Wolf Street

Wolf Street

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Independent macro/markets blog with frequent coverage of U.S. economy, policy, and market implications.

This Fed Meeting Must Have Been a Hoot. Fed Holds Rates Amid 4 Dissents, Most Since 1992: 1 Dovish, 3...
NewsApr 29, 2026

This Fed Meeting Must Have Been a Hoot. Fed Holds Rates Amid 4 Dissents, Most Since 1992: 1 Dovish, 3...

The Federal Open Market Committee kept the federal funds target range at 3.5 %‑3.75% for a third straight meeting, marking a pause after three cumulative 75‑basis‑point cuts in 2025 and 100‑basis‑point cuts in 2024. Four members dissented – the most since...

By Wolf Street
Senate Confirmation of Warsh, Who Wants to Reduce the Fed’s Balance Sheet, Gets Unstuck as DOJ Ends Powell Investigation
NewsApr 24, 2026

Senate Confirmation of Warsh, Who Wants to Reduce the Fed’s Balance Sheet, Gets Unstuck as DOJ Ends Powell Investigation

The Department of Justice announced it is closing its investigation into cost overruns for Federal Reserve buildings, removing the political obstacle that stalled Kevin Warsh's Senate confirmation. With Senator Thom Tillis lifting his hold, the Senate Banking Committee can now...

By Wolf Street
Hedge-Fund Meme-Stock Short-Squeeze Queen Avis Budget [CAR] Implodes by 72% in 26 Hours
NewsApr 23, 2026

Hedge-Fund Meme-Stock Short-Squeeze Queen Avis Budget [CAR] Implodes by 72% in 26 Hours

Avis Budget Group, a traditional car‑rental firm, saw its stock explode 770% from $97 to $847 between early March and April 23, only to tumble 72% in roughly 26 hours, settling around $229. The surge was driven by two hedge...

By Wolf Street
US Government Sold $620 Billion of Treasury Securities This Week. 10-Year Yield Ends at 4.31%, 30-Year Yield at 4.91%
NewsApr 11, 2026

US Government Sold $620 Billion of Treasury Securities This Week. 10-Year Yield Ends at 4.31%, 30-Year Yield at 4.91%

The U.S. Treasury auctioned $620 billion of securities this week, including $480 billion of short‑term bills and $140 billion of 3‑year, 10‑year and 30‑year notes and bonds. The 10‑year note cleared at a 4.282 % yield and settled at 4.32 % in the secondary market,...

By Wolf Street
Used Vehicle Wholesale Prices Jumped. That’s How It Started in 2020 when Broad Inflation Took Off
NewsApr 8, 2026

Used Vehicle Wholesale Prices Jumped. That’s How It Started in 2020 when Broad Inflation Took Off

Used‑vehicle wholesale prices at Manheim surged 4.2% in March to $20,102, the highest level since June 2023, and rose 5.7% year‑over‑year—the strongest gain since the pandemic‑era spike. The jump reflects tight auction supply, robust dealer demand and a 13.6% increase...

By Wolf Street
Farm Action’s Letter to Congress, Lambasting the Concentration of Fertilizer Makers and Its Impact on Prices
NewsMar 31, 2026

Farm Action’s Letter to Congress, Lambasting the Concentration of Fertilizer Makers and Its Impact on Prices

Farm Action, a farmer‑led watchdog, warned that a handful of firms dominate U.S. fertilizer production, with four companies controlling 82% of nitrogen, two firms holding 90% of phosphate and 75% of potash. The organization argues that this concentration lets supply...

By Wolf Street
Humana, Caught up in the Metastasizing Medicare Overbilling Scandal, Enters Our Imploded Stocks
NewsMar 30, 2026

Humana, Caught up in the Metastasizing Medicare Overbilling Scandal, Enters Our Imploded Stocks

Humana’s Medicare Advantage business, once a profit engine, is now under intense federal scrutiny for alleged overbilling and kickback schemes. The crackdown has stalled revenue growth and led to a February loss, pushing the stock 71% lower from its November 2022...

By Wolf Street
Another Mostly Empty Office Tower in San Francisco Sells for 75% Off: Juul’s Abandoned Headquarters
NewsMar 17, 2026

Another Mostly Empty Office Tower in San Francisco Sells for 75% Off: Juul’s Abandoned Headquarters

Juul Labs bought the 29‑floor 123 Mission St. tower for $397 million in 2019, betting on rapid growth. After legal troubles and a collapsed valuation, the building fell to 87% vacancy and the owner defaulted on a $220 million loan. Madison Capital and PGIM...

By Wolf Street
Gasoline Prices Spike, Now up 25% Since January, Diesel Prices 40%, Heating up Inflation
NewsMar 10, 2026

Gasoline Prices Spike, Now up 25% Since January, Diesel Prices 40%, Heating up Inflation

Gasoline prices jumped 25% since the January low, reaching $3.63 per gallon—the highest level since June 2024, while diesel surged 40% to $4.86, its highest since October 2022. The spike is driven largely by station profit‑margin adjustments rather than a supply crunch,...

By Wolf Street
Supreme Court Strikes Down IEEPA-Based Tariffs, Doesn’t Rule on Refunds (“Likely to Be a ‘Mess’”)
NewsFeb 20, 2026

Supreme Court Strikes Down IEEPA-Based Tariffs, Doesn’t Rule on Refunds (“Likely to Be a ‘Mess’”)

The Supreme Court struck down the Trump administration’s tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) in a 6‑3 decision, covering both reciprocal trade‑deficit tariffs and fentanyl‑related duties. Over half of the tariff revenue collected in recent years...

By Wolf Street
Despite 4 Years of Mass-Layoffs at Alphabet & Amazon, Headcount Rose in 2025, Nearly Flat with Peak, as Hiring Continued
NewsFeb 10, 2026

Despite 4 Years of Mass-Layoffs at Alphabet & Amazon, Headcount Rose in 2025, Nearly Flat with Peak, as Hiring Continued

Alphabet’s 2025 year‑end headcount rose by 7,497 employees, barely below its 2023 peak, while Amazon added roughly 20,000 workers to reach 1.576 million, just 2% shy of its 2021 high. Both companies experienced massive hiring surges in 2020‑21—Alphabet grew 60% and...

By Wolf Street
Software Company monday.com Plunges 22% Today, -82% From High, -50% From IPO Price, Into Our Imploded Stocks
NewsFeb 9, 2026

Software Company monday.com Plunges 22% Today, -82% From High, -50% From IPO Price, Into Our Imploded Stocks

Monday.com’s shares tumbled 22% to about $76.70 after its earnings release, marking a record‑low close. The stock is now 82% below its November 2021 peak and 51% beneath the $155 IPO price. While Q4 revenue rose 25% to $334 million and beat...

By Wolf Street
Here We Go Again on Inflation: Used Vehicle Prices Jump in January, Expected to Jump More in Record Tax-Refund Season
NewsFeb 6, 2026

Here We Go Again on Inflation: Used Vehicle Prices Jump in January, Expected to Jump More in Record Tax-Refund Season

Used‑vehicle auction prices surged 2.4% in January, outpacing the typical 0.4% seasonal gain, as Manheim reports stronger retail demand and tighter wholesale supply. Larger-than‑usual tax refunds, driven by new 2025 tax credits, are fueling bigger down‑payments and pushing prices higher....

By Wolf Street
PayPal Shares Plunged 86% From the 2021 Goofball High and Right Into Our Imploded Stocks
NewsFeb 4, 2026

PayPal Shares Plunged 86% From the 2021 Goofball High and Right Into Our Imploded Stocks

PayPal’s stock tumbled 20% to $41.70 after it reported a Q4 earnings miss, weak total payment volume growth, and announced a surprise CEO change, appointing HP chief Enrique Lores as its new leader effective March 1, with CFO Jamie Miller serving...

By Wolf Street
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