utilities
NewsJan 16, 2026

Industrial Production Sets New Post-Pandemic High in December - but Mainly Due to Utilities

Industrial production reached a new post‑pandemic high in December, climbing 0.4% after revisions added another 0.2% to prior months. The modest 0.2% rise in manufacturing was dwarfed by a 2.6% jump in utility output, which also posted a 2.3% year‑over‑year...

By The Bonddad Blog
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