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The Conversable Economist

The Conversable Economist

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Timothy Taylor’s accessible commentary on economic trends, policy debates and macro issues.

Recent Posts

Did Negative Interest Rates Work ?
News•Feb 24, 2026

Did Negative Interest Rates Work ?

The article reviews evidence that central banks which pushed policy rates slightly below zero—most notably in the euro area, Switzerland, Sweden, Denmark and Japan—generated additional economic stimulus without triggering major disruptions. Empirical observations show that corporate deposit and wholesale funding rates fell below zero, loan‑rate pass‑through remained positive (often above 50% in the euro zone), and overall banking profitability was not harmed and could even improve. In contrast, household deposit rates hit the zero lower bound, limiting pass‑through to consumers. The author cautions that while modestly negative rates appear workable, deeper cuts remain controversial.

By The Conversable Economist
Effective Taxes on Carbon: An International View
News•Feb 23, 2026

Effective Taxes on Carbon: An International View

The OECD’s "Effective Carbon Rates 2025" report surveys 79 countries and compares three carbon‑pricing tools: fuel taxes, explicit carbon taxes, and emissions‑trading systems. By weighting tax level against the share of emissions covered, the analysis shows fuel taxes remain the...

By The Conversable Economist
US Budget Deficits: Spitting Into the Wind
News•Feb 11, 2026

US Budget Deficits: Spitting Into the Wind

The CBO’s 2026‑2036 outlook shows U.S. federal deficits as a percent of GDP climbing to levels not seen since the 2007‑09 recession. While the primary deficit is modestly declining, net interest costs are soaring, already surpassing defense spending and projected...

By The Conversable Economist