[LIVE] NVIDIA Q1 EARNINGS – Technicals & Jensen Conference Call
Why It Matters
NVIDIA’s earnings will dictate short‑term volatility and signal whether AI‑driven growth remains sustainable, influencing both equity and options strategies across the tech sector.
Key Takeaways
- •Expected post‑earnings move: $13 up/down from $223.47 close.
- •Call wall at $250 strike with 93k open interest contracts.
- •Put wall at $200 strike with 32k open interest contracts.
- •Revenue forecast $78.6 B, EPS $1.74, data‑center $73‑73.5 B expected.
- •Q2 guidance projected $87 B; margin pressure could sway sentiment.
Summary
The livestream walked viewers through a real‑time technical setup ahead of NVIDIA’s Q1 earnings release, charting the expected post‑close price move and mapping options‑open‑interest levels.
Using Thinkorswim, the host plotted a $13.04 market‑maker move around the $223.47 settlement, identifying a $250 call wall with roughly 93 k contracts and a $200 put wall with about 32 k contracts. The consensus revenue target is $78.6 billion, EPS $1.74, with data‑center sales projected at $73‑73.5 billion and gross margins hovering near 75%.
The analyst warned that any margin compression—whether from memory pricing or ancillary rack costs—could trigger a sharp sell‑off, while Jensen Huang’s commentary on AI demand and upcoming Q2 guidance (forecast $87 billion) will likely set the tone for the broader AI hardware rally.
Traders should calibrate position sizes around the $13 expected swing, monitor the call/put walls for breakout cues, and treat NVIDIA’s guidance as a bellwether for the sector, as deviations could ripple through competing GPU makers and AI‑focused investors.
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