Don’t Bet On AGI
The article argues that artificial intelligence cannot achieve artificial general intelligence because it lacks the ability to conjecture, a process tied to free will and consciousness. Demis Hassabis cites this limitation as a barrier, projecting AGI no sooner than ten years, while the author bets against that timeline. By contrasting human imagination, day‑dreaming, and the capacity to defy instructions with AI’s deterministic behavior, the piece highlights a fundamental gap beyond compute power. It concludes that true AGI depends on volitional choice, not just data or energy.
We Will Build Expertise Rapidly
Blair’s seventh proclamation in The Win Without Pitching Manifesto urges firms to build expertise rapidly through continuous learning and specialization. By staking a claim in a niche, companies create competitive pressure that forces them to race ahead of generalist rivals....
