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TMT Breakout

TMT Breakout

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Daily coverage of what’s moving U.S. tech stocks and indices, with morning wraps and institutional-grade commentary.

TMTB EOD Wrap
News•Mar 9, 2026

TMTB EOD Wrap

The Nasdaq‑100 ETF (QQQ) rebounded 1.3% after an early rally sparked by G‑7 reserve‑release speculation, while oil prices fell 4% amid mixed geopolitical signals from a Trump comment on the Strait of Hormuz. AI‑focused semiconductor stocks drove the broader tech index (SOX) up 4%, outpacing flat internet and software sectors. Google gained 3% on upbeat search and cloud metrics, and Shopify rose 2.5% after OpenAI rolled back its checkout integration, reinforcing its agentic commerce positioning.

By TMT Breakout
TMTB EOD Wrap: Software Vs. Semis
News•Mar 3, 2026

TMTB EOD Wrap: Software Vs. Semis

Software equities outperformed semiconductors sharply, driving the IGV‑SOX performance spread to a 10‑year high of 14.70% on a six‑day rolling basis. This marks the largest spread since the index’s inception, with only six days in the past decade exceeding a...

By TMT Breakout
TMTB: Gitlab (GTLB) Buyside Bogeys
News•Mar 3, 2026

TMTB: Gitlab (GTLB) Buyside Bogeys

GitLab (GTLB) heads into its quarterly earnings call at 4:05 pm, with an implied 15% price move priced in by the market. The stock has tumbled 50% since the end of October and now trades at roughly three times forward revenue,...

By TMT Breakout
TMTB EOD Wrap
News•Feb 27, 2026

TMTB EOD Wrap

The Nasdaq‑100 (QQQ) slipped 55 basis points despite concerns over XYZ’s 40% cost‑cut announcement. Semiconductor and software indices fell in tandem, indicating no clear sector rotation. Growth‑at‑a‑reasonable‑price (GARP) and quality stocks outperformed, led by Netflix’s 12% jump, Spotify’s 2% gain,...

By TMT Breakout
TMTB EOD Wrap
News•Feb 26, 2026

TMTB EOD Wrap

The Nasdaq‑100 (QQQ) slipped 1.2% on Tuesday, dragged down by a 3% decline in semiconductor stocks. Meanwhile, software equities posted a solid bid, narrowing the valuation gap between software and semis to its widest since Deepseek’s surge in January 2025 and...

By TMT Breakout
TMTB EOD Wrap
News•Feb 24, 2026

TMTB EOD Wrap

The Nasdaq‑100 ETF (QQQ) rose 1 % as a broad tech rally unfolded, led by semiconductors and supported by gains in internet and software stocks. Short‑covering in non‑profitable, heavily shorted tech names amplified the move, indicating traders are re‑entering positions after...

By TMT Breakout
TMTB: Buyside Bogeys for the Week (DOCN, WDAY, CRM, SNOW, NVDA, INTU, CRWV, DELL)
News•Feb 23, 2026

TMTB: Buyside Bogeys for the Week (DOCN, WDAY, CRM, SNOW, NVDA, INTU, CRWV, DELL)

The TMT Breakout newsletter flagged a slate of tech stocks as buyside "bogeys" for the week, highlighting DOCN, WDAY, CRM, SNOW, NVDA, INTU, CRWV and DELL. Nvidia’s earnings season remains the focal point, with its laterals shifting sharply and setting...

By TMT Breakout
TMTB Morning Wrap
News•Feb 23, 2026

TMTB Morning Wrap

OpenAI disclosed it now targets roughly $600 billion in compute spend through 2030, a revision from the earlier $1.4 trillion infrastructure commitment that blended CAPEX and OPEX. The company’s push for additional AI‑compute power is hampered by the stalled Stargate joint venture...

By TMT Breakout
TMTB Weekly: NVDA/SNOW Previews & Thoughts + SNDK
News•Feb 22, 2026

TMTB Weekly: NVDA/SNOW Previews & Thoughts + SNDK

In this episode the hosts skip a deep dive on OpenAI’s latest revenue and operating‑expense numbers, deeming the headlines largely hype, and instead focus on previewing Nvidia (NVDA) and Snowflake (SNOW) stocks, offering short‑term technical outlooks and strategic considerations. They...

By TMT Breakout
TMTB Morning Wrap
News•Feb 19, 2026

TMTB Morning Wrap

The episode opens with a market snapshot and escalating US‑Iran tensions before diving into earnings from DoorDash (DASH), Booking Holdings (BKNG), eBay (EBAY), Carvana (CVNA) and FIG. DoorDash reported strong 4Q25 growth in gross order value and EBITDA but missed...

By TMT Breakout
TMTB Morning Wrap
News•Feb 13, 2026

TMTB Morning Wrap

The episode reviews a flat QQQ market after CPI data and a broad Asian sell‑off, then dives into earnings from Arista Networks (ANET), Applied Materials (AMAT), Roku, CarT, and Airbnb. Arista beat expectations, raised its FY26 growth outlook to ~25%...

By TMT Breakout
TMTB EOD Wrap
News•Feb 12, 2026

TMTB EOD Wrap

The episode discusses the recent market downturn, highlighted by a 2% drop in QQQs, as AI disruption spreads beyond software and internet sectors into areas like property management and freight logistics. It examines how AI is turning into a net...

By TMT Breakout
TMTB EOD Wrap
News•Feb 11, 2026

TMTB EOD Wrap

The episode reviews a rough day for tech stocks, with the QQQ index up modestly while most internet and software names slump amid an accelerating AI narrative. Host Citrini describes an "AI Disruption Discount" hitting vertical SaaS, ad platforms, and...

By TMT Breakout